(anonymous) 0x30c16e…8f9f91
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$14.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.38K
Hit rate
57.1%
Resolved
628
Trades
7,730
lifetime
Volume
$4.01M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$519
Open exposure
$30.8K
18 positions
First seen
2026-07-09
last 10-29 20:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 70 days
Categories
Other
67% 50% +$10,696
Sports
22% 46% +$6,235
Politics
11% 61% -$2,674
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 246 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +7,353 $5,000 70¢ $5.1K +$110 10-28 12:47
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +6,667 $5,000 74¢ $5.0K -$33 10-28 20:12
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-10-29? Yes — +11,986 $5,000 40¢ $4.9K -$146 10-29 21:34
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +4,310 $2,500 80¢ $3.4K +$927 10-27 20:09
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +4,728 -$259 61¢ $2.9K +$3,124 10-26 08:52
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +3,757 $2,468 66¢ $2.5K +$31 10-28 17:28
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +6,793 $2,258 32¢ $2.2K -$50 10-29 08:09
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +6,410 $5,000 34¢ $2.2K -$2,821 09-30 20:08
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +2,593 $2,125 45¢ $1.2K -$958 10-29 20:26
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +1,145 $685 55¢ $635 -$49 10-29 20:03
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? No +593 $415 72¢ $430 +$15 10-29 03:33
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +219 $144 97¢ $213 +$69 10-05 07:27
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +289 $307 58¢ $169 -$138 10-28 07:50
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +250 $65 24¢ $61 -$4 10-04 21:31
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +79 $29 42¢ $33 +$4 10-29 20:45
will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date Yes +216 $56 10¢ $21 -$36 08-11 11:40
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +0 -$1,001 86¢ $0 +$1,001 08-16 12:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$333 84¢ $0 +$333 10-29 17:52