Realized P&L (7d)
-$734
Unrealized P&L
-$12.4K
Hit rate
12.2%
Resolved (7d)
3
Trades (7d)
6
1,598 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$703
$430.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$269
Open exposure
$14.1K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 11-13 23:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 81 days
Categories
Politics
47% 71% +$782
Other
38% 69% +$8,606
Tech
15% 74% +$9,902
Sports
0% 75% +$395
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +3,557 $2,834 88¢ $3.1K +$314 07-31 19:06
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No -1,900 -$1,797 98¢ $-1866 -$70 06-13 17:10
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +2,106 $1,789 89¢ $1.9K +$77 07-24 08:40
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -1,111 -$1,033 98¢ $-1093 -$61 05-24 21:40
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +1,220 $1,000 86¢ $1.0K +$43 10-06 00:23
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No +14,459 $8,942 6¢ $868 -$8,074 10-05 10:09
5kt meteor strike in 2026? No -914 -$605 84¢ $-772 -$167 05-13 19:45
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes +13,133 $5,615 5¢ $657 -$4,958 10-16 02:12
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +641 $500 97¢ $620 +$120 10-06 00:28
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No -600 -$493 97¢ $-582 -$89 05-13 19:45
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +500 $234 94¢ $470 +$236 07-27 21:44
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +500 $340 92¢ $457 +$117 05-10 20:17
Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026? Yes +497 $290 56¢ $278 -$12 11-13 23:17
US military draft authorized in 2026? No +222 $204 98¢ $218 +$14 05-23 14:49
Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026? No -245 -$125 44¢ $-108 +$17 06-08 04:06
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026? Yes -444 -$174 0¢ $-2 +$172 07-26 22:24
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? Yes +1,231 $50 0¢ $2 -$48 05-04 21:09