Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$321

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

38.3%

Resolved

1,090

Trades

2,583

lifetime

Volume

$10.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$40

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 10-26 21:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 127 days

Categories

Other

57% 28% -$215

Crypto

35% 53% -$117

Tech

3% 40% -$3

Sports

2% 65% +$13

Politics

2% 20% +$2

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	No	+20	$14	64¢	$13	-$1	10-16 09:12
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?	No	+20	$11	62¢	$12	+$2	09-23 05:27
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	+20	$10	38¢	$8	-$2	09-23 06:12
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	Yes	+20	$7	36¢	$7	+$0	10-16 13:34
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	-24	-$1	0¢	$-0	+$1	06-08 15:57
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	-2	$0	0¢	$-0	+$0	06-08 15:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on August 13?	13	$121	200	40	+160	No	-$1	08-11 14:08
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 15?	15	$110	220	0	+220	Yes	+$0	08-14 20:54
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 14?	5	$88	135	45	+90	No	-$4	09-13 18:45
Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026?	9	$64	100	20	+80	open	—	10-20 22:19
Will "Resident Evil Requiem" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?	6	$62	80	40	+40	open	—	10-26 13:09
will ewy reach 196 in october 2026	6	$61	120	0	+120	No	-$1	10-01 14:01
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $195 in September?	6	$61	120	0	+120	Yes	-$1	09-23 08:50
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 10?	8	$60	89	49	+40	No	-$6	09-09 09:50
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	7	$59	117	1	+116	Yes	$0	09-23 12:26
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 11?	7	$59	80	40	+40	Yes	+$0	08-10 13:07
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 10?	7	$59	80	40	+40	No	+$1	08-10 00:31
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on August 9?	7	$56	56	56	+0	No	+$0	08-09 03:48
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 19?	10	$55	102	8	+94	Yes	$0	08-18 06:38
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 15?	12	$53	85	21	+65	No	-$1	09-13 20:11
Will Seattle have between 1 and 1.5 inches of precipitation in September?	7	$51	44	44	+0	No	-$10	09-24 15:30
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 11?	7	$50	51	40	+11	No	-$2	08-11 01:05
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	2	$49	60	60	+0	open	—	09-16 20:54
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 7?	3	$49	45	45	+0	Yes	-$1	09-06 20:30
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?	8	$48	90	10	+80	open	—	10-25 07:15
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 8?	4	$47	60	30	+30	Yes	-$2	09-07 21:00
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 10?	4	$47	47	47	+0	No	-$3	09-10 19:14
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	5	$46	70	10	+60	Yes	-$1	09-30 12:15
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 14?	2	$45	90	0	+90	Yes	$0	09-13 06:58
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 28?	7	$45	86	4	+83	No	+$0	08-27 12:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 15:30 UTC	4	$45	55	11	+45	Up	+$5	02-07 15:42
Will Mason Crosby finish as a top-12 K in the 2026-27 NFL season?	6	$45	100	20	+80	open	—	09-30 13:31
Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 US song this week?	4	$45	60	20	+40	Yes	-$2	09-21 06:00
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 2?	9	$44	74	20	+54	No	-$2	09-01 17:01
will mask off be on gta vi radio at launch	6	$43	53	20	+33	open	—	09-29 00:00
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	4	$43	60	20	+40	Yes	-$2	10-01 15:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 21:00:35	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting?	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0xc7e083…
10-26 13:09:44	Will "Resident Evil Requiem" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x8bbcf5…
10-26 12:07:12	Will "Resident Evil Requiem" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x4d1533…
10-26 07:31:24	Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x9b9f12…
10-26 04:53:51	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xe37be0…
10-25 21:44:09	Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x9d0353…
10-25 21:44:08	Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x90a36e…
10-25 16:15:45	Will Octane (Don Toliver) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x3c1daa…
10-25 07:15:20	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0xb6a79a…
10-25 00:07:14	Will Octane (Don Toliver) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x28c504…
10-24 23:14:23	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0x3beb11…
10-24 23:13:56	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x74f940…
10-24 18:39:47	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc60952…
10-24 18:39:41	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x161ece…
10-24 18:36:42	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x806b2d…
10-24 17:01:11	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x703ffc…
10-24 17:01:00	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x701650…
10-24 15:21:05	Will there be no next GPT Terra model (5.7+) release by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x628439…
10-24 15:21:03	Will there be no next GPT Terra model (5.7+) release by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x64a9c2…
10-24 13:15:21	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	7	63¢	$5	0x3fad2d…
10-24 13:15:20	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	63¢	$8	0x21c69c…
10-23 21:06:36	Will Please win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x21b0c9…
10-23 21:04:08	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xd1f347…
10-23 20:33:24	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $125M and $150M by November 30?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x77088a…
10-23 20:33:23	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $125M and $150M by November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xa90298…
10-23 02:45:36	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x9755ad…
10-22 21:22:29	GenLayer FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0x5af6cc…
10-22 21:21:59	GenLayer FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xf87574…
10-22 21:21:59	GenLayer FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x38248f…
10-22 11:48:38	Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x78e2da…
10-22 10:32:12	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x033b18…
10-22 02:48:20	Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x6159bc…
10-21 18:59:45	Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	19	67¢	$13	0x313977…
10-21 18:21:33	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x0b12a9…
