Austere-Harvester — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$144

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.6%

Resolved

208

Trades

645

lifetime

Volume

$2.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 05-18 20:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 32% $-124

Other

8% 29% $-2

Sports

7% 8% $-16

Politics

2% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	3	$150	1,983	0	+1,983	open	—	04-27 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$110	1,392	0	+1,392	open	—	04-27 17:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$110	111	0	+111	Up	+$1	05-04 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9?	9	$45	61	55	+6	Up	$-5	05-09 08:27
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	8	$42	42	42	+0	open	—	05-09 10:37
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	5	$27	63	63	+0	open	—	05-08 10:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	4	$22	19	12	+7	Yes	+$2	05-09 09:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	5	$22	41	10	+31	No	$-2	05-09 08:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$20	33	0	+33	open	—	04-29 21:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	15	$20	220	0	+220	Up	$-20	05-10 22:05
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	3	$20	24	24	+0	open	—	05-04 11:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	3	$19	10	10	+0	No	$-0	05-08 22:31
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	4	$18	108	108	+0	open	—	05-13 15:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?	6	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	05-04 11:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6PM ET	4	$17	68	0	+68	Up	$-17	05-10 22:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	7	$17	100	0	+100	Up	$-17	05-10 22:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	5	$17	143	0	+143	Up	$-17	05-14 00:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6PM ET	4	$17	74	0	+74	Up	$-17	05-10 22:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	5	$17	26	17	+9	Yes	+$4	05-04 18:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	4	$16	38	38	+0	open	—	05-08 17:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$16	16	16	+0	open	—	05-01 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	5	$16	24	24	+0	open	—	05-01 19:13
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	6	$15	84	0	+84	Up	$-15	05-10 22:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	2	$14	5	10	-5	open	—	05-09 12:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	3	$13	45	45	+0	open	—	05-04 11:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	3	$13	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 13:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?	4	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	05-10 21:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	3	$11	14	14	+0	open	—	05-01 21:54
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8AM ET	4	$11	47	0	+47	Down	$-6	05-10 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8AM ET	4	$11	28	0	+28	Up	$-11	05-10 12:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 20:49:51	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0xf82399…
05-15 03:49:03	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x178b9e…
05-15 03:49:00	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x7dbb17…
05-15 03:48:54	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xf9e0f5…
05-15 03:48:54	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x94b76d…
05-15 03:45:38	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x9a6c17…
05-14 22:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x5e07a9…
05-14 07:07:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x130458…
05-14 07:06:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x617a46…
05-14 06:56:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	28	20¢	$6	0x57208b…
05-14 06:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	27	31¢	$8	0x2e43ed…
05-14 06:34:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	24	18¢	$4	0x16390c…
05-14 05:22:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	36	23¢	$8	0x8fdfad…
05-14 05:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x7942d0…
05-14 05:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xeec03d…
05-14 04:27:22	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0x88baa8…
05-14 04:27:22	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x603723…
05-14 03:11:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xbf0016…
05-14 02:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x5051ba…
05-14 01:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xb5b4e0…
05-14 01:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x10cd5c…
05-14 01:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x945560…
05-14 01:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x51289f…
05-14 01:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xc24e8d…
05-14 01:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xf09fbd…
05-14 01:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xcdf1ca…
05-14 01:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x9ade27…
05-14 01:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x2fa592…
05-14 01:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xf2088b…
05-14 01:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xfe794e…
05-14 01:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	52	4¢	$2	0xdb92df…
05-14 01:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xc86271…
05-14 01:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0x6d3e8f…
05-14 01:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xdfd445…
05-14 01:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x61ade0…
05-14 01:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x4b63d3…
05-14 01:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xd7bb18…
05-14 01:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x4e4b2e…
05-14 01:40:12	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	36¢	$7	0x0ece2d…
05-14 00:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	45	6¢	$3	0x877608…
05-14 00:33:42	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	32	25¢	$8	0x4b7171…
05-14 00:32:22	Bitcoin above 79,600 on May 13, 9PM ET?	No	BUY	14	62¢	$9	0x487b55…
05-14 00:26:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x150444…
05-14 00:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x7f4147…
05-14 00:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	76	12¢	$9	0x31f577…
05-14 00:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x4c8148…
05-14 00:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x865ba4…
05-14 00:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xd07aff…
05-14 00:08:08	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	56	14¢	$8	0x8694fa…
05-14 00:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	53	5¢	$3	0x869b5a…
05-14 00:06:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	71	9¢	$7	0x3615a4…
05-14 00:05:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xf72a1d…
05-14 00:05:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x8bbdef…
05-14 00:05:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	51	14¢	$7	0x3fd0e0…
05-14 00:05:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x41a940…
05-13 15:40:08	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	1¢	$0	0x98338f…
05-13 15:39:01	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Wolves	SELL	27	8¢	$2	0xd528f7…
05-13 15:37:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x21bccf…
05-13 15:37:04	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavs	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0xc054b6…
05-13 15:36:20	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	103	3¢	$4	0xef0999…
05-13 10:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	23	42¢	$10	0x05340e…
05-13 10:08:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	62	4¢	$2	0x61b31a…
05-13 10:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	45	4¢	$2	0x05b31e…
05-13 09:13:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xfb352c…
05-13 08:42:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x0e04b6…
05-13 08:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x55666d…
05-13 08:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x1e9229…
05-13 08:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x4f24d9…
05-12 01:43:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x418e87…
05-12 01:41:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x121d3d…
05-12 01:41:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x31cd63…
05-11 22:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x5448d5…
05-11 22:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0x82c7a3…
05-11 22:03:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xf8524a…
05-11 22:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xefbc26…
05-11 16:56:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	3	16¢	$0	0x904594…
05-11 15:02:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	28¢	$4	0x75c739…
05-11 03:19:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xab3721…
05-11 03:19:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x6d0bde…
05-11 00:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x6b27dc…
05-11 00:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0xaa1140…
05-11 00:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x74f4f7…
05-11 00:06:07	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x1313dc…
05-11 00:06:00	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0x7aab8c…
05-11 00:05:57	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	13¢	$3	0x123256…
05-11 00:05:53	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xcb5edf…
05-11 00:05:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x3d6567…
05-11 00:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	17¢	$3	0xbc8bfa…
05-10 22:36:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0xa14a57…
05-10 22:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	68	5¢	$3	0x858dc7…
05-10 22:36:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$4	0x386d86…
05-10 22:18:53	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x49ae1c…
05-10 22:18:51	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x4d9579…
05-10 22:18:46	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xd71b93…
05-10 22:18:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xf8cf53…
05-10 22:18:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x50bdef…
05-10 22:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xa174b4…
05-10 22:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xacb921…
05-10 22:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	9¢	$3	0x957781…
05-10 22:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x4943ac…