Realized P&L (90d)
-$4
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
62.9%
Resolved (90d)
55
Trades (90d)
79
247 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$475
$1.93K lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$61
14 positions
First seen
2026-02-11
last 11-09 21:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 71 days
Categories
Other
75% 42% -$187
Sports
19% 50% -$14
Politics
3% 71% +$2
Pop-Culture
2% 67% +$4
Tech
1% — —
Crypto
0% 0% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026? Yes +14 $10 88¢ $12 +$2 10-29 11:47
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +11 $10 97¢ $11 +$1 10-08 20:37
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 400m? Yes +47 $10 22¢ $10 $0 11-08 20:40
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +6 $5 92¢ $6 +$1 10-06 13:40
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $5 76¢ $5 +$0 11-08 03:01
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No -20 -$6 26¢ $-5 +$1 07-07 04:55
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +8 $2 32¢ $3 +$1 08-10 04:48
Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 105m? No +22 $5 11¢ $2 -$3 11-08 09:27
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +12 $2 18¢ $2 +$0 10-15 07:46
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +8 $2 24¢ $2 $0 10-15 07:46
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +14 $2 14¢ $2 $0 10-15 07:46
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by March 31, 2027? Yes +5 $1 22¢ $1 +$0 11-09 21:54
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 Yes +5 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 08-01 07:30
Will Wild Horse Nine get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +69 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 08-10 01:59