10-21 18:19:48	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x107f10…
10-21 12:24:54	Will Please win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x3261ac…
10-21 08:15:21	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x1b3877…
10-21 00:30:42	Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 65m?	No	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0xecd400…
10-20 22:19:39	Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xf5737f…
10-20 22:19:30	Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x571a40…
10-20 16:20:02	Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 65m?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x9ab301…
10-20 16:07:47	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xc7a9d8…
10-20 13:40:18	Will Paper Trail win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x8deafd…
10-20 13:01:50	Will Paper Trail win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x8727b6…
10-20 09:28:47	Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x02d51a…
10-20 09:28:38	Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xb36e9d…
10-20 05:19:50	Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 75m?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x8b7a5e…
10-20 01:33:50	Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 75m?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x779feb…
10-19 15:15:50	Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0xb053d8…
10-19 15:15:33	Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x94159e…
10-19 07:08:24	Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xbff1a1…
10-19 07:08:24	Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	18	58¢	$11	0x6496c8…
10-19 04:45:26	Will "Resident Evil Requiem" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x439976…
10-18 13:09:44	Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x3a5828…
10-18 13:09:26	Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	46¢	$1	0xea9149…
10-18 13:09:09	Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x0158cd…
10-18 12:32:18	Will "Resident Evil Requiem" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xc8b905…
10-18 04:21:23	NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 adjusted gross margin 73% to 75%?	No	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0xc14fc9…
10-18 04:21:09	NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 adjusted gross margin 73% to 75%?	No	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xcec869…
10-18 03:35:02	Will General Mills Q2 organic net sales growth be between -1.5% and 0%?	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x477c9a…
10-18 02:02:42	Will General Mills Q2 organic net sales growth be between -1.5% and 0%?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xf95de7…
10-17 23:45:38	Will Micron Q1 NAND revenue be above $19.0B?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x13bbcf…
10-17 23:45:23	Will The Odyssey win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xeb9911…
10-17 23:45:21	Will Micron Q1 NAND revenue be above $19.0B?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x7c3f95…
10-17 17:54:00	Will "Resident Evil Requiem" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x254db8…
10-17 17:17:17	Will "Resident Evil Requiem" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x6a55db…
10-17 11:43:24	Will The Odyssey win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xa1298f…
10-17 08:49:38	autozone q1 domestic same store sales growth 1pt5 to 2pt5	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xeede3d…
10-17 08:47:30	autozone q1 domestic same store sales growth 1pt5 to 2pt5	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x6139d4…
10-17 05:45:04	will micron q1 nand revenue be above 19pt0b	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xa1ec57…
10-17 04:58:52	will crowdstrike q3 net new arr be above 440m	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x531ed8…
10-17 03:57:24	will crowdstrike q3 net new arr be above 440m	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x5ae739…
10-16 22:20:24	Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xfb4540…
10-16 22:20:08	Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x15e363…
10-16 22:19:50	Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0xd91017…
10-16 22:19:33	Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x5c422a…
10-16 22:19:21	Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xe02b51…
10-16 21:00:26	Will the median home value in the US be between $407,000 and $411,000 on December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x8e08f2…
10-16 14:15:30	Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x269096…
10-16 13:34:40	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x41de5a…
10-16 12:48:40	Will no live-action Miles Morales actor be chosen by end of 2027?	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x296fc2…
10-16 09:12:42	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xe698d6…
10-16 07:32:51	Will no live-action Miles Morales actor be chosen by end of 2027?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xecbd93…
10-16 06:55:57	Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?	Yes	BUY	11	34¢	$4	0xb2a5a7…
10-16 04:49:13	Will the median home value in the US be between $407,000 and $411,000 on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xc4bf18…
10-16 04:12:25	Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xb03819…
10-16 04:12:19	Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?	No	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xb78dd2…
10-16 03:51:46	Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xedb037…
10-16 03:51:36	Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?	No	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xb4ba08…
10-16 03:51:34	Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?	No	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0x2f251e…
10-15 20:08:47	Will the median home value in the DC Metro be less than $503,000 on December 31?	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x1ed569…
10-15 20:06:41	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x1adcce…
10-15 13:15:53	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x8e601d…
10-15 12:34:23	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xe105cd…
10-15 12:34:14	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xdf0c7d…
10-15 12:32:59	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xaba16e…
10-15 11:48:34	Will You Can See Everything win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	18	48¢	$9	0x35707d…
10-15 11:27:13	Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $323,000 and $327,000 on December 31?	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x456b3f…
10-15 10:26:14	Will You Can See Everything win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xf01568…
10-15 09:08:50	Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $323,000 and $327,000 on December 31?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x03f0d0…