Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17.9K

Unrealized P&L

+$4.66K

Hit rate

91.8%

Resolved

Trades

146

lifetime

Volume

$785.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$5.38K

Open exposure

$40.4K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 09-29 01:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

59% 85% +$7,358

Politics

41% 100% +$10,581

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+27,000	$21,810	94¢	$25.5K	+$3,705	05-12 17:43
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	+5,000	$4,293	86¢	$4.3K	-$18	09-29 01:30
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	+5,000	$4,050	86¢	$4.3K	+$225	08-26 17:46
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	+3,834	$3,100	98¢	$3.8K	+$663	06-03 06:37
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+2,594	$2,438	97¢	$2.5K	+$89	08-26 17:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?	6	$129.4K	65,849	65,849	+0	No	+$2,057	01-31 17:38
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	13	$105.0K	79,422	28,225	+51,197	No	+$2,549	03-01 00:24
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$79.7K	80,000	0	+80,000	Yes	+$320	04-07 16:40
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	3	$55.0K	12,000	44,000	-32,000	No	-$529	06-23 20:07
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	5	$42.8K	45,168	0	+45,168	No	+$2,369	04-15 18:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$28.2K	28,503	0	+28,503	No	+$349	04-25 15:51
will iran claim responsibility for oslo embassy attack	1	$25.3K	29,129	0	+29,129	No	+$3,814	03-08 04:24
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	5	$24.9K	25,339	0	+25,339	Yes	+$401	03-08 04:29
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	8	$24.1K	25,226	0	+25,226	No	+$1,154	01-09 15:58
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	5	$23.5K	12,000	12,000	+0	No	+$243	06-23 20:21
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$21.8K	27,000	0	+27,000	open	—	05-12 17:43
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1	$20.1K	20,760	0	+20,760	No	+$653	02-15 23:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$19.8K	20,000	0	+20,000	No	+$160	05-11 00:48
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	2	$18.9K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	06-23 20:06
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$15.4K	15,904	0	+15,904	No	+$477	03-15 23:38
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	1	$14.3K	14,606	0	+14,606	No	+$314	05-14 16:33
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	10	$14.0K	15,478	0	+15,478	No	+$1,449	03-01 20:34
will khamenei leave iran by friday	1	$13.1K	13,212	0	+13,212	No	+$66	01-09 09:25
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	10	$12.7K	14,783	0	+14,783	No	+$2,045	03-22 03:23
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	12	$11.9K	12,245	0	+12,245	No	+$338	03-08 04:16
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$9.6K	10,291	0	+10,291	Yes	+$657	03-08 00:49
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	1	$8.1K	8,256	0	+8,256	No	+$110	05-18 15:01
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	5	$7.8K	3,972	3,972	+0	open	—	06-06 05:49
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$7.6K	7,705	0	+7,705	No	+$123	05-12 18:04
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?	2	$7.1K	3,591	3,591	+0	open	—	06-06 05:49
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	5	$6.5K	3,638	3,637	+1	No	+$159	03-06 16:20
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	2	$6.2K	3,158	3,158	+0	open	—	06-06 05:50
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$4.7K	2,700	2,700	+0	No	+$624	06-23 20:07
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	3	$4.4K	5,135	0	+5,135	Yes	+$737	03-06 20:48
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	6	$4.3K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	09-29 01:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-29 01:30:21	Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,397	86¢	$1,202	0xb09f99…
09-28 05:34:27	Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	258	86¢	$222	0x2e18ff…
09-28 01:29:12	Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	86¢	$64	0x2f983b…
09-27 23:37:50	Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,209	86¢	$2,753	0xbc052b…
09-27 23:37:50	Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0x13c094…
09-27 23:37:48	Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	86¢	$40	0x73fe79…
08-26 17:49:12	Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,594	94¢	$2,438	0xe7302f…
08-26 17:46:37	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	81¢	$4,050	0x153b30…
06-23 20:21:07	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	160	98¢	$157	0x18b13a…
06-23 20:19:41	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8,667	99¢	$8,547	0xadc993…
06-23 20:12:53	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,669	99¢	$2,641	0xcca37c…
06-23 20:08:16	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	505	99¢	$501	0xfd77c9…
06-23 20:07:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	12,000	100¢	$11,964	0x71bc1e…
06-23 20:07:13	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	2,700	99¢	$2,676	0x1032bc…
06-23 20:06:47	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0x636869…
06-17 06:03:53	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12,000	97¢	$11,604	0x950221…
06-11 16:03:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	12,000	98¢	$11,780	0x9e59cb…
06-06 06:16:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	32,000	98¢	$31,288	0x5023cd…
06-06 05:50:03	Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	3,158	100¢	$3,151	0x103ca9…
06-06 05:49:48	Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	3,591	100¢	$3,584	0x6d826a…
06-06 05:49:21	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	3,972	100¢	$3,964	0x44dbe4…
06-03 06:37:02	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,834	81¢	$3,100	0x1c3548…
06-03 06:35:20	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	10,000	89¢	$8,940	0x0cc168…
05-28 00:02:57	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	2,700	76¢	$2,052	0x586342…
05-18 15:03:40	Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	3,591	98¢	$3,526	0xe06c8c…
05-18 15:03:21	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	1,464	97¢	$1,425	0xd8df2a…
05-18 15:01:31	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	8,256	99¢	$8,147	0xb08fe0…
