Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.01K

Unrealized P&L

+$25

Hit rate

81.9%

Resolved

230

Trades

600

lifetime

Volume

$53.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$89

Open exposure

$3.25K

1 position

First seen

2026-03-19

last 10-28 19:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Politics

53% 67% +$1,379

Crypto

26% 48% -$496

Other

21% 47% +$125

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+3,480	$3,229	94¢	$3.3K	+$25	10-28 19:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	5	$6.4K	3,264	3,264	+0	Yes	+$163	10-28 19:49
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	6	$6.1K	3,073	3,073	+0	Yes	+$73	10-05 02:15
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?	5	$5.2K	2,731	2,731	+0	No	+$148	10-11 21:48
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	3	$4.3K	2,361	2,361	+0	open	—	10-27 22:16
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?	10	$3.3K	3,281	153	+3,128	Yes	+$122	10-15 14:20
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$3.2K	3,480	0	+3,480	open	—	10-28 19:51
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	6	$3.2K	4,195	132	+4,063	Yes	+$1,048	09-17 10:40
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	8	$2.1K	2,400	0	+2,400	No	+$263	09-16 03:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 02:15 UTC	4	$1.6K	1,084	1,068	+16	Up	+$506	03-23 02:29
bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 6pm et	6	$1.3K	784	779	+6	Up	+$111	03-22 22:41
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$1.2K	719	719	+0	No	-$14	10-05 08:04
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	4	$1.0K	712	712	+0	open	—	10-11 22:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 22:00 UTC	3	$803	468	464	+5	Up	+$128	03-22 22:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 02:15 UTC	2	$649	1,063	0	+1,063	Down	-$649	03-25 02:12
will russia capture bilytske by march 31 2026	2	$467	252	252	+0	No	$0	03-22 22:29
will russia enter dovha balka by march 31	2	$418	236	236	+0	No	+$18	03-22 22:25
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$403	308	308	+0	open	—	10-28 02:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 13:00 UTC	2	$379	364	358	+6	Up	-$15	03-23 03:03
bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 4pm et	4	$375	212	212	+0	Up	+$3	03-21 21:27
will russia capture sofiivka by march 31	2	$369	231	231	+0	No	-$30	03-22 22:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 17:15 UTC	3	$356	625	0	+625	Down	-$356	03-24 17:21
will russia capture toretske by march 31 2026	2	$349	205	205	+0	No	-$6	03-22 22:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 14:15 UTC	2	$338	576	0	+576	Up	+$238	03-24 14:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 15:00 UTC	3	$336	308	303	+5	Up	+$2	03-24 15:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 23:30 UTC	3	$297	197	194	+3	Up	+$90	03-22 23:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 16:00 UTC	5	$291	250	246	+4	Up	+$15	03-23 16:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 23:00 UTC	11	$265	181	180	+1	Up	-$17	03-22 23:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 00:00 UTC	9	$260	162	160	+2	Up	+$62	03-23 00:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 02:00 UTC	7	$258	364	360	+4	Down	-$244	03-23 02:14
will bitcoin dip to 70k on march 21	3	$250	173	171	+2	Yes	+$0	03-21 21:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 19:51:05	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3,480	93¢	$3,229	0xaecb58…
10-28 19:49:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3,264	100¢	$3,261	0x445ef4…
10-28 02:45:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	88	96¢	$84	0x88cf0d…
10-28 02:44:59	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	87	24¢	$20	0x13f8cc…
10-28 02:44:45	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	135	48¢	$65	0xaadc18…
10-28 02:15:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	209	96¢	$201	0x19fbf1…
10-28 02:14:59	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	308	66¢	$203	0xb42de2…
10-27 22:17:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,250	96¢	$2,150	0xdf108a…
10-27 22:16:42	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2,361	92¢	$2,172	0xbb4634…
10-26 19:26:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	717	92¢	$662	0x310487…
10-26 19:25:30	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	308	65¢	$200	0x94b34f…
10-26 14:25:20	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	87	58¢	$50	0x8a8a9d…
10-26 14:19:56	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xd07ad5…
10-26 12:30:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0xc2d9ce…
10-26 12:29:41	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2,247	89¢	$2,000	0xcb38db…
10-15 14:20:01	Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?	Yes	SELL	150	92¢	$139	0x9e8e3d…
10-12 00:48:59	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x72174d…
10-12 00:44:44	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x2336d7…
10-12 00:30:05	Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?	Yes	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xae865a…
10-11 22:12:54	Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?	Yes	BUY	289	97¢	$282	0x0049ef…
10-11 22:12:14	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	384	74¢	$285	0x2f470f…
10-11 21:51:38	Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?	Yes	BUY	868	99¢	$857	0x4d00b2…
10-11 21:50:23	Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?	Yes	BUY	835	96¢	$800	0xde5dc7…
10-11 21:48:43	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1,730	97¢	$1,674	0xa406e9…
10-11 21:46:46	Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?	Yes	BUY	312	95¢	$295	0x6ac211…
10-11 21:44:28	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	305	98¢	$298	0xeef7b5…
10-11 21:43:10	Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?	Yes	BUY	191	94¢	$179	0x52f8ba…
10-11 21:41:34	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	185	98¢	$181	0x3d4f98…
10-11 21:37:02	Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?	Yes	BUY	262	94¢	$246	0x0125dd…
10-11 21:34:44	Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?	Yes	BUY	265	94¢	$249	0x07d9aa…
