Gigantic-Toaster — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$238

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.6%

Resolved

836

Trades

2,942

lifetime

Volume

$31.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 10-21 14:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 67 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 65% -$154

Other

4% 31% -$41

Sports

0% 25% -$43

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 175 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down july 12 2026 1am et	12	$387	272	272	+0	Down	+$5	07-12 05:48
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	2	$350	229	229	+0	Yes	+$30	06-30 18:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 14:30 UTC	8	$311	311	311	+0	Down	+$81	07-10 14:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 18:00 UTC	2	$305	227	227	+0	Down	+$105	07-12 18:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 12:15 UTC	11	$298	186	186	+0	Down	+$16	07-10 12:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 14:15 UTC	12	$293	238	238	+0	Down	+$23	07-10 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 01:30 UTC	4	$285	185	185	+0	Down	+$85	07-13 01:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 08:45 UTC	3	$267	249	216	+33	Down	+$51	07-12 08:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-11 16:30 UTC	8	$262	197	197	+0	Down	+$42	07-11 16:41
bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 3am et	4	$254	341	341	+0	Up	+$42	09-30 07:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 11:30 UTC	12	$249	341	269	+72	Up	+$9	06-27 11:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 14:25 UTC	7	$239	178	178	+0	Up	+$39	07-11 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	19	$237	533	533	+0	Down	+$3	05-02 16:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 13:30 UTC	9	$206	195	195	+0	Down	-$126	07-13 13:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-11 17:15 UTC	9	$202	146	146	+0	Up	+$22	07-11 17:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 08:45 UTC	11	$191	116	116	+0	Down	+$21	07-12 08:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-11 16:45 UTC	10	$189	150	150	+0	Up	+$9	07-11 16:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 00:10 UTC	10	$189	140	140	+0	Down	+$39	07-11 00:14
crint irl7 wst4 2026 07 10	2	$181	213	213	+0	West Indies	-$19	07-10 12:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 16:15 UTC	9	$174	170	170	+0	Up	-$16	07-12 16:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 03:45 UTC	10	$173	212	212	+0	Down	+$3	08-22 03:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 12:30 UTC	8	$171	128	128	+0	Down	+$11	07-10 12:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 12:00 UTC	6	$166	126	126	+0	Up	+$18	08-22 12:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 10:30 UTC	11	$161	184	184	+0	Up	-$19	08-22 10:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 12:00 UTC	4	$160	211	211	+0	Up	-$120	07-10 12:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 04:00 UTC	11	$159	132	132	+0	Down	+$29	08-22 04:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 10:00 UTC	7	$159	90	90	+0	Down	+$19	07-12 10:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 12:40 UTC	6	$157	122	122	+0	Down	+$17	07-10 12:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 00:00 UTC	8	$156	217	217	+0	Up	-$30	07-12 00:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 19:00 UTC	4	$154	113	113	+0	Up	+$24	07-13 19:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 14:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x9854dc…
10-21 14:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0xbd82ab…
10-21 14:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x94b5b8…
10-21 14:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	73	10¢	$7	0x678d11…
10-21 14:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	73	60¢	$44	0xc63c08…
10-21 14:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0x2dbd5a…
10-21 14:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x9baddf…
10-21 13:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	15	89¢	$13	0x2650ed…
10-21 13:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	26	3¢	$1	0xf27e4e…
10-21 13:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x506034…
10-21 13:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x3e20a7…
10-21 13:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x9a7d25…
10-21 13:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	34	73¢	$25	0xfc364d…
10-21 13:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x110c2c…
10-21 13:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	72	56¢	$40	0x464cf0…
10-21 13:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	72	42¢	$30	0x3ad1b0…
10-21 12:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	31	36¢	$11	0xa20435…
10-21 12:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x7db2c5…
10-21 12:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xa8f3d0…
10-21 12:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	46	61¢	$28	0x903bdc…
10-21 12:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x6d4764…
10-21 12:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	25	46¢	$12	0x85ffab…
10-21 12:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	31	9¢	$3	0x18eb33…
10-21 12:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xd5d51a…
10-21 12:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	23	35¢	$8	0x4dd0de…
10-21 12:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	15	43¢	$6	0xc19929…
10-21 12:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xcf994a…
10-21 12:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xcbffa2…
10-21 12:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	34	13¢	$4	0xd59737…
