Realized P&L
-$340
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
62.1%
Resolved
226
Trades
666
lifetime
Volume
$11.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$130
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-28 15:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 79 days
Categories
Politics
64% 58% +$0
Crypto
27% 37% -$400
Other
10% 50% +$60
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +116 $33 49¢ $57 +$24 10-18 14:53
US military draft authorized in 2026? No -30 -$28 97¢ $-29 -$2 05-27 15:59
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +53 $20 32¢ $17 -$3 10-18 13:29
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +56 $5 14¢ $8 +$3 10-18 13:28
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +104 $11 6¢ $6 -$5 05-04 20:02
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +220 $10 2¢ $5 -$5 06-15 10:55
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +100 $21 4¢ $4 -$17 06-15 12:58
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +13 $8 18¢ $2 -$6 06-11 17:36
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes -83 -$17 2¢ $-2 +$15 05-13 04:57