Unwitting-Gloom — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$151

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.4%

Resolved

942

Trades

3,409

lifetime

Volume

$38.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 11-13 20:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 113 days

Categories

Other

67% 43% -$150

Politics

20% 72% -$12

Crypto

5% 57% +$155

Sports

5% 56% -$88

Tech

2% 30% -$55

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	38	$1.5K	773	773	+0	No	+$18	06-29 18:44
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	9	$556	290	290	+0	No	+$1	07-04 00:08
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	10	$554	290	290	+0	No	-$2	05-09 08:25
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	24	$442	350	260	+90	Yes	+$7	05-05 19:33
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	5	$422	220	220	+0	No	+$3	05-17 16:21
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs	1	$403	682	0	+682	Team Falcons	+$280	09-04 09:42
world cup scoreless team 20260607162032311	5	$344	216	216	+0	Yes	-$37	06-26 01:39
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$342	200	200	+0	Yes	+$2	06-04 18:09
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	15	$320	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-17 13:21
starmer out by june 22 2026	3	$313	210	210	+0	Yes	-$6	06-21 11:18
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$287	189	189	+0	No	+$87	06-02 08:21
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	32	$268	1,370	1,370	+0	No	-$76	06-10 18:41
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	2	$266	200	200	+0	Yes	-$10	06-06 13:26
Will MrBeast say "Feastable" or "Feastables" during his next video?	24	$263	250	200	+50	No	-$22	05-02 16:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	5	$252	600	600	+0	open	—	08-04 17:30
cs2 mouz vit 2026 09 05	1	$244	406	0	+406	MOUZ	-$244	09-05 10:58
will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	4	$243	170	170	+0	No	+$72	07-01 15:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	4	$230	140	102	+38	No	+$11	05-13 11:07
Will Solana dip to $70 in June?	10	$228	267	125	+142	Yes	+$116	06-03 07:36
will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	5	$227	159	159	+0	No	+$9	06-10 09:05
Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?	18	$225	216	156	+60	No	-$23	05-05 19:58
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	8	$218	232	232	+0	Yes	-$34	08-12 19:11
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	7	$209	110	110	+0	No	+$5	06-21 18:56
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	5	$208	138	138	+0	Yes	+$2	05-21 09:57
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	10	$208	140	140	+0	Yes	+$32	06-15 03:57
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 9?	6	$203	150	150	+0	Yes	+$96	07-09 10:14
Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	11	$176	138	138	+0	Yes	-$18	05-05 12:16
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	6	$167	120	120	+0	No	+$26	06-18 19:23
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	2	$164	100	100	+0	Yes	-$8	06-15 16:18
Ebola case in the US by June 30?	18	$162	330	330	+0	No	+$1	05-28 12:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 20:25:48	UFC 334: Drew Dober vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Prelims)	Drew Dober	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x98f28f…
11-13 19:37:52	UFC 334: Drew Dober vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Prelims)	Drew Dober	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xfc4898…
11-13 18:14:55	UFC 334: Drew Dober vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Prelims)	Drew Dober	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x77a56d…
11-13 18:12:22	UFC 334: Drew Dober vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Prelims)	Drew Dober	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xf6e438…
11-13 18:09:43	UFC 334: Drew Dober vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Prelims)	Drew Dober	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x80544d…
11-13 18:09:36	UFC 334: Drew Dober vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Prelims)	Drew Dober	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7f9174…
11-13 18:09:33	UFC 334: Drew Dober vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Prelims)	Drew Dober	BUY	32	37¢	$12	0x7bf239…
11-12 22:19:30	UFC 334: Drew Dober vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Prelims)	Drew Dober	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xd046d2…
09-19 20:11:24	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x67ad15…
09-19 16:03:00	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xadfa8b…
09-19 16:03:00	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0x654365…
09-19 16:03:00	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x373717…
09-05 10:58:43	cs2 mouz vit 2026 09 05	Vitality	BUY	406	60¢	$244	0x1ce253…
09-04 09:42:57	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	682	59¢	$403	0x1ec165…
08-31 20:47:31	Will Trump say "Thomas Jefferson" in August?	No	BUY	54	98¢	$52	0xec751e…
08-31 20:47:00	Will Trump say "Sucker" in August?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x1922d0…
08-31 20:46:36	Will Trump say "Presidential Walk of Fame" in August?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x5f40d9…
08-31 20:45:58	Will Trump say "Thomas Jefferson" in August?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xef6ca3…
08-26 14:24:43	Will MrBeast's next video get between 58 and 59 million views on day 4?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xad3155…
08-26 10:27:48	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x4ec718…
08-26 09:19:49	Will MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 58 million views on day 4?	No	SELL	36	72¢	$26	0x50ad1f…
08-26 09:19:48	Will MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 58 million views on day 4?	No	SELL	63	72¢	$46	0x2bc54a…
08-25 10:52:52	Will MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 58 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	14	81¢	$11	0x5a4d72…
08-25 10:51:12	Will MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 58 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	8	81¢	$7	0x4d1949…
08-25 10:51:10	Will MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 58 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	73	81¢	$59	0xa95a19…
08-25 10:47:54	Will MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 58 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x91d6c5…
08-25 09:34:10	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	19	66¢	$13	0x15736a…
08-25 09:33:33	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	31	66¢	$20	0xae5374…
08-25 07:47:55	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0xe28c83…
08-25 07:47:55	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	13	66¢	$9	0xa42314…
08-25 07:47:55	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	18	66¢	$12	0x7f892a…
08-25 07:47:55	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0x38b2f9…
08-25 06:51:34	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	120	30¢	$36	0xa6c1f4…
08-25 00:02:04	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x7bb2d3…
08-24 22:26:31	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0xf22fc5…
