Old-Fashioned-Gig — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$32

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.2%

Resolved (7d)

232

Trades (7d)

417

2,388 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$1.03K

$3.31K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 10-26 09:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 131 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 63% -$10

Other

27% 53% -$3

Sports

7% 43% -$4

Politics

4% 31% -$14

Tech

0% 0% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 461 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	10	$50	213	213	+0	No	-$3	04-18 17:40
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	22	$33	33	31	+2	Cabo Verde	-$1	06-13 20:10
wta siniako yuan 2026 06 13	12	$16	9	9	+0	Katerina Siniakova	+$0	06-15 12:31
fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 3pt5	9	$13	13	12	+2	Germany	+$1	06-14 16:36
fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 spread home 2pt5	7	$12	16	16	+0	Portugal	+$0	06-22 23:26
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	9	$10	204	204	+0	No	-$1	04-15 18:34
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	9	$10	12	11	+1	Yes	+$0	06-14 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	3	$9	24	0	+24	Down	+$3	10-22 13:09
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?	4	$9	14	14	+0	Yes	-$2	09-21 14:50
GTA VI released before June 2026?	2	$8	1,670	1,670	+0	No	-$2	05-25 13:52
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	10	$8	33	33	+0	No	-$2	07-19 21:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$8	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-18 13:05
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	8	$8	8	8	+0	No	$0	04-14 20:03
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	8	$7	4	4	+0	Yes	-$1	06-21 01:47
Solana Up or Down on October 18?	6	$7	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	10-18 09:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	2	$7	15	0	+15	Up	+$1	10-21 07:57
Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?	2	$7	9	9	+0	No	$0	09-20 14:39
mlb oak sf 2026 06 25	3	$7	5	5	+0	Athletics	+$3	06-25 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$7	14	0	+14	Down	+$1	10-21 02:57
wta bouzkov valento 2026 07 24	6	$6	9	9	+0	Tereza Valentova	+$0	07-24 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$6	14	0	+14	Up	+$0	10-26 07:23
ethereum up or down on october 17 2026	5	$6	7	6	+2	Down	+$2	10-17 14:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	6	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	06-13 14:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	6	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	06-13 19:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	6	$6	7	7	+0	open	—	06-13 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$6	13	0	+13	Down	+$0	10-21 07:09
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$4	07-19 22:02
fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 total 3pt5	6	$6	6	6	+0	Under	$0	06-22 23:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$6	12	0	+12	Down	+$0	10-25 17:19
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	3	$6	4	4	+0	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	+$2	05-28 13:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 09:22:26	ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x4a133b…
10-26 07:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x540fe6…
10-26 07:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x36436a…
10-26 07:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0xaa17b5…
10-26 07:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xaab0fb…
10-26 06:53:32	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x00efbf…
10-26 06:38:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xc9df17…
10-26 05:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x99c59c…
10-26 05:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x80cc77…
10-26 02:59:11	BNB Up or Down - October 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xa9d2bb…
10-26 02:19:09	BNB Up or Down - October 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x4c5986…
10-26 01:54:05	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x4aae27…
10-26 01:53:23	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xe9444c…
10-26 01:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x850ad2…
10-26 01:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe5e544…
10-26 01:04:08	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x125092…
10-26 01:03:54	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xf38429…
10-26 00:59:14	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x5dec71…
10-26 00:59:06	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x18850d…
10-26 00:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0x18d6ed…
10-26 00:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x5c64a7…
10-26 00:28:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x649d30…
10-26 00:28:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xe3d345…
10-26 00:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x70bf51…
10-25 18:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xdd0594…
10-25 18:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x9e06e7…
10-25 18:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xb511a1…
10-25 18:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xec4c9d…
10-25 17:53:12	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x475f7d…
10-25 17:48:23	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xe36dbf…
10-25 17:39:39	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x825467…
10-25 17:38:53	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe654e8…
10-25 17:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x9266de…
10-25 17:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xf7fb88…
10-25 16:13:33	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xf80215…
10-25 14:48:48	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x14a324…
10-25 14:48:38	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x35fef9…
10-25 14:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x107373…
10-25 14:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xfa4fce…
10-25 14:13:33	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xc5fce8…
10-25 14:12:27	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x7ffaf3…
10-25 13:38:14	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x52a9fa…
10-25 13:37:18	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x094c29…
10-25 13:21:44	BNB Up or Down - October 25, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x889993…
10-25 13:19:42	BNB Up or Down - October 25, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xb7ca3e…
10-25 13:14:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x582d9b…
10-25 13:13:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x3aee3c…
10-25 13:05:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x455ff7…
10-25 13:05:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xcee3b7…
10-25 12:34:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x09c3d9…
10-25 12:16:36	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc4d9e5…
10-25 11:58:51	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xc676cc…
10-25 11:58:48	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb4762f…
10-25 11:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x8e00e5…
10-25 11:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf42350…
10-25 11:06:05	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x871cb6…
10-25 10:54:14	BNB Up or Down - October 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x691699…
10-25 10:51:20	BNB Up or Down - October 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xf74edf…
10-25 10:29:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0x9fbb63…
10-25 10:28:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x395a3a…
10-25 10:22:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x285ad8…
10-25 08:34:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x8353f2…
10-25 08:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xde136d…
10-25 08:25:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xb512be…
10-25 08:11:47	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x745813…
10-25 08:11:29	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xd9cda6…
10-25 08:03:38	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x7bafff…
10-25 08:03:33	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x55523c…
10-25 07:53:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x9d6de2…
10-25 07:53:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb8ffa6…
10-25 06:48:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x959433…
10-25 06:27:36	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 25, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x73657a…
10-25 06:17:38	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xd5a34e…
10-25 06:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xfe83db…
10-25 06:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x551f1d…
10-25 05:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xda94ae…
10-25 05:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x3a37bd…
10-25 04:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xc30557…
10-25 04:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xa41b1d…
10-25 04:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x215501…
10-25 03:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xbc1f7b…
10-25 03:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0x35ef5b…
10-25 03:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xf3cb65…
10-25 03:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xa6f429…
10-25 03:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x133b52…
10-25 03:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x1535c3…
10-25 02:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xd1f8f0…
10-25 02:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xe76d81…
10-25 02:48:44	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2c6867…
10-25 02:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x829bcc…
10-25 02:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x332fbe…
10-25 02:28:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x045d0d…
10-25 02:28:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xb47464…
10-25 02:13:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x785b29…
10-25 02:12:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x73e5b7…
10-25 01:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x8e113e…
10-25 01:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x4ce158…
10-25 01:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa904e0…
10-25 01:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xf108a3…
10-25 01:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xab5966…