Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$0

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

63.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

249 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$477

$1.95K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$51

12 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 11-11 22:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Other

75% 43% -$183

Sports

19% 50% -$14

Politics

3% 71% +$2

Pop-Culture

2% 67% +$4

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (12) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026?	Yes	+14	$10	96¢	$14	+$3	10-29 11:47
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+11	$10	97¢	$11	+$1	10-08 20:37
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	-20	-$6	26¢	$-5	+$1	07-07 04:55
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	+6	$5	82¢	$5	+$0	10-06 13:40
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+7	$5	70¢	$5	$0	11-08 03:01
Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 105m?	No	+22	$5	13¢	$3	-$2	11-08 09:27
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Yes	+8	$2	32¢	$3	+$1	08-10 04:48
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+12	$2	18¢	$2	+$0	10-15 07:46
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+8	$2	24¢	$2	$0	10-15 07:46
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+14	$2	14¢	$2	$0	10-15 07:46
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	+5	$1	4¢	$0	-$1	08-01 07:30
Will Wild Horse Nine get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	+69	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	08-10 01:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	3	$87	50	518	-468	open	—	07-18 18:00
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office be at least 15m?	2	$79	50	50	+0	Yes	+$19	09-06 05:13
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	4	$63	50	49	+1	Yes	+$4	04-23 14:36
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	4	$44	31	31	+0	No	+$5	04-26 13:42
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$43	833	1,738	-904	No	+$13	06-27 00:01
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?	3	$39	37	22	+15	Yes	-$1	07-02 17:21
Will "One Night Only" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 6m?	2	$36	40	40	+0	Yes	-$20	08-08 10:09
will morocco reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134476	3	$33	66	52	+14	Yes	-$5	07-04 08:06
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 44m?	2	$33	19	19	+0	No	+$3	07-10 04:14
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?	2	$31	99	99	+0	Yes	+$1	04-28 05:31
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 15m?	4	$30	38	38	+0	No	+$0	05-09 16:29
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	2	$30	21	21	+0	Yes	+$10	08-27 02:06
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 24m?	1	$30	40	0	+40	Yes	+$10	08-29 10:20
will usa reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120747	1	$30	36	0	+36	Yes	+$6	07-01 13:03
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	2	$30	71	0	+71	No	-$30	05-28 03:10
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?	2	$26	16	16	+0	Yes	+$6	07-11 15:21
will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be less than 8m	4	$25	19	19	+0	Yes	+$5	04-13 00:58
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?	2	$24	22	14	+7	No	+$2	05-07 15:29
will england reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149753	1	$22	34	0	+34	Yes	+$12	07-11 08:24
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?	2	$22	23	23	+0	Yes	+$2	05-08 19:40
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 400m?	3	$22	47	47	+0	open	—	11-11 22:55
The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	2	$20	13	13	+0	Michael	+$2	04-27 01:57
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	2	$20	30	30	+0	No	+$1	08-08 10:16
Will "Minions & Monsters" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 18m?	1	$20	73	0	+73	No	-$20	07-11 01:20
Will "Minions & Monsters" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 20m?	1	$20	26	0	+26	Yes	-$20	07-11 09:21
will idiots score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	2	$20	19	19	+0	No	-$10	08-28 01:23
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	1	$20	28	0	+28	Yes	-$20	03-30 00:27
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	2	$20	252	0	+252	No	-$20	04-25 16:16
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$19	12	12	+0	Yes	+$5	04-30 12:26
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 25m?	3	$18	30	30	+0	Yes	+$15	08-15 09:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 22:56:40	Benedict Wong as Wong?	Yes	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0xfc3c1e…
11-11 22:55:43	Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 400m?	Yes	SELL	47	24¢	$11	0x1035c6…
11-09 21:54:13	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd03c29…
11-09 07:06:48	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 34m?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xf3a0ab…
11-08 20:40:04	Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 400m?	Yes	BUY	31	22¢	$7	0xea8110…
11-08 20:40:04	Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 400m?	Yes	BUY	16	22¢	$4	0x45caa9…
11-08 11:50:06	Will "The Cat in the Hat" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 20m?	No	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x3be8d5…
11-08 10:22:55	Will "The Cat in the Hat" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 20m?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x44499a…
11-08 10:18:43	Will "Clayface" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least 7m?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xe8ede8…
11-08 10:14:55	Will "The Cat in the Hat" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 20m?	No	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xe8493f…
11-08 10:14:52	Will "The Cat in the Hat" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 20m?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x78f426…
11-08 10:01:34	Will "The Cat in the Hat" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 20m?	No	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0xfb722c…
11-08 09:32:57	Will "Ramayana" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 9m?	Yes	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0xbc734f…
11-08 09:27:42	Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 105m?	No	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x0072ed…
11-08 03:01:51	Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xbd6e95…
11-03 11:00:28	Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf884dd…
11-03 11:00:03	Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x6b2391…
10-29 11:47:11	Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	75¢	$10	0x31a72d…
10-24 16:14:11	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x0afd42…
10-24 15:23:06	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x590327…
10-24 15:16:26	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xa574da…
10-24 14:04:51	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x7bdf11…
10-23 18:18:23	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x37b7e5…
10-23 17:42:12	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x999d99…
10-23 17:38:21	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xfa01d0…
10-23 17:35:57	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x4d022a…
10-23 10:45:45	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $11M?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x9b3982…
