Junior-Acre — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$273

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.1%

Resolved

291

Trades

859

lifetime

Volume

$8.88K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-19 13:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 145 days

Categories

Politics

79% 28% -$24

Other

20% 17% -$230

Sports

1% 14% -$17

Crypto

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	6	$555	581	581	+0	Yes	+$494	02-28 19:37
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	8	$287	500	100	+400	No	-$121	03-13 22:05
us strikes iraq by february 28	7	$278	360	360	+0	Yes	+$112	03-01 05:21
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	4	$231	200	200	+0	Yes	+$129	02-28 19:14
houthi strike on israel by february 28	13	$200	625	250	+375	No	-$100	02-28 17:25
will israel strike iraq by february 28	6	$163	400	150	+250	No	+$112	02-28 11:05
iran strike on us military by february 28	2	$158	100	100	+0	Yes	+$38	02-28 08:58
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	3	$157	200	100	+100	Yes	+$33	03-04 09:58
iran strike on israel by february 28	3	$134	150	150	+0	Yes	+$112	02-28 08:09
will israel take military action in gaza on march 21 2026	5	$128	100	100	+0	No	+$46	03-22 14:00
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	2	$119	100	100	+0	Yes	+$79	06-21 07:58
will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216 619	16	$109	570	100	+470	No	+$7	06-22 12:15
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	9	$105	500	10	+490	No	-$95	03-03 18:20
Will OPEC crude oil production be above 18 million barrels per day in May?	2	$105	100	100	+0	Yes	+$95	06-11 12:36
will israel take military action in gaza on march 25 2026	5	$104	100	100	+0	Yes	+$2	03-25 12:00
will israel strike lebanon on february 20 2026	4	$98	70	70	+0	Yes	+$41	02-20 15:14
will israel take military action in gaza on march 18 2026	6	$97	71	70	+1	Yes	+$37	03-19 09:15
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	23	$93	400	0	+400	No	-$93	03-08 09:31
usisrael strike yemen by march 14	3	$91	150	42	+108	No	-$33	03-11 20:47
will israel strike lebanon on february 15 2026	2	$90	60	60	+0	Yes	+$28	02-15 19:21
will iran strike cyprus in march	3	$89	230	80	+150	No	-$45	03-02 10:17
will the us next strike iran on january 14 2026 et 369	9	$88	1,870	100	+1,770	No	-$69	01-15 01:02
us strikes iraq by march 7	6	$87	66	66	+0	Yes	+$44	03-08 07:10
will israel take military action in gaza on march 23 2026	8	$87	100	100	+0	No	-$11	03-23 17:06
will israel take military action in gaza on march 22 2026	7	$86	70	70	+0	Yes	+$27	03-22 14:40
hezbollah strike on israel by march 7	2	$86	200	0	+200	Yes	+$114	03-01 00:34
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	8	$84	470	70	+400	No	+$28	04-15 21:27
will israel strike gaza on march 9 2026	6	$82	142	142	+0	No	-$10	03-10 20:03
will israel strike lebanon on march 1 2026	6	$78	90	90	+0	No	-$22	03-01 14:15
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	7	$78	160	150	+10	No	+$7	04-08 22:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 13:31:09	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	6¢	$12	0xf03115…
10-17 13:40:21	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x5d8902…
10-14 16:09:55	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 17	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xc93ddd…
10-14 00:31:19	Israel military action against Yemen by October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xf418bf…
10-11 07:58:37	Will Houthis target Syria by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xa91873…
08-16 15:34:16	Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xa826c5…
08-06 18:53:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x0d12af…
08-06 18:31:23	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x6f0435…
08-06 18:16:54	israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	200	4¢	$8	0xb908d4…
08-04 15:45:35	will wti reach 100 by august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x7970f8…
08-02 11:11:14	israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xea41e0…
08-02 10:21:39	will wti reach 105 by august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x23ae2a…
08-02 10:21:18	will wti reach 110 by august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x349c99…
08-02 02:08:06	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xeb0cbd…
08-01 23:36:20	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	484	3¢	$15	0x0d9037…
08-01 17:51:54	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xe2c663…
08-01 15:06:20	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	70	17¢	$12	0xf4e603…
08-01 15:05:48	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	3¢	$0	0x245410…
07-29 20:30:26	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	48	9¢	$4	0x65f290…
07-29 20:30:24	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x098d64…
07-29 20:30:23	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	19	9¢	$2	0xbb786b…
07-29 20:30:23	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	26	9¢	$2	0x3a3726…
07-27 14:51:39	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$2	0xe910a1…
07-27 14:51:28	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x108f78…
07-26 09:42:51	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	No	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x180b40…
07-26 03:47:06	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x220cfd…
07-25 16:25:28	will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0xea7cc2…
07-25 15:21:04	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	SELL	500	2¢	$10	0x59fb07…
07-25 15:20:36	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x373587…
07-25 13:28:54	will trump meet with netanyahu by august 31 2026	No	BUY	300	3¢	$9	0x95c8e7…
07-24 19:47:04	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0xfe339d…
07-24 17:10:01	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x6afa39…
07-24 12:32:28	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	Yes	BUY	45	5¢	$2	0xfe2653…
07-24 12:31:33	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	Yes	BUY	55	5¢	$3	0xddf512…
07-23 20:53:10	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xdd3c97…
07-23 18:33:40	will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0xb731b7…
