Realized P&L (24h)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$14
Hit rate
—
Resolved (24h)
0
Trades (24h)
0
2,583 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$0
$10.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$291
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-17
last 10-26 21:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 129 days
Categories
Other
57% 28% -$215
Crypto
35% 53% -$117
Tech
3% 40% -$3
Sports
2% 67% +$14
Politics
2% 29% -$2
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting? Yes +40 $23 92¢ $37 +$14 10-24 23:14
Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026? No +40 $23 50¢ $20 -$3 10-20 22:19
Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026? Yes +40 $19 50¢ $20 +$1 10-20 22:19
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027? Yes +20 $14 96¢ $19 +$5 10-21 18:19
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%? No +20 $12 95¢ $19 +$7 10-05 13:14
Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)? No +20 $17 92¢ $18 +$2 10-06 17:06
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +20 $14 90¢ $18 +$4 10-16 09:12
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31? No +31 $20 56¢ $17 -$3 10-16 04:12
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31? No +20 $12 86¢ $17 +$5 10-10 07:52
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? No +20 $11 70¢ $14 +$3 09-23 05:27
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31? Yes +31 $11 44¢ $13 +$3 10-16 06:55
Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026? No +20 $13 64¢ $13 -$1 10-21 18:59
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? Yes +20 $10 56¢ $11 +$1 09-20 03:34
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +20 $7 52¢ $10 +$3 10-15 12:34
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +20 $13 48¢ $10 -$3 10-15 12:34
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? No +20 $10 44¢ $9 -$1 09-20 16:05
Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026? Yes +20 $9 36¢ $7 -$2 10-22 11:48
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? Yes +20 $10 30¢ $6 -$4 09-23 06:12
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting? No +40 $18 8¢ $3 -$15 10-25 07:15
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31? Yes +20 $11 15¢ $3 -$8 10-15 20:06
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? Yes +20 $7 10¢ $2 -$5 10-16 13:34
Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)? Yes +20 $4 8¢ $2 -$2 10-06 17:05
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%? Yes +20 $8 5¢ $1 -$7 10-05 13:30
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027? No +20 $9 4¢ $1 -$8 10-21 18:21