Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
Down won
Total volume
$26,580
Trades
3,049
Unique wallets
715
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
34¢
Latest NO mid
66¢
End date
2026-10-05
First seen
2026-10-04
last 10-05 08:20
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.5¢
(top1%: 26% YES on $13.6K
vs crowd: 27% YES on $25.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 149 | $3.9K | $12.8K | $8.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 190 | $1.8K | $3.1K | $1.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 225 | $754 | $2.1K | $1.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 151 | $220 | $400 | $181 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 148 | $3.6K | $10.1K | $6.5K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 85 | $411 | $596 | $184 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 33 | $99 | $315 | $216 |
| Median | 42 | $38 | $207 | $168 |
| Below median | 151 | $218 | $535 | $317 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 101 | $302 | $3.1K | $2.8K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 113 | $1.7K | $1.6K | +$116 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 42 | $352 | $2.0K | $1.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e | Down | +2,807 | $2,779 | $2,779 | 2 | 10-05 08:18 |
| Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | +2,078 | $2,076 | $2,076 | 5 | 10-05 08:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x3048…7537 | Down | +1,497 | $949 | $949 | 47 | 10-05 08:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xb958…f513 | Up | +1,100 | $43 | $43 | 3 | 10-05 08:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d | Up | +1,099 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 10-05 08:19 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | +1,089 | $246 | $246 | 54 | 10-05 08:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x3048…7537 | Up | +883 | $340 | $340 | 42 | 10-05 08:17 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | +874 | $224 | $224 | 78 | 10-05 08:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xc6e3…8b84 | Up | +842 | $499 | $499 | 4 | 10-05 08:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Down | +792 | $545 | $545 | 20 | 10-05 08:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xac43…7b8f | Down | +755 | $700 | $700 | 1 | 10-05 08:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Up | +675 | $181 | $181 | 48 | 10-05 08:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xfc36…ce29 | Down | +671 | $664 | $664 | 35 | 10-05 08:19 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | +654 | $426 | $426 | 29 | 10-05 08:18 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | +620 | $404 | $421 | 33 | 10-05 08:18 |
| Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | +600 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-05 08:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Up | +593 | $253 | $253 | 24 | 10-05 08:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Up | +534 | $183 | $183 | 35 | 10-05 08:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x280e…fbd8 | Up | +495 | $152 | $152 | 15 | 10-05 08:17 |
| Playful-Registry 0x631e…4cf0 | Up | +430 | $254 | $254 | 6 | 10-05 08:14 |
| Watchful-Milk 0xdb1d…b6c2 | Down | +403 | $158 | $158 | 8 | 10-05 08:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xd855…a182 | Up | +401 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-05 08:18 |
| Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | Up | +400 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-05 08:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Down | +385 | $246 | $246 | 13 | 10-05 08:17 |
| Tremendous-Quota 0x9dba…b2ed | Down | +379 | $290 | $290 | 1 | 10-05 08:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x3708…daf9 | Up | +366 | $79 | $79 | 16 | 10-05 08:18 |
| Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd | Down | +365 | $281 | $281 | 15 | 10-05 08:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xd844…5908 | Up | +361 | $133 | $133 | 6 | 10-05 08:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Up | +357 | $140 | $140 | 11 | 10-05 08:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x239e…1c10 | Down | +339 | $193 | $193 | 11 | 10-05 08:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Down | +333 | $198 | $198 | 17 | 10-05 08:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x855e…5189 | Up | +332 | $118 | $118 | 20 | 10-05 08:16 |
| Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd | Up | +332 | $106 | $106 | 13 | 10-05 08:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Up | +300 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-05 08:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x6696…411c | Up | +300 | $28 | $28 | 11 | 10-05 08:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xee3e…f651 | Up | +274 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-05 08:15 |
| Pessimistic-Blow 0xe64f…7d13 | Up | +270 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-05 08:15 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | +249 | $130 | $130 | 4 | 10-05 08:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x03f1…e633 | Down | +240 | $94 | $94 | 9 | 10-05 08:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Down | +232 | $148 | $148 | 4 | 10-05 08:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad | Up | +230 | $99 | $99 | 12 | 10-05 08:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xd844…5908 | Down | +225 | $153 | $153 | 4 | 10-05 08:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x7bf5…e9d3 | Down | +221 | $200 | $200 | 2 | 10-05 08:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | +216 | $51 | $51 | 16 | 10-05 08:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xaadb…5520 | Up | +200 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-05 08:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d3d…db44 | Up | +200 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-05 08:18 |
| Runny-Reservoir 0xbdd1…0c4f | Up | +200 | $75 | $75 | 3 | 10-05 08:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Down | +199 | $144 | $144 | 7 | 10-05 08:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xb089…c5e3 | Down | +196 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-05 08:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xb089…c5e3 | Up | +195 | $12 | $12 | 10 | 10-05 08:18 |
| Peppery-Digging 0x2ed9…f271 | Down | +195 | $126 | $126 | 3 | 10-05 08:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Up | +192 | $48 | $48 | 12 | 10-05 08:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x0e11…1b07 | Down | +178 | $90 | $90 | 2 | 10-05 08:09 |
| Well-Lit-Publication-Chasm 0xa62f…9e04 | Down | +174 | $105 | $105 | 11 | 10-05 08:16 |
| Wooden-Hearsay 0x3139…9e2e | Down | +173 | $100 | $100 | 32 | 10-05 08:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x86de…55c3 | Down | +172 | $115 | $115 | 1 | 10-05 08:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd30…2dd0 | Down | +168 | $119 | $119 | 11 | 10-05 08:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Down | +152 | $99 | $99 | 12 | 10-05 08:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x568b…0b3b | Down | +142 | $82 | $82 | 8 | 10-05 08:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x280e…fbd8 | Down | +140 | $82 | $82 | 2 | 10-05 08:16 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 08:20:58 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x485742… |
| 10-05 08:20:58 | (anonymous) 0x92b2…f7ab | Down | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x485742… |
| 10-05 08:20:44 | Showy-Maybe 0x5d68…9ff7 | Down | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x55eb01… |
| 10-05 08:20:44 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x55eb01… |
| 10-05 08:19:53 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x2340f6… |
| 10-05 08:19:53 | Organic-Cherry 0x50ea…5963 | Down | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x2340f6… |
| 10-05 08:19:29 | (anonymous) 0xb958…f513 | Up | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xb0a9db… |
| 10-05 08:19:29 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0xb0a9db… |
| 10-05 08:19:29 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 1,070 | 100¢ | $1,069 | 0xfc16af… |
| 10-05 08:19:29 | (anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d | Up | BUY | 1,070 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xfc16af… |
| 10-05 08:19:25 | (anonymous) 0xfc36…ce29 | Down | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xda986e… |
| 10-05 08:19:25 | Crazy-Fencing 0x20cc…7a03 | Down | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xda986e… |
| 10-05 08:19:23 | (anonymous) 0xd4e0…b12e | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xb476eb… |
| 10-05 08:19:23 | (anonymous) 0xfc36…ce29 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xb476eb… |
| 10-05 08:19:16 | (anonymous) 0xab97…ff0f | Down | SELL | 39 | 99¢ | $39 | 0xa9c313… |
| 10-05 08:19:16 | (anonymous) 0xfc36…ce29 | Down | BUY | 39 | 99¢ | $39 | 0xa9c313… |