07-23 17:32:57	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x9a21fd…
07-23 00:14:43	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 20 26 2026	Yes	BUY	64	2¢	$1	0x9551a3…
07-22 21:49:42	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 20 26 2026	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x091b7a…
07-22 19:22:43	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$5	0x45b00a…
07-22 18:05:06	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 20 26 2026	Yes	BUY	28	2¢	$1	0xd7a636…
07-22 16:26:42	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$6	0x84a369…
07-22 14:21:12	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	Yes	BUY	70	2¢	$1	0xddb169…
07-22 14:08:57	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xf0e0d6…
07-22 13:25:48	will wti reach 100 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x08f855…
07-22 12:12:31	will wti reach 110 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	970	0¢	$5	0x9e6ab5…
07-22 11:24:57	will wti reach 110 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xa8c30c…
07-22 08:05:04	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x90532f…
07-22 08:04:10	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xe25dfe…
07-22 08:03:00	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xc1dd64…
07-22 08:01:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x8e46b6…
07-19 15:02:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xa3a213…
07-19 10:12:45	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xc663f1…
07-17 21:41:06	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x6cb38c…
07-17 21:35:43	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	BUY	33	4¢	$1	0x2bbf02…
07-17 21:35:19	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0x1d6e44…
07-17 21:35:18	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0x5a905f…
07-17 21:34:27	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x55a28e…
07-15 15:11:37	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	No	BUY	78	5¢	$4	0xd87e94…
07-15 15:02:31	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	No	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x1a5263…
07-15 15:02:31	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	No	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x1534a8…
07-15 12:03:55	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x297db7…
07-13 17:19:11	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 14 2026	No	BUY	64	12¢	$8	0x90ac9b…
07-13 17:17:43	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 14 2026	No	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0xede603…
07-13 17:13:01	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 14 2026	No	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x27c4ec…
07-13 15:15:07	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x5a7f66…
07-13 15:09:26	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x90a1b8…
07-13 06:03:59	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	99	7¢	$7	0x4610ea…
07-12 17:46:56	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	99	7¢	$7	0xa59dc5…
07-12 14:13:32	iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	No	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x8da371…
07-11 16:48:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x0b214e…
07-08 11:48:13	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x4bdb8a…
07-06 20:14:23	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	Yes	BUY	303	5¢	$15	0xb2ccb6…
07-06 16:35:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x8167ad…
07-06 10:34:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x0477cd…
07-05 20:21:25	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	Yes	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0x344e49…
07-05 19:58:47	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	Yes	BUY	53	5¢	$3	0xce4bea…
07-05 13:31:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xe0391d…
07-05 13:25:23	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x20573e…
06-26 20:29:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x74f777…
06-23 13:57:23	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	100	17¢	$17	0x778b16…
06-23 11:59:13	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x1943f0…
06-23 11:58:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 26 2026 20260622191708358	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x81337b…
06-23 10:02:26	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x5fe2ca…
06-23 07:57:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 26 2026 20260622191708358	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xed5c17…
06-22 12:15:56	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216 619	Yes	BUY	68	1¢	$0	0xc80339…
06-22 11:36:50	will masoud pezeshkian attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204727	Yes	BUY	65	3¢	$2	0x870cb7…
06-22 11:25:32	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216 619	Yes	BUY	82	1¢	$1	0x7c7ee1…
06-22 11:25:32	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216 619	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x078838…
06-22 08:19:44	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216 619	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb4bb00…
06-22 08:19:32	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216 619	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb5c770…
06-22 08:19:29	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216 619	Yes	BUY	79	1¢	$1	0xc05739…
06-22 08:19:14	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216 619	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0x12a1da…
06-21 07:58:04	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x81cac3…
06-20 21:27:26	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	Yes	BUY	94	15¢	$14	0x90a3a7…
06-20 21:04:53	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x1743f8…
06-20 08:44:34	will abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremonywill abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204723	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xecbfff…
06-20 08:43:41	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x3e8364…
06-20 08:35:44	will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x173eb3…
06-19 12:21:53	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x03a081…