10-21 14:14:23	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x4302aa…
10-21 14:12:57	FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa48f27…
10-21 14:12:41	FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x317055…
10-20 04:26:21	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x232eaa…
10-17 13:34:36	Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?	No	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x077c65…
10-17 12:30:33	Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?	No	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x99bf09…
10-15 07:46:58	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x351718…
10-15 07:46:47	Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x6d3163…
10-15 07:46:29	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x845b15…
10-14 08:13:10	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa2faaf…
10-14 08:04:19	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xbd030e…
10-14 07:27:53	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9c9c8c…
10-14 07:12:59	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x2f82d4…
10-12 22:30:36	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x1463df…
10-12 09:22:01	Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x7fa9df…
10-08 20:37:47	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xdfbd26…
10-06 14:05:15	Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x394318…
10-06 13:40:45	Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xdc12d4…
10-06 13:39:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x6f4066…
10-02 15:35:15	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x7f57a6…
10-02 15:15:08	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xf5793a…
09-11 03:51:27	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	25	26¢	$6	0xa937f1…
09-11 01:27:42	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x298bc7…
09-06 05:13:06	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office be at least 15m?	Yes	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x4d4971…
09-03 02:38:36	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xe4c29f…
09-03 02:36:55	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x4e1d80…
09-03 02:26:04	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office be at least 15m?	Yes	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0xf8d572…
08-29 10:20:25	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 24m?	Yes	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xc0beb8…
08-29 10:18:16	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?	Yes	SELL	37	17¢	$6	0xd16963…
08-28 01:23:33	will idiots score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	SELL	19	26¢	$5	0x85eb45…
08-27 03:43:03	will finding emily score at least 92 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xaa0573…
08-27 02:06:45	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	Yes	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0x2a21b2…
08-27 01:46:43	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x25e016…
08-26 02:07:01	Will "The Dog Stars" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x4ccef3…
08-25 00:59:07	will idiots score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0xba97f5…
08-24 23:59:07	Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 570m by August 31?	Yes	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0xcc896d…
08-23 03:02:39	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?	Yes	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0xfb503a…
08-23 00:45:18	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x2c2192…
08-23 00:41:55	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 41m?	Yes	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x8ead5f…
08-22 01:42:49	Will "The Odyssey" 6th Weekend Box Office be at least 21.5m?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x749255…
08-22 01:29:49	Will "Mutiny" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	25	56¢	$14	0xba9fbe…
08-20 21:51:24	Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 570m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xfca5b6…
08-20 21:37:01	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 41m?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x46a2b8…
08-19 22:15:12	will the magic faraway tree score at least 85 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x56fd62…
08-18 06:47:52	will the dog stars score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260831	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xdef074…
08-18 06:14:40	will mutiny score at least 75 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260824	No	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x66993f…
08-15 09:51:00	Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 20m?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x39df85…
08-15 09:42:12	Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 25m?	Yes	SELL	30	56¢	$17	0x8d7f18…
08-15 09:38:04	Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 20m?	Yes	SELL	25	26¢	$7	0xd69622…
08-15 09:35:51	Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xb5c236…
08-15 03:17:57	Will "The Odyssey" 5th Weekend Box Office be at least 21m?	No	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xaa5a28…
08-15 03:12:21	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 66m?	No	BUY	18	35¢	$6	0xfe18a4…
08-14 23:47:37	Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x71c37e…
08-13 12:10:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xefa8fb…
08-10 04:48:48	Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x0ce9da…
08-10 01:59:06	Will Wild Horse Nine get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	69	1¢	$1	0xce21b5…
08-08 16:13:28	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x0587f8…
08-08 10:18:00	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x5636b6…
08-08 10:16:16	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	SELL	30	35¢	$10	0x6d7000…
08-08 10:09:40	Will "One Night Only" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 6m?	No	SELL	40	20¢	$8	0x872783…
08-07 22:29:43	Will "One Night Only" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 6m?	No	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0xd2e654…
08-07 22:07:21	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 140m and 150m?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x0db11e…
08-05 14:45:53	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 180m?	No	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xce2403…
08-02 06:56:14	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x94887d…
08-01 07:30:57	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0d459c…
07-31 14:52:29	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x70edbc…
07-31 14:33:15	Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x9fc8e9…
07-31 09:13:05	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xb5b5a7…
07-25 10:15:51	Will "Minions & Monsters" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 7m?	Yes	BUY	66	8¢	$5	0x7a629e…
07-25 08:12:25	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be less than 120m?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x02473c…
07-24 17:30:03	Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xca7361…
07-24 17:24:42	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 200m?	Yes	SELL	102	1¢	$1	0x74d59f…
07-24 11:52:22	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be less than 120m?	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x71aab8…