Ugly-Harmonica — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$187

Unrealized P&L

+$65

Hit rate

46.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.71K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$100

Open exposure

$219

1 position

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-09 06:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 67% +$253

Other

33% 67% $-480

Sports

6% 100% +$41

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets (7)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down		+221	$154	99¢	$219	+$65	05-09 06:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5	3	$502	915	0	+915	Over	$-502	05-08 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	2	$248	400	0	+400	Up	+$152	05-09 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$223	300	0	+300	Up	+$76	05-09 03:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	1	$203	0	241	-241	Up	$-39	05-09 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$154	221	0	+221	open	—	05-09 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	1	$132	0	150	-150	Up	$-18	05-09 03:55
New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	3	$104	110	41	+69	New York Mets	+$41	05-09 04:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	1	$70	0	200	-200	Up	+$70	05-09 04:59
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs	2	$51	26	36	-10	Global Esports	+$12	05-08 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	1	$12	0	200	-200	Down	+$12	05-09 06:24
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?	1	$10	0	638	-638	Up	+$10	05-08 16:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 06:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	221	70¢	$154	0x620ece…
05-09 06:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	200	6¢	$12	0x028c54…
05-09 05:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	241	84¢	$203	0x7b7516…
05-09 04:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	200	35¢	$70	0x140244…
05-09 04:12:42	New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	New York Mets	SELL	13	92¢	$12	0x0fec6d…
05-09 04:10:22	New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	New York Mets	SELL	28	93¢	$26	0xeec58d…
05-09 03:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	150	88¢	$132	0x840344…
05-09 03:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	300	74¢	$223	0xdc7246…
05-09 03:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	200	68¢	$137	0x39c2b6…
05-09 03:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	200	56¢	$111	0xe0b10b…
05-09 02:00:32	New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	New York Mets	BUY	110	60¢	$66	0x8996d4…
05-08 20:09:49	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	727	55¢	$400	0xdfa10e…
05-08 20:09:29	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xf28230…
05-08 18:33:04	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x64e49b…
05-08 16:17:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	638	2¢	$10	0xfdc60f…
05-08 13:09:41	Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs	Global Esports	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xe42458…
05-08 10:05:21	Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs	Global Esports	BUY	26	56¢	$15	0x1192b4…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	6	$939	85	05-09 06:44
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	5	$1.42K	67	05-09 06:44
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	5	$920	8	05-09 06:44
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	4	$818	55	05-09 04:59
Dutiful-Desert 0x4962…f1b2	3	$1.70K	17	05-09 06:45
Unconscious-Work 0x6fbc…bf12	3	$900	3	05-09 06:45
Queasy-Thrift 0x02fe…a6f3	3	$706	17	05-09 04:59