Winged-Revolution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$305

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

66.7%

Resolved

148

Trades

270

lifetime

Volume

$59.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$219

Open exposure

$175

1 position

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-08 08:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 99% +$348

Sports

33% 64% -$8

Other

2% 96% +$4

Politics

1% 86% -$38

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No		+212	$182	82¢	$175	-$7	10-08 08:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will PSV win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$6.4K	3,180	3,180	+0	No	-$3	01-28 01:56
Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$6.3K	3,175	3,175	+0	No	-$3	01-28 02:10
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$6.3K	3,176	3,176	+0	No	-$3	01-28 02:56
ethereum above 3200 on january 26	3	$5.6K	2,827	2,827	+0	No	+$0	01-26 14:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 04:00 UTC	15	$3.2K	3,166	0	+3,166	Down	+$3	01-28 04:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 01:15 UTC	1	$3.1K	3,176	0	+3,176	Down	+$32	01-28 01:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 01:30 UTC	2	$3.1K	3,125	0	+3,125	Up	+$3	01-27 01:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 02:00 UTC	1	$3.1K	3,124	0	+3,124	Up	+$3	01-27 02:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 03:00 UTC	2	$3.1K	3,122	0	+3,122	Down	+$3	01-27 03:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 14:45 UTC	1	$2.8K	2,862	0	+2,862	Up	+$29	01-26 15:01
ethereum above 2500 on january 27	3	$2.5K	2,475	0	+2,475	Yes	+$2	01-27 06:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 12:30 UTC	15	$2.4K	2,389	0	+2,389	Down	+$2	01-26 12:46
will the price of solana be between 130 140 on january 26	3	$2.3K	2,334	0	+2,334	No	+$2	01-26 16:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 02:00 UTC	16	$1.1K	1,123	0	+1,123	Down	+$3	01-28 02:17
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	3	$726	367	367	+0	No	+$4	03-04 02:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 13:00 UTC	2	$646	650	0	+650	Down	+$4	01-27 13:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 06:15 UTC	1	$635	648	0	+648	Down	+$13	01-27 06:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 15:45 UTC	13	$451	451	0	+451	Up	+$0	01-27 15:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 14:30 UTC	2	$450	451	1	+450	Down	+$2	01-27 14:45
will xrp dip to 0pt2 in march 2026	2	$421	211	211	+0	No	+$0	03-27 12:32
ethereum above 2700 on january 26	2	$394	394	0	+394	Yes	+$0	01-26 16:27
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	17	$370	2,038	2,037	+0	No	-$38	05-14 02:27
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	4	$359	195	195	+0	open	—	08-11 07:43
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$351	177	177	+0	No	+$3	06-29 18:57
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	2	$345	180	180	+0	open	—	10-08 06:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 03:00 UTC	1	$307	308	0	+308	Down	+$0	01-28 03:17
Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	1	$210	211	0	+211	No	+$1	04-18 04:45
will ethereum dip to 2200 in february 2026	1	$200	377	0	+377	Yes	+$177	02-01 07:41
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	1	$197	212	0	+212	Yes	+$15	03-04 02:04
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	1	$182	212	0	+212	open	—	10-08 08:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 08:52:13	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	212	86¢	$182	0x6db0e6…
10-08 06:16:23	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0xc4e5e1…
10-08 06:13:08	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	180	97¢	$174	0x1c59ab…
09-05 02:13:16	Will Solana dip to $20 in September?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4ec24a…
08-13 02:20:31	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	180	95¢	$171	0x91560f…
08-11 07:45:49	will ethereum dip to 900 in august 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xcbb56d…
08-11 07:43:36	Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	195	94¢	$183	0x65b846…
08-11 07:43:22	Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x323cf1…
07-24 06:53:04	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc566cf…
07-14 19:47:07	Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	181	90¢	$163	0x6efc5b…
07-13 13:05:44	Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	90¢	$12	0x5cadac…
07-13 02:09:49	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread away 5pt5	England	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf00c3e…
06-29 18:57:10	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	177	100¢	$177	0x44a202…
06-24 02:54:14	Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x081c41…
06-14 03:37:49	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	177	98¢	$174	0xf0a29e…
06-14 02:09:28	will solana dip to 40 june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x66f557…
05-26 15:08:56	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x229cee…
05-17 20:44:30	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0x8f8561…
05-14 02:27:19	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,262	7¢	$88	0xbc5262…
05-14 02:26:33	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	10¢	$2	0x4ad05b…
05-14 02:26:31	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	SELL	64	10¢	$6	0x3452b5…
05-14 02:26:30	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	10¢	$6	0x2b1add…
05-14 02:26:28	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x8ca54c…
05-14 02:26:02	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	SELL	411	10¢	$41	0xd90a51…
05-14 02:26:00	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x16e32c…
05-14 02:25:58	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0xc1f57d…
05-14 02:25:49	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x86984a…
05-14 02:22:28	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	121	10¢	$12	0x740752…
05-14 02:22:16	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	10¢	$5	0x16b1e7…
05-14 02:22:14	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	10¢	$6	0x9b7f93…
05-14 02:22:14	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	10¢	$5	0x6a7206…
05-14 02:21:50	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	10¢	$4	0xb7b402…
05-14 02:21:48	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xdd34aa…
05-14 02:21:48	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	10¢	$7	0x81de4f…
05-14 02:21:41	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,620	10¢	$162	0xb71a40…
05-14 01:59:52	Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins	Miami Marlins	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xbe85a4…
04-23 03:28:32	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 84000 on april 23	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8a13e6…