| 10-05 08:19:04 | (anonymous) 0x3586…6da5 | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x753377… |
| 10-05 08:19:04 | (anonymous) 0xfc36…ce29 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x753377… |
| 10-05 08:19:02 | (anonymous) 0xfc36…ce29 | Down | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x89740f… |
| 10-05 08:19:02 | (anonymous) 0x1f5a…fd2c | Down | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x89740f… |
| 10-05 08:18:50 | (anonymous) 0xfc36…ce29 | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x2a5d59… |
| 10-05 08:18:50 | (anonymous) 0xe5ca…1616 | Down | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x16fd75… |
| 10-05 08:18:50 | (anonymous) 0xfc36…ce29 | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x16fd75… |
| 10-05 08:18:50 | (anonymous) 0x73aa…d604 | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x2a5d59… |
| 10-05 08:18:47 | (anonymous) 0xfc36…ce29 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xc5c34c… |
| 10-05 08:18:47 | (anonymous) 0x2afa…8f5c | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xc5c34c… |
| 10-05 08:18:44 | (anonymous) 0xfc36…ce29 | Down | BUY | 202 | 99¢ | $200 | 0xcfb11d… |
| 10-05 08:18:44 | (anonymous) 0xdd93…9276 | Down | SELL | 202 | 99¢ | $200 | 0xcfb11d… |
| 10-05 08:18:44 | (anonymous) 0x4161…286a | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x60a94d… |
| 10-05 08:18:44 | (anonymous) 0xfc36…ce29 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x60a94d… |
| 10-05 08:18:43 | (anonymous) 0xfc36…ce29 | Down | BUY | 26 | 99¢ | $26 | 0xa0dbee… |
| 10-05 08:18:43 | (anonymous) 0xa2ea…79e1 | Down | SELL | 26 | 99¢ | $26 | 0xa0dbee… |
| 10-05 08:18:41 | (anonymous) 0x7401…fe3c | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x15300d… |
| 10-05 08:18:41 | (anonymous) 0xfc36…ce29 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x15300d… |
| 10-05 08:18:41 | (anonymous) 0x6696…411c | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xe7bb2b… |
| 10-05 08:18:41 | (anonymous) 0xfc36…ce29 | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xe7bb2b… |
| 10-05 08:18:40 | (anonymous) 0xfc36…ce29 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x4abe46… |
| 10-05 08:18:40 | (anonymous) 0x83e1…8d64 | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x4abe46… |
| 10-05 08:18:38 | (anonymous) 0x67e0…2855 | Down | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x6c1782… |
| 10-05 08:18:38 | (anonymous) 0xfc36…ce29 | Down | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x6c1782… |
| 10-05 08:18:38 | (anonymous) 0x8143…8853 | Down | SELL | 42 | 99¢ | $42 | 0x609421… |
| 10-05 08:18:38 | (anonymous) 0xfc36…ce29 | Down | BUY | 42 | 99¢ | $42 | 0x609421… |
| 10-05 08:18:38 | (anonymous) 0xfc36…ce29 | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xb7f3a2… |
| 10-05 08:18:38 | (anonymous) 0xa76e…3466 | Down | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xb7f3a2… |
| 10-05 08:18:37 | (anonymous) 0xfc36…ce29 | Down | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xfbf3bf… |
| 10-05 08:18:37 | (anonymous) 0x5f3b…39c1 | Down | SELL | 31 | 99¢ | $31 | 0xb37f0c… |
| 10-05 08:18:37 | (anonymous) 0xfc36…ce29 | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x619cdb… |
| 10-05 08:18:37 | Impressionable-Actress 0x8b8f…01bc | Down | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x619cdb… |
| 10-05 08:18:37 | Necessary-Vine 0x4b9f…424a | Down | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xfbf3bf… |
| 10-05 08:18:37 | (anonymous) 0xfc36…ce29 | Down | BUY | 31 | 99¢ | $31 | 0xb37f0c… |
| 10-05 08:18:37 | (anonymous) 0x1b03…3d8e | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x64e662… |
| 10-05 08:18:37 | (anonymous) 0xfc36…ce29 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x64e662… |
| 10-05 08:18:35 | (anonymous) 0x6f27…42c2 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xd5603a… |
| 10-05 08:18:35 | Blue-Valuable 0x78b3…3a3d | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x658592… |
| 10-05 08:18:35 | Blue-Valuable 0x78b3…3a3d | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xb6ff55… |
| 10-05 08:18:35 | (anonymous) 0x5d1b…b7be | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xb0d3ec… |
| 10-05 08:18:35 | (anonymous) 0xfc36…ce29 | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x5bc703… |
| 10-05 08:18:35 | (anonymous) 0xfc36…ce29 | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x1fa31c… |
