Natural-Breastplate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

64.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$57

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 05-30 13:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 62% -$2

Other

17% 75% +$1

Politics

11% 40% -$2

Tech

7% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-30).

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	-2	-$1	93¢	$-2	-$1	05-11 07:12
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	-6	-$1	3¢	$-0	+$1	05-30 13:25
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	-2	-$2	4¢	$-0	+$2	05-26 14:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 2100 on march 24	1	$6	6	0	+6	Yes	+$0	03-24 15:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 14:15 UTC	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	03-29 14:18
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$1	05-17 01:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 14:10 UTC	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	03-29 14:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	05-05 23:10
Critical Discord Incident by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	04-07 13:47
will iran strike syria in march	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	04-01 16:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:00 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	03-30 16:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 15:55 UTC	2	$2	103	0	+103	Down	-$2	03-30 16:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 15:35 UTC	2	$2	2	0	+2	Down	-$1	03-29 15:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 17:45 UTC	2	$2	3	0	+3	Up	-$1	03-23 17:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 14:05 UTC	2	$2	4	4	+0	Up	$0	03-29 14:08
deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	2	$2	2	2	+0	No	$0	03-30 11:59
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	1	$2	0	2	-2	open	—	05-26 14:37
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	1	$1	0	2	-2	open	—	05-11 07:12
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	1	$1	0	1	-1	Yes	$0	05-11 07:13
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	1	$1	0	1	-1	Yes	$0	05-11 07:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 15:45 UTC	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	03-30 15:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:10 UTC	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	03-30 16:09
bitcoin above 70k on march 24	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	-$1	03-24 13:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 15:40 UTC	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	03-29 15:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 15:30 UTC	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	-$1	03-29 15:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 15:50 UTC	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	-$1	03-30 15:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 13:30 UTC	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	03-24 13:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:05 UTC	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	-$1	03-30 16:05
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	-$1	04-07 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 17:50 UTC	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	03-23 17:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 13:40 UTC	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	03-25 13:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 17:40 UTC	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	-$1	03-23 17:40
will iran strike oman again in march	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	03-29 11:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 13:25:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x396704…
05-26 14:37:12	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	71¢	$2	0xc5baae…
05-17 01:35:27	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x37f3c9…
05-11 07:13:23	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xab5a9e…
05-11 07:13:11	Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc20e3f…
05-11 07:12:46	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x46760b…
05-05 23:10:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x75ed06…
04-07 13:49:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x24e7a1…
04-07 13:49:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x638304…
04-07 13:47:59	Critical Discord Incident by April 30?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x526def…
04-07 10:33:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xcc7a25…
04-01 16:54:59	will iran strike syria in march	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x63c2bd…
03-31 02:05:51	Critical Discord Incident by April 30?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x8b7687…
03-30 17:14:51	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x58e670…
03-30 16:09:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xfbbffa…
03-30 16:05:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x6c668f…
03-30 16:04:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x65413e…
03-30 16:02:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7a3596…
03-30 16:00:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x385360…
03-30 15:55:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x4c809b…
03-30 15:50:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xbebaa1…
03-30 15:45:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2d340f…
03-30 15:43:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8368ff…
03-30 11:59:46	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	Yes	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xd2cf97…
03-29 15:40:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x578556…
03-29 15:39:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 15:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x94bc64…
03-29 15:36:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xb47b75…
03-29 15:30:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xc1bae7…
03-29 14:18:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 14:15 UTC	Down	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xc97c25…
03-29 14:13:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa3901c…
03-29 14:10:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 14:10 UTC	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xf139cc…
03-29 14:10:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf78adc…
03-29 14:08:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 14:05 UTC	Down	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0x0ab9ee…
03-29 14:07:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x24d2ea…
03-29 11:22:32	will iran strike oman again in march	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x029b7e…
03-25 13:40:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x3cfceb…
03-25 13:36:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x8bac72…
03-24 15:21:25	ethereum above 2100 on march 24	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xbf552d…
03-24 13:45:47	bitcoin above 70k on march 24	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x601a05…
03-24 13:42:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x278cd5…
03-24 13:40:13	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xbf770f…
03-24 13:31:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x7508e3…
03-23 18:00:43	will iran strike syria in march	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc41c58…
03-23 17:52:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 17:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x47afc8…
03-23 17:48:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb383ed…
03-23 17:45:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x64b5e1…
03-23 17:40:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 17:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd08db7…
03-23 10:35:27	ethereum above 2000 on march 23	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x1a97f0…
03-23 10:22:37	bitcoin above 66k on march 23	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x23fc42…