Realized P&L
-$2.55K
Unrealized P&L
+$20
Hit rate
75.1%
Resolved
1,835
Trades
2,645
lifetime
Volume
$38.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$281
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-23
last 10-27 15:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 151 days
Categories
Other
64% 80% -$2,032
Crypto
15% 84% -$222
Politics
13% 73% -$446
Sports
6% 82% +$128
Tech
1% 88% +$25
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +28 $22 96¢ $27 +$5 10-26 01:33
us imports russian diesel by october 31 No +28 $22 97¢ $27 +$5 10-14 10:35
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +30 $21 72¢ $22 +$0 10-27 08:39
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +21 $18 98¢ $21 +$3 10-23 13:13
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? Yes +20 $19 99¢ $20 +$1 10-25 19:50
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +17 $13 88¢ $15 +$2 10-24 05:23
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +16 $14 86¢ $14 $0 10-16 13:10
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? No +17 $12 78¢ $13 +$1 10-09 19:11
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage Spirit +16 $9 86¢ $13 +$5 10-27 14:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? Yes +37 $19 29¢ $11 -$8 10-27 11:36
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +13 $9 73¢ $10 +$1 10-14 22:21
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +16 $9 55¢ $9 $0 10-16 21:06
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +10 $8 81¢ $8 +$0 10-11 23:05
Spread: Knicks (-3.5) Knicks — +14 $8 52¢ $7 $0 10-27 12:18
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +6 $2 86¢ $5 +$3 10-21 08:42
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? No +6 $4 96¢ $5 +$1 10-23 15:41
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$1 10-23 21:45
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +5 $4 97¢ $5 +$1 10-13 14:24
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 10-20 15:13
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +5 $5 88¢ $5 +$0 10-13 07:52
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +6 $3 74¢ $4 +$1 10-17 17:03
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +6 $3 74¢ $4 +$1 10-17 17:01
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +5 $4 76¢ $4 $0 10-27 13:45
iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885 No +6 $4 63¢ $4 -$1 10-14 13:38
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? Yes +5 $2 62¢ $3 +$1 10-18 02:20
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? No +12 $6 26¢ $3 -$3 10-21 13:32
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? Yes +26 $3 12¢ $3 $0 10-09 17:08
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +6 $3 46¢ $3 $0 10-10 21:05
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +6 $3 46¢ $3 $0 10-10 02:55
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +6 $3 44¢ $2 $0 10-15 12:26