Hasty-Young — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$78

Open exposure

$16

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-23 10:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 88% $0

Other

32% 100% +$9

Politics

7% 100% +$3

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No		+16	$16	100¢	$16	+$0	10-23 10:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 4-10?	1	$124	124	+124	No	+$0	05-08 11:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	1	$124	124	+124	No	+$0	05-13 13:07
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on June 2?	1	$124	124	+124	No	+$0	06-01 10:33
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 215 239	1	$124	124	+124	No	+$0	04-03 13:02
ethereum above 1900 on march 19	1	$124	124	+124	Yes	+$0	03-19 12:47
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 540 559	1	$124	124	+124	No	+$0	03-11 13:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	1	$124	124	+124	No	+$0	05-19 12:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 4?	1	$124	124	+124	No	+$0	06-03 12:04
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in May 2026?	1	$124	124	+124	No	+$0	05-24 10:50
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 31	1	$123	123	+123	No	+$0	03-31 11:29
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 24	1	$123	123	+123	No	+$0	03-24 10:34
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	1	$123	123	+123	No	+$0	04-24 12:42
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 400 419	1	$123	123	+123	No	+$0	04-16 13:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	1	$123	123	+123	Yes	+$0	05-06 10:58
will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 12	1	$122	122	+122	No	+$0	04-12 09:11
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$122	122	+122	No	+$0	05-03 06:54
ethereum above 2600 on april 22	1	$122	122	+122	No	+$0	04-22 12:44
us forces enter iran by march 7	1	$120	123	+123	No	+$3	03-06 13:29
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 190 214	1	$120	120	+120	No	+$0	02-03 12:50
bitcoin above 58k on february 28	1	$120	120	+120	Yes	+$0	02-28 13:46
bitcoin above 98k on january 6	1	$112	112	+112	No	+$0	01-06 12:39
will bitcoin reach 98k january 5 11	1	$112	112	+112	No	+$0	01-11 08:48
ethereum above 2600 on january 4	1	$112	112	+112	Yes	+$0	01-03 07:40
bitcoin above 86k on january 19	1	$112	112	+112	Yes	+$0	01-18 11:53
highest temperature in chengdu on april 7 2026 22c	1	$86	86	+86	Yes	+$0	04-07 12:01
ethereum above 2100 on march 17	1	$85	85	+85	Yes	+$0	03-17 10:44
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 16	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	03-15 09:26
ethereum above 2300 on february 14	1	$77	77	+77	No	+$0	02-14 06:26
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 340 359	1	$71	71	+71	No	+$0	02-12 12:38
will the price of solana be between 170 180 on january 14	1	$58	58	+58	No	+$0	01-13 12:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 10:07:53	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x556a18…
09-08 06:03:28	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xe47360…
08-17 08:01:21	iran leadership change by august 22	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xcaf988…
07-17 11:30:52	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x911db9…
06-03 12:04:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 4?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x3dc65e…
06-01 10:33:08	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on June 2?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x770c11…
05-24 10:50:12	Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in May 2026?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x9047b0…
05-19 12:42:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x01a556…
05-13 13:07:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x467436…
05-08 11:45:42	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0xdc6f7c…
05-06 10:58:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x3d1fdc…
05-04 08:41:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9bbf7d…
05-03 08:38:28	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x182f29…
05-03 06:54:56	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x00c5bc…
04-24 12:42:12	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x4e9c5b…
04-22 12:44:52	ethereum above 2600 on april 22	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x8c5ed2…
04-16 13:17:20	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 400 419	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x43bf4a…
04-12 09:11:09	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 12	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xb768e6…
04-07 12:07:59	will the reserve bank of new zealand decrease the official cash rate after the april decision	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xb1f0c4…
04-07 12:02:57	will the price of ethereum be less than 1700 on april 8	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x5e0f76…
04-07 12:01:17	highest temperature in chengdu on april 7 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x27f4f4…
04-03 13:02:41	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 215 239	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x7eb135…
03-31 11:29:09	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 31	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x287668…
03-24 10:34:19	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 24	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x7c78f1…
03-19 12:47:29	ethereum above 1900 on march 19	Yes	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x286293…
03-17 10:44:45	ethereum above 2100 on march 17	Yes	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x4032bb…
03-16 12:53:39	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 380 399	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xa5d927…
03-15 09:33:31	highest temperature in tokyo on march 15 2026 14c	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x7b6c40…
03-15 09:29:13	bitcoin above 66k on march 16	No	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x2e80f8…
03-15 09:26:39	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 16	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xcabc34…
03-11 13:43:55	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 540 559	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x660572…
03-06 13:29:55	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	123	98¢	$120	0x25f302…
02-28 13:46:13	bitcoin above 58k on february 28	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xcdf236…
02-14 06:26:19	ethereum above 2300 on february 14	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x10bb3b…
02-14 06:07:35	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 160 179	No	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0x40fdcf…
02-12 12:38:13	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 340 359	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0xa8b492…
02-12 12:21:01	will grok 4pt20 be released on february 12 2026	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x2364ee…
02-03 12:50:18	elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 190 214	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x9b6743…
01-31 08:27:12	lol blg ig1 2026 01 31	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x1fa958…
01-31 08:08:24	highest temperature in nyc on january 31 28forhigher	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xdedf3d…
01-31 07:56:38	bitcoin above 92k on february 1	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xd4ea1a…
01-31 07:36:40	elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 165 189	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x2669ca…
01-18 11:53:10	bitcoin above 86k on january 19	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xbb530b…
01-13 12:37:03	will the price of solana be between 170 180 on january 14	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x3d34eb…
01-13 12:25:59	solana above 160 on january 13	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xa90dc4…
01-13 12:25:35	will the price of xrp be greater than 2pt70 on january 14	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x47e28d…
01-11 08:48:14	will bitcoin reach 98k january 5 11	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xb96208…
01-06 12:39:17	bitcoin above 98k on january 6	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xa5fef4…
01-03 07:40:57	ethereum above 2600 on january 4	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xda5031…