Flimsy-Insurgence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.05K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

21.8%

Resolved

23,280

Trades

63,447

lifetime

Volume

$62.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-19 17:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 102 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 12% +$4,064

Other

0% 11% -$14

Politics

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 11:00 UTC	5	$125	240	118	+122	Down	-$7	01-22 11:13
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 05:00 UTC	8	$75	70	30	+40	Up	+$5	03-09 05:16
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 20:45 UTC	5	$73	140	69	+71	Up	-$4	02-15 20:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 12:15 UTC	12	$73	140	69	+71	Down	-$5	02-14 12:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 12:45 UTC	2	$70	70	69	+1	Up	-$1	02-08 03:50
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 03:15 UTC	3	$68	130	64	+66	Down	-$4	01-26 03:22
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 05:00 UTC	14	$63	98	0	+98	Up	+$5	03-09 05:08
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 15:00 UTC	5	$52	100	49	+51	Down	-$3	02-05 15:06
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 05:15 UTC	16	$50	110	21	+89	Up	+$1	03-09 05:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 15:20 UTC	24	$50	120	0	+120	Down	-$10	02-23 15:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 15:25 UTC	56	$39	280	0	+280	Down	-$39	02-23 15:29
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 05:15 UTC	5	$36	50	0	+50	Up	+$4	03-09 05:22
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 05:15 UTC	5	$36	50	0	+50	Up	-$36	03-09 05:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 14:20 UTC	24	$34	123	0	+123	Down	-$34	02-23 14:22
bitcoin above 66800 on april 5 2026 1am et	2	$32	16	16	+0	Yes	+$0	04-05 08:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 11:00 UTC	4	$30	40	0	+40	Down	+$0	03-10 11:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 12:15 UTC	4	$30	60	0	+60	Up	+$1	03-15 12:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 14:10 UTC	24	$30	102	0	+102	Up	+$20	02-23 14:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 05:00 UTC	5	$29	50	0	+50	Up	+$1	03-09 05:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 00:45 UTC	24	$28	555	0	+555	Up	-$28	01-25 00:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 18:00 UTC	2	$21	41	0	+41	Up	-$1	03-13 18:12
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 05:15 UTC	4	$21	40	20	+20	Down	-$1	01-02 05:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 04:45 UTC	2	$21	43	0	+43	Down	-$1	03-13 04:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 16:45 UTC	2	$20	41	0	+41	Up	$0	03-13 16:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 06:45 UTC	2	$20	43	0	+43	Up	$0	03-13 06:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 07:15 UTC	2	$20	42	0	+42	Up	$0	03-13 07:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 17:30 UTC	2	$20	40	0	+40	Down	$0	03-11 17:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 20:45 UTC	2	$20	41	0	+41	Up	$0	03-12 20:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 08:45 UTC	2	$20	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	03-17 08:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 15:00 UTC	2	$20	40	0	+40	Up	+$0	03-13 15:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 17:03:39	Bitcoin above 76,200 on May 19, 2PM ET?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xda38d5…
05-19 17:03:06	Bitcoin above 77,800 on May 19, 2PM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x3637fa…
05-19 14:09:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xcf7af8…
05-19 12:18:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x658de7…
05-18 09:29:50	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-05-18 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x84f88d…
05-18 09:29:23	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-05-18 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xa53ea4…
05-18 09:11:22	BNB Up or Down - May 18, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x8ba54d…
05-18 09:11:20	BNB Up or Down - May 18, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xf913da…
05-18 08:56:22	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-05-18 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x848f75…
05-18 08:55:51	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-05-18 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x041c3c…
05-18 08:41:00	BNB Up or Down - May 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x385050…
05-18 08:38:16	BNB Up or Down - May 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x93fba3…
05-18 08:28:47	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-05-18 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x13f2cd…
05-18 08:08:45	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-05-18 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xfe3aab…
05-18 08:08:15	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-05-18 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xb55a5d…
05-18 07:53:14	BNB Up or Down - May 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x9c7cfb…
05-18 07:53:14	BNB Up or Down - May 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x9315cd…
05-18 07:41:18	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-05-18 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xda9fa4…
05-16 19:44:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8e10e4…
05-16 19:29:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x27bebb…
05-16 19:24:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf316f4…
05-16 19:14:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb780c0…
05-16 18:54:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x1ac485…
05-16 18:49:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x9fbc8e…
05-16 18:44:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf388f3…
05-16 18:35:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf2dea9…
05-16 18:29:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xfa9bc7…
05-16 18:24:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5d3ffc…
05-16 18:19:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5d1852…
05-16 18:09:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1232e2…
05-16 18:05:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf6370d…
05-16 17:49:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5d77e9…
05-16 17:34:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x4f5a09…
05-16 17:29:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xffe842…
05-16 17:28:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xa293e3…
05-16 17:28:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x3f1fee…
05-16 17:14:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x950132…
05-16 17:09:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xcc8dde…
05-16 17:04:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa823c7…
05-16 16:44:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x3ee02d…
05-16 16:39:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x25b3d0…
05-16 16:34:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc595bf…
05-16 16:19:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xda8096…
05-16 16:14:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6b3aa2…
05-16 16:04:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc782f7…
05-16 15:54:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x36ee7d…
05-15 05:45:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0f01bb…
05-15 05:00:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x094788…
05-15 04:45:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x866ebc…
05-15 02:45:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x27dcfc…
05-15 02:45:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x09635e…
05-15 02:30:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xdc8d49…
05-15 02:15:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9a40e8…
05-15 02:01:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9dd86b…
05-15 01:30:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xea37fe…
05-15 00:45:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0xa89c77…
05-15 00:15:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6c6260…
05-15 00:02:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8af480…
05-14 20:31:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9e6313…
05-14 18:45:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x5c609d…
05-14 18:45:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa8e01a…
05-14 18:45:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xf69be9…
05-14 18:21:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x63c7c7…
05-14 17:45:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5a6917…
05-14 17:30:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xd53d4b…
05-14 17:30:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xdfba9b…
05-14 17:15:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5b67a4…
05-14 17:00:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe8aac7…
05-14 16:16:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf2556f…
05-14 16:00:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd4e26e…
05-14 15:00:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x09347f…
05-14 14:45:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4e2d73…
05-14 14:31:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x2b9b04…
05-14 14:30:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x472408…
05-14 14:15:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9e22d3…
05-14 14:00:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x262a20…
05-14 13:45:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb11e61…
05-14 13:15:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd0a61f…
05-14 13:01:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0ed2c5…
05-14 12:54:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x80218a…
05-14 12:17:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x18b7ff…
05-14 12:00:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x805af7…
05-14 11:45:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe3e671…
05-14 09:45:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9ff7c8…
05-14 09:30:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4b6bb3…
05-14 07:15:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x844ea8…
05-14 07:00:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x76b14f…
05-14 07:00:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x965746…
05-14 06:00:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb34f1f…
05-14 05:45:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5bbc96…
05-14 05:30:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x947083…
05-14 05:30:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x36f125…
05-14 05:17:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xaa3c5e…
05-14 05:02:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4a73dc…
05-14 04:46:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x66afb6…
05-14 04:15:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x722eac…
05-14 03:16:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x812ceb…
05-14 03:16:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x0a8715…
05-14 03:00:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x3c0a55…
05-14 03:00:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfae800…