10-11 21:33:41	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	511	98¢	$500	0x5c59eb…
10-11 21:31:19	Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?	Yes	BUY	257	93¢	$238	0x48713b…
10-11 21:30:16	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	128	76¢	$98	0xac873f…
10-11 21:28:56	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	SELL	189	55¢	$104	0x53b3a2…
10-11 15:46:12	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x451c6b…
10-06 09:34:36	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	70¢	$140	0xf90f6d…
10-05 09:04:50	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2,731	92¢	$2,506	0x71544b…
10-05 09:02:17	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	712	70¢	$500	0xe800e2…
10-05 08:54:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 08:50 UTC	Up	SELL	29	71¢	$21	0xfc32b8…
10-05 08:54:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 08:55 UTC	Up	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0xf56d5b…
10-05 08:52:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xccca2b…
10-05 08:47:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xb28748…
10-05 08:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xde36a8…
10-05 08:41:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x03c3d1…
10-05 08:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	26¢	$2	0x6c7b4b…
10-05 08:39:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x523703…
10-05 08:28:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x999f55…
10-05 08:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x9bb450…
10-05 08:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x7037b9…
10-05 08:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x977ff0…
10-05 08:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc92c58…
10-05 08:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xaaee73…
10-05 08:04:49	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	719	81¢	$586	0x9e25ed…
10-05 05:13:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x751f92…
10-05 05:10:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xaf9dcb…
10-05 05:10:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x062068…
10-05 04:12:35	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	600	83¢	$500	0xf2b0be…
10-05 04:12:07	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xdad6d7…
10-05 04:11:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:10 UTC	Up	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x9a22d1…
10-05 04:09:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x9ec65e…
10-05 04:06:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:05 UTC	Down	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0xa6a265…
10-05 04:03:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x8b4ef8…
10-05 03:55:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x7d6d09…
10-05 03:48:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:45 UTC	Down	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0xd8d80f…
10-05 03:45:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x624836…
10-05 03:25:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:25 UTC	Down	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0xffeccd…
10-05 03:24:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xd60014…
10-05 03:20:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x55e913…
10-05 03:17:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x4b8c5d…
10-05 03:12:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:10 UTC	Down	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0x89cc58…
10-05 03:05:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xf94f18…
10-05 03:05:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x78e714…
10-05 03:04:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:05 UTC	Down	SELL	4	62¢	$2	0x9b4a9e…
10-05 03:04:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xf32c3a…
10-05 03:00:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:00 UTC	Down	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x3df273…
10-05 03:00:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xeace4a…
10-05 02:55:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x909c88…
10-05 02:52:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x6f4e37…
10-05 02:50:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:50 UTC	Up	SELL	4	38¢	$1	0x7bcbfe…
10-05 02:47:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x9e56ab…
10-05 02:46:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:45 UTC	Up	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0xf4cad9…
10-05 02:44:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:40 UTC	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x14f1c2…
10-05 02:42:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x3ffd7e…
10-05 02:40:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xcf263a…
10-05 02:36:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:35 UTC	Up	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0x4e2334…
10-05 02:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0x667eab…
10-05 02:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xb0f8a9…
10-05 02:31:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x0aeea1…
10-05 02:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x66415f…
10-05 02:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x82627b…
10-05 02:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x12efb8…
10-05 02:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	8	67¢	$6	0x26ce71…
10-05 02:20:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xdab515…
10-05 02:19:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x95d8dc…
10-05 02:15:19	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3,073	100¢	$3,070	0xf95435…
10-04 22:05:38	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x78c086…
10-04 22:05:19	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x1fe1f2…
10-04 22:04:52	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	285	97¢	$277	0x250a37…
10-04 22:04:31	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,158	98¢	$1,130	0x024fdd…
10-04 22:03:55	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,537	98¢	$1,500	0xa85cf7…