| 10-05 08:18:35 | (anonymous) 0xfc36…ce29 | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x658592… |
| 10-05 08:18:35 | (anonymous) 0xed96…f055 | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x5bc703… |
| 10-05 08:18:35 | (anonymous) 0xfc36…ce29 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xb6ff55… |
| 10-05 08:18:35 | (anonymous) 0xfc36…ce29 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x822d2f… |
| 10-05 08:18:35 | (anonymous) 0xfc36…ce29 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xb0d3ec… |
| 10-05 08:18:35 | (anonymous) 0x0a9d…3804 | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x1fa31c… |
| 10-05 08:18:35 | (anonymous) 0xfc36…ce29 | Down | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x11152a… |
| 10-05 08:18:35 | (anonymous) 0xfc36…ce29 | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xd5603a… |
| 10-05 08:18:35 | (anonymous) 0xe2fd…370f | Down | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x11152a… |
| 10-05 08:18:35 | (anonymous) 0x1b03…3d8e | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x822d2f… |
| 10-05 08:18:34 | (anonymous) 0xfc36…ce29 | Down | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x82ace5… |
| 10-05 08:18:34 | (anonymous) 0xfc36…ce29 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x19755b… |
| 10-05 08:18:34 | (anonymous) 0x4867…e54c | Down | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x19755b… |
| 10-05 08:18:34 | Rubbery-Chiffonier 0xe8d6…c964 | Down | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x19755b… |
| 10-05 08:18:34 | (anonymous) 0xfc36…ce29 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xaea847… |
| 10-05 08:18:34 | (anonymous) 0x11f5…55ed | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xaea847… |
| 10-05 08:18:34 | (anonymous) 0x0c0d…05de | Down | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x82ace5… |
| 10-05 08:18:34 | (anonymous) 0xfc36…ce29 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x2a08db… |
| 10-05 08:18:34 | (anonymous) 0x1b03…3d8e | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x2a08db… |
| 10-05 08:18:34 | (anonymous) 0x4e47…ab98 | Down | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x9574a3… |
| 10-05 08:18:34 | (anonymous) 0xfc36…ce29 | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x9574a3… |
| 10-05 08:18:32 | (anonymous) 0x9540…c2bc | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa2fc27… |
| 10-05 08:18:32 | (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa2fc27… |
| 10-05 08:18:32 | (anonymous) 0x91d8…a48f | Down | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xabfecd… |
| 10-05 08:18:32 | (anonymous) 0xbeb1…a6ad | Down | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xa2fc27… |
| 10-05 08:18:32 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1d378e… |
| 10-05 08:18:32 | (anonymous) 0x38a0…2cba | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa2fc27… |
| 10-05 08:18:32 | (anonymous) 0xb8bf…49c8 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x13e48c… |
| 10-05 08:18:32 | (anonymous) 0x8727…c123 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa2fc27… |
| 10-05 08:18:32 | (anonymous) 0xa554…2f95 | Up | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa2fc27… |
| 10-05 08:18:32 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 600 | 1¢ | $6 | 0xa2fc27… |
| 10-05 08:18:32 | Utter-Decade 0x1c92…3e42 | Up | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa83fe7… |
| 10-05 08:18:32 | (anonymous) 0x373b…c855 | Up | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1dd6ae… |
| 10-05 08:18:32 | (anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e | Down | BUY | 2,766 | 99¢ | $2,738 | 0xa2fc27… |
| 10-05 08:18:32 | Humming-Mime 0x18c1…2183 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa2fc27… |
| 10-05 08:18:32 | (anonymous) 0x7db5…4b1e | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa2fc27… |
| 10-05 08:18:32 | Daring-Spasm 0xfc2f…0fdf | Up | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa83fe7… |
| 10-05 08:18:32 | (anonymous) 0x4161…286a | Down | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x2bacd9… |
| 10-05 08:18:32 | Thorny-Precipitation 0xfe8c…e6be | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xbb9210… |
| 10-05 08:18:32 | Rubbery-Chiffonier 0xe8d6…c964 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x9674fa… |
| 10-05 08:18:32 | (anonymous) 0x1291…cbe2 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x1d378e… |
| 10-05 08:18:32 | (anonymous) 0xaadb…5520 | Up | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xa2fc27… |