Dear-Hypothesis 0x32d162…f2b949
cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2.70K
Unrealized P&L
+$78
Hit rate
45.5%
Resolved
235
Trades
1,403
lifetime
Volume
$75.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$54
Open exposure
$1.28K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-14 23:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 91 days
Categories
Politics
63% 27% -$799
Other
23% 14% -$2,024
Sports
13% 38% +$125
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,900 $722 34¢ $636 -$85 10-14 23:15
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -23,648 -$328 1¢ $-319 +$8 09-17 02:30
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +4,587 $248 4¢ $177 -$71 09-16 03:37
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -510 -$238 14¢ $-69 +$169 08-01 14:32
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -400 -$76 8¢ $-34 +$42 06-06 17:05
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? Yes +307 $36 4¢ $14 -$22 09-20 12:25
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -3,800 -$27 0¢ $-10 +$17 06-06 01:58
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes +167 $16 4¢ $7 -$9 09-20 06:36
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -3,922 -$39 0¢ $-6 +$33 05-23 20:19
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -127 -$1 4¢ $-6 -$4 08-08 16:53