Realized P&L
+$899
Unrealized P&L
+$115
Hit rate
80.7%
Resolved
16
Trades
20
lifetime
Volume
$120.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6.02K
Open exposure
$136
1 position
First seen
2026-01-08
last 05-18 15:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
87%
77%
-$835
Other
13%
50%
+$1,744
Crypto
0%
0%
-$10
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-18).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | -716 | -$251 | 19¢ | $-136 | +$115 | 05-18 15:49 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | 2 | $22.4K | 12,851 | 12,851 | +0 | Yes | +$2,400 | 04-05 03:22 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 1 | $15.0K | 16,854 | 0 | +16,854 | No | +$1,854 | 04-03 00:37 |
| will the us invade iran by march 31 | 1 | $13.0K | 15,092 | 0 | +15,092 | No | +$2,131 | 03-18 12:18 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 15 | 1 | $10.0K | 10,870 | 0 | +10,870 | Yes | -$10,000 | 04-03 00:34 |
| nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026 | 1 | $10.0K | 10,331 | 0 | +10,331 | No | +$331 | 03-09 16:26 |
| will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026 | 1 | $10.0K | 10,129 | 0 | +10,129 | No | +$129 | 03-09 16:25 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | 1 | $8.1K | 0 | 8,204 | -8,204 | No | -$152 | 05-18 15:49 |
| russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026 | 2 | $5.6K | 6,348 | 0 | +6,348 | No | +$698 | 02-02 19:01 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? | 1 | $5.0K | 7,042 | 0 | +7,042 | Yes | +$2,042 | 04-03 00:35 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | 1 | $5.0K | 8,929 | 0 | +8,929 | Yes | -$5,000 | 01-08 18:15 |
| will trump visit china by march 31 | 1 | $5.0K | 10,082 | 0 | +10,082 | No | +$5,082 | 03-09 16:35 |
| will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026 | 1 | $5.0K | 5,695 | 0 | +5,695 | No | +$695 | 04-03 00:40 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 | 1 | $5.0K | 5,682 | 0 | +5,682 | No | +$682 | 01-08 18:15 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026? | 1 | $1000 | 1,126 | 0 | +1,126 | No | +$126 | 04-05 03:37 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | 1 | $251 | 0 | 716 | -716 | open | — | 05-18 15:49 |
| us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31 | 2 | $110 | 7,436 | 0 | +7,436 | Yes | -$110 | 02-02 18:28 |
| bitcoin up or down on february 2 | 1 | $10 | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | Up | -$10 | 02-02 18:05 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||