Plain-Raspberry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$220

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

175

lifetime

Volume

$7.88K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 08-10 21:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

83% 0% $-220

Other

11% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$984	588	588	+0	open	—	04-29 14:07
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	2	$752	656	656	+0	open	—	04-23 11:20
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	15	$497	6,293	299	+5,994	open	—	05-26 17:45
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	6	$381	1,500	1,357	+143	open	—	05-21 11:33
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$366	319	301	+18	open	—	04-30 18:11
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	2	$363	271	271	+0	open	—	04-25 20:15
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	3	$337	552	300	+252	open	—	04-24 11:40
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	4	$283	516	516	+0	open	—	07-01 07:49
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	4	$240	814	0	+814	open	—	04-19 15:17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	2	$230	190	190	+0	open	—	04-22 20:00
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$205	276	276	+0	open	—	05-13 18:17
israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	4	$165	545	545	+0	open	—	07-01 07:49
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	3	$135	203	203	+0	open	—	05-26 05:06
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$130	748	0	+748	open	—	04-25 20:32
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?	5	$127	962	1,187	-225	open	—	06-28 06:57
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	1	$127	0	681	-681	open	—	07-01 07:49
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$124	225	225	+0	open	—	05-18 17:45
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	4	$115	2,212	273	+1,939	open	—	05-18 19:48
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	2	$103	1,199	0	+1,199	open	—	04-29 11:45
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	1	$103	0	1,125	-1,125	open	—	05-30 13:12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	1	$100	191	0	+191	No	$-100	04-23 11:41
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	1	$100	329	0	+329	open	—	04-17 18:13
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	1	$100	195	0	+195	open	—	04-20 13:04
israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	3	$99	484	484	+0	open	—	07-01 07:49
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$90	343	0	+343	No	$-90	05-04 18:13
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	3	$85	399	399	+0	open	—	05-27 08:01
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	3	$82	1,475	1,475	+0	open	—	05-27 07:58
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$66	2,583	0	+2,583	open	—	05-02 21:27
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	1	$60	316	0	+316	open	—	04-12 10:27
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	3	$55	505	0	+505	open	—	04-22 06:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 21:18:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	107	14¢	$15	0x25854f…
08-01 20:18:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	105	2¢	$2	0x400739…
07-29 19:59:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	No	BUY	1,015	1¢	$10	0xe9815c…
07-25 09:14:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	172	3¢	$5	0xb96f63…
07-24 06:20:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 23	No	SELL	238	1¢	$2	0xf82455…
07-23 19:00:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 23	No	BUY	238	2¢	$5	0xefb468…
07-23 05:20:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	SELL	364	0¢	$1	0x9e2eb2…
07-22 20:04:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	SELL	39	29¢	$11	0x4ebba7…
07-22 20:03:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	125	2¢	$2	0x83be56…
07-22 20:02:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	133	2¢	$2	0x1476c2…
07-22 16:29:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	106	5¢	$5	0xe7a03e…
07-19 19:30:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	39	31¢	$12	0xef53d8…
07-01 07:49:47	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	190	9¢	$17	0x7abe4d…
07-01 07:49:43	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	484	7¢	$34	0xdb8aa3…
07-01 07:49:38	israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	545	11¢	$60	0xf3a17b…
07-01 07:49:32	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	516	21¢	$108	0x7d86c7…
07-01 07:49:29	Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	681	19¢	$127	0x19e34d…
06-28 06:57:05	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1,187	4¢	$42	0x55acf1…
06-26 22:11:26	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	54	28¢	$15	0x8810e9…
06-26 22:11:19	israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x76b127…
06-26 22:11:05	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	429	3¢	$15	0xe6b23a…
06-25 17:21:52	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	151	10¢	$15	0x6bf125…
06-25 17:21:41	israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	140	14¢	$20	0x9535ce…
06-23 19:20:14	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	212	38¢	$80	0x53bcea…
06-23 19:18:10	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0xac8707…
06-23 19:17:50	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0x7db48e…
06-23 19:17:41	israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	305	23¢	$70	0xb023a6…
06-23 19:17:32	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	251	32¢	$80	0x5b1417…
06-15 19:49:01	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x3bc4d6…
06-08 11:26:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x1d351d…
06-08 11:25:57	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x7d0cc0…
06-08 11:25:43	will spacexs valuation hit high 1pt75t by june 30	No	BUY	123	8¢	$10	0xb2c931…