10-21 12:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x23573a…
10-21 12:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xd9957f…
10-21 12:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	14	96¢	$14	0x132742…
10-21 12:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xcb8db9…
10-21 11:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	70	79¢	$56	0x8c3847…
10-21 11:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0x1e00c4…
10-21 11:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$6	0x2d4c46…
10-21 11:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xd31cf9…
10-21 11:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xb36f04…
10-21 11:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	70	55¢	$39	0x907e26…
10-21 10:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x577cb0…
10-21 10:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xb04744…
10-21 10:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	16	15¢	$2	0x2b9bf3…
10-21 10:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xfaf5d8…
10-21 10:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	23	39¢	$9	0x271d04…
10-21 10:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xdf44b2…
10-21 10:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x826140…
10-16 20:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xddf2cc…
10-16 20:16:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:15 UTC	Down	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0x42b02e…
10-16 20:15:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xf0ade3…
10-16 20:14:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x7f76b7…
10-16 20:13:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x36ed49…
10-16 20:12:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:10 UTC	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x4feb79…
10-16 20:11:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa3ef93…
10-16 20:10:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	13	12¢	$2	0x6982ea…
10-16 20:00:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x85bf7a…
10-02 18:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0x512b67…
10-02 18:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xf9520f…
10-02 18:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	7	80¢	$5	0x963fd9…
10-02 18:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x74c81a…
10-02 18:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	9	57¢	$5	0xa1a03b…
10-02 18:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x67a7fc…
10-02 18:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xffd85e…
10-02 18:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xd60f19…
10-02 18:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	38¢	$2	0xace6d0…
10-02 18:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x4c6497…
10-02 18:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0xd32f78…
10-02 18:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xaec53e…
10-02 17:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x78d792…
10-02 17:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$4	0x8bd955…
10-02 10:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x2e8233…
10-02 10:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x137404…
10-02 10:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x9fd014…
10-02 10:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x4b3442…
10-02 10:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa1c3bd…
10-02 10:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x192637…
10-02 10:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0x43b8b0…
10-02 10:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x12eee6…
09-30 09:15:48	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 5am et	Down	SELL	19	15¢	$3	0x69ac7b…
09-30 09:14:12	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	19	18¢	$3	0x9a986d…
09-30 09:08:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 09:00 UTC	Down	SELL	207	2¢	$3	0xbde2c4…
09-30 09:01:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	22	41¢	$9	0x6a97b4…
09-30 09:01:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x34d666…
09-30 09:00:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xa7ce1c…
09-30 09:00:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x6b93a0…
09-30 08:58:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 08:45 UTC	Down	SELL	74	24¢	$18	0x246cf6…
09-30 08:53:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x4f4c25…
09-30 08:52:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x638e0f…
09-30 08:51:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x0a42f4…
09-30 08:28:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 08:25 UTC	Down	SELL	18	82¢	$15	0x5433da…
09-30 08:28:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xe234e3…
09-30 08:11:48	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0xf4ecdc…
09-30 08:01:32	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0xb14b78…
09-30 08:01:21	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x9a19c6…
09-30 07:54:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 07:45 UTC	Down	SELL	47	64¢	$30	0x37d9dd…
09-30 07:53:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	47	42¢	$20	0xa76e61…
09-30 07:44:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 07:40 UTC	Up	SELL	19	98¢	$18	0x6fb54b…
09-30 07:42:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x5f91ec…
09-30 07:38:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 07:30 UTC	Down	SELL	127	5¢	$7	0x0fd156…
09-30 07:35:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	36	25¢	$9	0xc87c40…
09-30 07:31:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x359e38…