05-15 21:39:49	Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	BUY	555	99¢	$546	0x99da0d…
05-15 21:36:12	Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9ffc8c…
05-15 13:52:38	Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x68472d…
05-15 11:45:38	Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0xc5a1b0…
05-15 03:25:13	Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc9e63f…
05-15 03:25:10	Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb6eabb…
05-15 03:25:10	Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5d0478…
05-15 03:25:08	Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe3c052…
05-15 03:25:06	Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb9566e…
05-15 03:25:06	Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x823e8f…
05-15 03:25:06	Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x76b6c6…
05-15 03:25:06	Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x35e538…
05-15 03:25:06	Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2ee448…
05-15 03:25:05	Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x88cee1…
05-14 22:58:49	Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	BUY	82	99¢	$80	0x21e2f5…
05-14 16:38:17	Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	3,158	98¢	$3,088	0x28c37e…
05-14 16:38:04	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	1,042	98¢	$1,017	0x5c1006…
05-14 16:33:07	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	14,606	98¢	$14,292	0xe383b7…
05-14 15:53:27	Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc077e3…
05-14 10:19:42	Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0xee9b05…
05-14 08:08:25	Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xca9cc9…
05-14 01:25:34	Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x603c06…
05-12 18:04:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	7,705	98¢	$7,582	0x506615…
05-12 17:50:14	Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	BUY	2,944	99¢	$2,900	0xef3ce2…
05-12 17:46:56	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	329	98¢	$321	0x3dd5a6…
05-12 17:43:42	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	12,000	78¢	$9,360	0x82a65f…
05-11 00:48:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	20,000	99¢	$19,840	0x54c1d3…
05-06 15:36:30	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	1,137	97¢	$1,109	0x1b12b5…
05-06 15:36:02	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	15,000	83¢	$12,450	0xaceb39…
04-25 15:51:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	28,503	99¢	$28,154	0x7edf2c…
04-15 18:36:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	27,168	98¢	$26,679	0xbfa361…
04-07 16:50:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	2,000	96¢	$1,910	0x9cb411…
04-07 16:40:55	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20,000	100¢	$19,920	0x599559…
04-07 16:40:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	2,000	95¢	$1,910	0x900504…
04-07 16:29:21	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	60,000	100¢	$59,760	0xc41168…
03-22 03:23:51	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	4,117	98¢	$4,051	0x9d64bc…
03-22 03:18:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	12,000	89¢	$10,680	0x85f2cc…
03-15 23:38:49	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	15,904	97¢	$15,427	0xfc1cdf…
03-08 04:29:53	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2,037	99¢	$2,008	0x60062f…
03-08 04:24:27	will iran claim responsibility for oslo embassy attack	No	BUY	29,129	87¢	$25,315	0xce7e81…
03-08 04:16:21	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	204	98¢	$201	0x089d00…
03-08 04:05:07	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xb59675…
03-08 04:02:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	2,000	81¢	$1,620	0x413a2b…
03-08 03:44:35	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x096320…
03-08 03:44:31	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	290	99¢	$285	0xefe5f4…
03-08 03:44:25	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xb33e29…
03-08 03:44:25	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xaf5698…
03-08 03:44:01	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	3,000	98¢	$2,955	0x9ae1e4…
03-08 02:32:39	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x28f412…
03-08 02:01:07	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x53700f…
03-08 00:49:45	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	7,291	97¢	$7,084	0xe25326…
03-08 00:48:53	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	225	98¢	$221	0x7fe4d6…
03-08 00:45:05	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xde3d84…
03-08 00:44:47	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x756161…
03-08 00:43:43	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	23,075	98¢	$22,706	0x0de4ff…
03-07 16:32:19	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	5,000	89¢	$4,452	0x33ccf5…
03-06 20:48:05	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	Yes	BUY	192	86¢	$165	0x39fc7a…
03-06 16:47:05	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	3,000	85¢	$2,550	0x5e8a3d…
03-06 16:41:05	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x779a0a…
03-06 16:41:01	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4,935	86¢	$4,226	0x30a0a0…
03-06 16:20:29	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	No	SELL	3,637	92¢	$3,351	0x145f1d…
03-03 20:05:45	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	818	70¢	$573	0x93ca15…
03-01 21:04:09	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	No	BUY	1,986	88¢	$1,748	0x9ac984…
03-01 20:58:13	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xefada8…
03-01 20:56:09	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xfe661a…
03-01 20:50:55	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	No	BUY	1,638	87¢	$1,432	0x33e462…
03-01 20:34:45	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	3,184	91¢	$2,904	0x9a298d…
03-01 20:30:33	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	1,002	91¢	$908	0xcca02b…
03-01 19:05:35	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	1,069	90¢	$967	0x88ed2c…
03-01 19:02:15	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	475	90¢	$426	0xd5bd43…
03-01 19:01:57	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	150	75¢	$112	0xddda04…
03-01 19:01:57	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	150	75¢	$112	0xaa152b…
03-01 19:01:57	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	150	75¢	$112	0x3ba6f2…