06-08 11:24:37	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x15b808…
05-30 13:20:06	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x630577…
05-30 13:13:27	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	20¢	$30	0x7e56f0…
05-30 13:12:59	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,125	9¢	$103	0x3eba9c…
05-27 08:01:09	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	399	9¢	$35	0x3d57c1…
05-27 07:58:40	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,475	1¢	$12	0xef0753…
05-26 17:45:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	571	1¢	$4	0x5380b8…
05-26 12:18:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	625	1¢	$5	0x3980d9…
05-26 12:16:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	625	1¢	$5	0xdb6fba…
05-26 08:36:07	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	201	5¢	$10	0x85965c…
05-26 08:35:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	274	1¢	$3	0x589d75…
05-26 05:06:09	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	203	30¢	$60	0x925c67…
05-26 05:02:37	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	417	4¢	$15	0xfa3df2…
05-26 05:00:24	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0xfaa7a9…
05-26 04:46:36	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	455	2¢	$10	0x9d0aee…
05-26 04:40:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$7	0x0e4195…
05-26 04:33:39	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0xcf19e8…
05-26 04:30:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$3	0x1841c4…
05-26 04:30:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$3	0xd7e204…
05-25 13:26:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	417	1¢	$5	0xb3c90a…
05-25 09:30:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0x7f7695…
05-25 09:29:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0x95a2ce…
05-24 14:41:12	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	208	2¢	$5	0x48a7bf…
05-24 12:01:41	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	150	7¢	$10	0xaa44b3…
05-23 22:00:27	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	No	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xf90940…
05-23 22:00:10	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xf622b1…
05-23 19:03:58	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	179	3¢	$5	0x795ffc…
05-23 17:42:30	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	122	4¢	$5	0x27f93a…
05-23 14:23:18	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xb7cf4b…
05-22 22:02:41	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	166	12¢	$20	0x1e152f…
05-22 18:31:56	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	476	2¢	$10	0x8e2be8…
05-21 11:33:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	143	3¢	$5	0xc9c858…
05-20 16:29:57	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x2085ce…
05-20 16:29:53	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	No	BUY	346	3¢	$10	0x38b4d3…
05-20 05:21:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	SELL	250	12¢	$30	0xfe1be1…
05-19 17:06:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	633	30¢	$190	0xc3ef50…
05-19 06:32:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	250	12¢	$30	0x9c0aca…
05-18 19:48:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	1,429	1¢	$20	0x7795a6…
05-18 17:45:03	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	225	37¢	$84	0x84e72f…
05-18 12:27:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	299	34¢	$102	0xb64745…
05-17 17:55:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	510	6¢	$30	0x7b32b6…
05-17 10:48:21	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0xab9494…
05-15 08:05:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	455	26¢	$120	0x37887b…
05-15 07:58:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	SELL	1,107	14¢	$156	0x5335e1…
05-15 07:58:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	SELL	273	13¢	$35	0x16750e…
05-14 17:19:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	273	11¢	$30	0x04b772…
05-14 12:39:17	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	250	16¢	$40	0x751e9e…
05-13 18:29:49	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	857	14¢	$120	0xaa427d…
05-13 18:17:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	276	38¢	$105	0xc74c90…
05-12 11:16:44	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	714	1¢	$5	0x02cdaf…
05-06 15:35:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	129	15¢	$20	0x0a8844…
05-05 12:45:16	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xb79977…
05-05 12:44:50	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x01880a…
05-04 18:13:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0xe03d53…
05-04 16:10:18	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	120	25¢	$30	0x1a1cbc…
05-04 04:59:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0xf3a168…
05-03 18:47:30	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	286	7¢	$20	0xb5d306…
05-03 12:32:54	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0x7fca58…
05-03 12:31:44	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	761	3¢	$20	0xaeeb9c…
05-03 12:31:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x14d17c…
05-02 21:29:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	276	36¢	$100	0x79b80a…
05-02 21:27:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2,083	2¢	$50	0xc5fd63…
05-01 05:52:18	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x122ea4…
05-01 05:51:48	Will Trump say "Beautiful Bill" at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x8eaf8d…
05-01 05:51:16	Will Trump say "Social Security" at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	153	7¢	$10	0x11a351…
04-30 18:18:40	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	176	17¢	$30	0x156548…
04-30 18:11:12	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	301	99¢	$299	0x49cf99…
04-29 19:29:40	Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	148	14¢	$20	0x723b15…