08-24 22:26:30	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0x40d6bd…
08-24 22:26:25	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0xf0c23d…
08-24 22:26:22	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0x6fe551…
08-24 22:06:54	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	60	70¢	$42	0x9066b2…
08-24 20:53:18	will trump say hottest during tele rallies	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x1b052f…
08-23 15:14:25	Will Trump say "Assassin" or "Assassination" this week?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x769242…
08-23 08:59:04	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x8239fb…
08-22 20:09:07	Will MrBeast's next video get between 15 and 20 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x80f466…
08-21 20:09:04	will trump say transgender this week 20260823	No	SELL	21	16¢	$3	0xc47d81…
08-21 10:50:25	will trump say transgender this week 20260823	No	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x659e9f…
08-21 08:09:46	will trump say transgender this week 20260823	No	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0x31c30b…
08-21 07:57:49	will trump say america first this week 20260823	No	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x2b72d4…
08-21 07:43:39	will mrbeast say feastables during his next youtube video 20260818	No	BUY	20	88¢	$17	0xac059c…
08-20 22:44:31	will mrbeast say grocery store during his next youtube video 20260818	No	BUY	67	88¢	$59	0x66d7cf…
08-20 22:43:57	will mrbeast say feastables during his next youtube video 20260818	No	BUY	13	84¢	$11	0x3f3385…
08-20 22:41:28	will trump say transgender this week 20260823	Yes	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0xd47db2…
08-20 19:06:55	will trump say gaza in august 20260728181450066	No	SELL	34	50¢	$17	0x580116…
08-19 19:48:22	will mrbeast say chandler during his next youtube video 20260818	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xc59620…
08-19 19:48:12	will mrbeast say chandler during his next youtube video 20260818	No	BUY	40	76¢	$30	0xc2ad06…
08-19 16:43:57	will mrbeast say chandler during his next youtube video 20260818	No	BUY	25	66¢	$16	0xb3f9b6…
08-19 15:42:31	will trump say transgender this week 20260823	Yes	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x14826f…
08-19 08:16:03	will mamdani say school during his announcement 20260831	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xff93c7…
08-19 08:15:40	will mamdani say school during his announcement 20260831	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x7ab542…
08-19 08:15:16	will mamdani say economy or economic during his announcement 20260831	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xdf1cf2…
08-19 08:14:22	will mamdani say economy or economic during his announcement 20260831	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x076aa7…
08-19 08:14:12	will mamdani say afford or affordable or affordability during his announcement 20260831	Yes	BUY	26	63¢	$16	0x27fcf7…
08-18 10:52:30	will trump say gaza in august 20260728181450066	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x01b1bf…
08-18 10:52:18	will trump say gaza in august 20260728181450066	No	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0xb3944c…
08-18 10:52:13	will trump say gaza in august 20260728181450066	No	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x64cd71…
08-18 10:52:10	will trump say gaza in august 20260728181450066	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xbc7fa9…
08-17 16:03:43	will people be said 100 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of august 17	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x8ad24f…
08-17 16:03:37	will people be said 100 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of august 17	Yes	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xe0dbdb…
08-15 18:32:42	will trump say ballroom this week 20260807162748312	No	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x421ca1…
08-15 15:14:43	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 6 and 8 million views on day 1?	No	SELL	60	93¢	$56	0xbcf07c…
08-15 13:44:36	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 6 and 8 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	60	67¢	$40	0xc1cb0b…
08-15 13:44:07	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 16 million or more views on day 1?	No	BUY	77	84¢	$65	0xa9fb3c…
08-14 07:06:31	will trump say border 15 times during remarks in new york 20260811183234679	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x9fd841…
08-14 07:06:10	will trump say hottest during remarks in new york 20260811183234691	Yes	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x7a1756…
08-14 07:05:34	will trump say border 15 times during remarks in new york 20260811183234679	No	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0xbfa9ba…
08-14 07:05:24	will trump say border 15 times during remarks in new york 20260811183234679	No	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0x5ec38d…
08-12 19:11:46	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	80	15¢	$12	0xba65b7…
08-12 19:11:45	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0xdab8fb…
08-12 19:11:45	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x40272d…
08-12 19:11:45	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0x2c3317…
08-12 10:11:27	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	75	26¢	$20	0xa3e046…
08-12 10:04:06	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	57	28¢	$16	0x74c5a3…
08-12 10:00:12	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0x8b8c9f…
08-12 08:04:58	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	70	32¢	$22	0x144e65…
08-11 09:13:01	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xcc53c0…
08-10 18:15:07	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xf8c98d…
08-10 18:10:52	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x3d4a50…
08-10 18:10:49	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	25	67¢	$17	0x54333e…
08-10 18:10:48	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x63b4eb…
08-10 18:08:48	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	100	29¢	$29	0x6ad074…
08-09 09:41:46	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x3cb06d…
08-09 09:41:46	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x2bb388…
08-09 09:38:42	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	80	78¢	$63	0x1cd1dd…
08-06 13:21:08	will mrbeast say subscribe or subscribed during his next youtube video 20260729175811875	No	BUY	85	84¢	$71	0x0839c0…
08-06 13:20:42	will mrbeast say feastables during his next youtube video 20260729175811872	Yes	BUY	44	84¢	$37	0xd66e87…
08-04 17:53:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0x0233d6…
08-04 17:30:26	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	400	19¢	$76	0xfdf1ac…
08-04 10:14:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	21¢	$42	0x4d095b…
08-04 03:08:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	22¢	$44	0xa6b67d…
08-02 18:53:44	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 3?	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x678f60…
08-02 18:53:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 3?	No	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x01c5f3…