04-23 03:27:12	nba phx okc 2026 04 22	Thunder	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x05957f…
04-18 04:45:16	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	BUY	211	100¢	$210	0x06bd6f…
04-10 02:31:59	will the price of solana be between 60 70 on april 10	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x339b88…
03-27 12:32:57	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in march 2026	No	SELL	211	100¢	$211	0x1d77bf…
03-18 06:21:41	Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x40cff9…
03-15 15:17:37	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	211	100¢	$210	0x7524f7…
03-11 05:11:49	will ethereum reach 2700 march 9 15	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4498f2…
03-04 02:04:01	Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	212	93¢	$197	0x6dfb72…
03-04 02:02:45	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	187	100¢	$186	0xae513b…
03-01 13:52:11	solana above 90 on march 1	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf56daf…
03-01 13:47:03	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	180	99¢	$179	0x46ebd3…
02-28 07:20:27	ethereum above 2100 on february 28	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x57772a…
02-28 07:19:53	Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb60a0c…
02-26 05:50:48	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on february 26	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x383f48…
02-26 05:50:32	ethereum above 2300 on february 26	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xaa29d6…
02-26 05:49:40	will ethereum reach 2600 february 23 march 1	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2aef4b…
02-26 05:49:28	will ethereum dip to 1200 february 23 march 1	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x370d4e…
02-26 05:48:10	nhl las lak 2026 02 25	Golden Knights	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcce139…
02-14 12:34:59	will ethereum dip to 1400 february 9 15	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x47027f…
02-14 12:34:39	will ethereum reach 2800 february 9 15	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x28ebb7…
02-14 12:34:11	ethereum above 2300 on february 14	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6331f1…
02-14 12:33:51	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 14	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3ca1d8…
02-05 17:15:39	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	367	98¢	$361	0x8646dd…
02-02 12:09:12	solana above 120 on february 2	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xaf00ad…
02-02 12:05:16	will trn cm t be the next president of vietnam	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4d1cfa…
02-02 12:04:14	will audit be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 735	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5678db…
02-02 12:03:24	will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 8	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1e3b29…
02-02 12:02:08	will the ecb announce a 25 bps decrease at the february 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x98dca6…
02-02 12:01:48	bank of england decreases interest rates by 50 bps after february 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfd1ff8…
02-02 12:01:10	will the us next strike iran on february 1 2026 et	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x585073…
02-02 12:00:52	us strikes iran by february 2 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf75373…
02-02 11:58:20	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 440 459	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5d0cae…
02-02 11:57:28	will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xce58c7…
02-02 11:56:20	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd449e2…
02-02 11:56:04	will mistral have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x31b2f8…
02-02 11:54:58	spx opens up or down on february 2 2026	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x895163…
02-02 11:54:38	will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 500k	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7ab685…
02-02 11:53:30	Will the US strike Cuba next?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x19afd5…
02-02 11:53:12	will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb4a1c3…
02-02 11:51:40	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x800350…
02-02 11:51:00	crint usa ind 2026 02 02	India	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x403c97…
02-02 11:49:26	us x iran nuclear talks resume by march 31	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x0b5a0d…
02-02 11:48:48	will turnout in the first round of the 2026 costa rican presidential election be less than 55	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc3b808…
02-01 13:16:16	Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7b416b…
02-01 07:41:20	will ethereum dip to 2200 in february 2026	Yes	BUY	377	53¢	$200	0xf810e7…
02-01 06:32:14	solana above 80 on february 1	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7fb4ee…
02-01 06:31:46	will solana reach 150 january 26 1	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9eb572…
02-01 06:27:20	will bitcoin reach 102k january 26 1	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x12f19c…
02-01 06:23:52	will the price of bitcoin be between 90000 92000 on february 1	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x08dc18…
02-01 06:22:50	hok wz xqg 2026 02 01	WanZhen Esports Club	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf68c04…
02-01 06:13:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0d3d57…
01-28 05:35:29	will the price of xrp be between 2pt10 2pt20 on january 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x23c641…
01-28 05:34:59	ethereum above 3200 on january 28	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x4f4590…
01-28 05:34:37	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on january 28	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb78bc4…
01-28 05:34:15	bitcoin above 94k on january 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfb7313…
01-28 05:34:05	bitcoin above 84k on january 28	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbcd0fe…
01-28 05:33:17	cbb nmx unlv 2026 01 27	New Mexico Lobos	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5af3c3…
01-28 05:33:01	nhl wsh sea 2026 01 27	Kraken	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2f4604…
01-28 04:29:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x688a2a…
01-28 04:29:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xca0012…
01-28 04:29:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xd36f7a…
01-28 04:29:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x7a9d87…
01-28 04:14:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc273c2…