Realized P&L
-$567
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
92.0%
Resolved
42
Trades
74
lifetime
Volume
$21.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$291
Open exposure
$0
1 position
First seen
2026-03-10
last 07-11 23:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 35 days
Categories
Crypto
83%
91%
-$657
Politics
9%
100%
+$67
Sports
5%
100%
+$22
Other
3%
100%
+$1
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-11).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | +9 | $2 | 2¢ | $0 | -$2 | 06-06 21:38 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bitcoin above 68k on march 10 | 2 | $1.6K | 817 | 817 | +0 | Yes | +$7 | 03-10 16:05 |
| bitcoin above 64k on march 13 | 1 | $1.2K | 1,201 | 0 | +1,201 | Yes | +$4 | 03-13 01:33 |
| ethereum above 2300 on march 14 | 2 | $1.2K | 1,201 | 0 | +1,201 | No | +$4 | 03-14 04:04 |
| USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch? | 5 | $1.2K | 956 | 956 | +0 | Yes | -$703 | 04-22 11:25 |
| bitcoin above 74k on march 12 | 2 | $1.2K | 1,190 | 0 | +1,190 | No | +$17 | 03-12 05:02 |
| bitcoin up or down on march 10 | 2 | $665 | 340 | 340 | +0 | Up | +$14 | 03-10 16:04 |
| bitcoin above 66k on march 24 | 1 | $660 | 661 | 0 | +661 | Yes | +$1 | 03-24 08:02 |
| bitcoin above 72k on march 11 | 1 | $656 | 676 | 0 | +676 | No | +$20 | 03-11 10:57 |
| bitcoin above 76k on march 19 | 5 | $639 | 647 | 0 | +647 | No | +$8 | 03-18 17:54 |
| bitcoin above 68k on march 22 | 2 | $638 | 650 | 0 | +650 | Yes | +$12 | 03-21 22:20 |
| bitcoin above 76k on march 17 | 3 | $623 | 640 | 0 | +640 | No | +$17 | 03-17 13:17 |
| Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch? | 1 | $594 | 600 | 0 | +600 | No | +$6 | 03-16 05:07 |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 1 | $555 | 563 | 0 | +563 | No | +$8 | 07-11 23:53 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 1 | $540 | 541 | 0 | +541 | No | +$1 | 07-04 16:30 |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 1 | $540 | 553 | 0 | +553 | No | +$13 | 07-08 16:09 |
| USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch? | 4 | $517 | 319 | 319 | +0 | Yes | -$116 | 04-22 11:25 |
| israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026 | 1 | $510 | 533 | 0 | +533 | No | +$23 | 06-24 01:31 |
| bitcoin above 66k on march 11 | 1 | $500 | 505 | 0 | +505 | Yes | +$5 | 03-10 16:14 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026 | 1 | $496 | 500 | 0 | +500 | No | +$4 | 06-06 21:37 |
| bitcoin above 78k on march 16 | 1 | $490 | 500 | 0 | +500 | No | +$10 | 03-16 05:14 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 1 | $477 | 516 | 0 | +516 | No | +$39 | 05-26 15:06 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 25? | 1 | $477 | 477 | 0 | +477 | Yes | +$0 | 05-24 23:58 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17? | 1 | $476 | 476 | 0 | +476 | No | +$0 | 05-17 02:13 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 2? | 1 | $472 | 472 | 0 | +472 | Yes | +$0 | 05-02 00:46 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 April 27-May 3? | 1 | $471 | 471 | 0 | +471 | No | +$0 | 05-03 00:12 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | 1 | $470 | 470 | 0 | +470 | No | +$0 | 05-15 20:22 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10? | 1 | $470 | 472 | 0 | +472 | Yes | +$2 | 05-09 17:02 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 14? | 1 | $470 | 470 | 0 | +470 | Yes | +$0 | 05-13 17:34 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 8? | 1 | $470 | 470 | 0 | +470 | No | +$0 | 05-07 14:52 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 6? | 1 | $470 | 470 | 0 | +470 | Yes | +$0 | 05-05 01:34 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||