(anonymous) 0x3245bb…3c7139 Create alert
bot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$774
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
24.1%
Resolved
147
Trades
689
lifetime
Volume
$7.30K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$135
19 positions
First seen
2026-07-08
last 11-15 17:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 41 days
Categories
Politics
61% 32% -$125
Other
32% 24% -$592
Tech
4% 50% -$2
Sports
3% 18% -$55
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mahmoud Khalil be arrested before 2027? No +30 $24 92¢ $28 +$4 11-03 17:48
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +27 $23 90¢ $24 +$1 11-12 23:42
Will the Democrats win the Presidency and House, and the Republicans the Senate in 2028? No +24 $22 92¢ $22 $0 11-13 16:59
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? No +19 $17 94¢ $18 +$1 11-04 23:10
Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027? No +13 $11 91¢ $12 +$1 11-05 08:56
Will Donald Trump visit Missouri in 2026? No +9 $7 89¢ $8 +$1 10-31 05:54
Will Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County? No +40 $21 19¢ $8 -$14 10-31 15:51
Will Lee Fairclough win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election? No +12 $5 29¢ $3 -$2 11-13 20:59
Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2027? No +9 $4 31¢ $3 -$1 10-31 06:00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting? Yes +37 $3 8¢ $3 $0 11-12 23:42
Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes +34 $2 6¢ $2 $0 11-12 23:42
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? Yes +33 $2 4¢ $1 $0 11-05 04:07
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +33 $1 3¢ $1 $0 11-13 20:59
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before 2027? Yes +32 $1 2¢ $1 $0 11-05 03:07
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? Yes +1 -$8 59¢ $0 +$9 10-31 15:31
Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027? Yes +20 $1 2¢ $0 $0 11-06 15:48
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +24 $3 2¢ $0 -$2 11-09 21:13
Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 -$6 12¢ $0 +$6 10-31 15:50
Will Werner Graf be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +3 $6 2¢ $0 -$6 10-31 15:31