Gleeful-Chairman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.1%

Resolved

411

Trades

617

lifetime

Volume

$758

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 09-26 11:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 71 days

Categories

Other

65% 63% +$27

Sports

17% 49% -$13

Crypto

17% 25% -$24

Politics

0% 0% -$3

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the united states win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$13	10	10	+0	Yes	+$4	02-20 12:19
mwoh usa swe 2026 02 18	3	$13	7	7	+0	USA	+$1	02-18 22:43
will italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$12	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	02-20 12:19
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 biathlon womens 4 x 6km relay france	2	$12	6	6	+0	Yes	+$1	02-18 14:38
mwoh can fin 2026 02 20	2	$11	6	6	+0	Canada	+$1	02-20 19:46
atp machac sinner 2026 04 09	5	$11	6	6	+0	Jannik Sinner	+$1	04-09 13:33
atp lehecka nava 2026 04 06	5	$10	7	6	+0	Jiri Lehecka	+$2	04-06 13:53
mwoh can cze 2026 02 18	2	$9	5	5	+0	Canada	+$1	02-18 19:48
wwoh swi swe 2026 02 19	3	$8	8	4	+4	Switzerland	-$4	02-19 15:23
atp pino acosta 2026 04 03	5	$8	10	10	+0	Facundo Acosta	+$1	04-03 16:38
atp fonseca zverev 2026 04 10	5	$7	5	4	+0	Alexander Zverev	+$1	04-10 11:47
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	5	$7	11	9	+2	Yes	+$3	03-10 07:05
wta bouzkov udvardy 2026 04 05	3	$6	5	5	+0	Marie Bouzkova	+$3	04-05 19:55
atp baez wawrink 2026 04 06	3	$6	5	5	+0	Sebastian Baez	+$1	04-06 12:41
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	4	$6	8	8	+1	No	+$5	04-14 04:48
atp garin zverev 2026 04 08	3	$6	4	4	+0	Alexander Zverev	+$2	04-08 13:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	5	$6	11	6	+5	No	+$3	04-15 22:44
will solana dip to 80 in march 2026	6	$6	8	6	+2	Yes	$0	03-28 08:16
Madrid Open: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Blockx	3	$6	5	5	+0	Alexander Blockx	+$3	04-23 12:27
bun bay stu 2026 04 19 bay	3	$5	4	4	+0	Yes	+$1	04-19 16:19
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$5	30	8	+22	Yes	-$1	03-25 17:52
Madrid Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Diana Shnaider	4	$5	4	3	+0	Diana Shnaider	+$1	04-23 12:51
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	5	$5	8	4	+5	Yes	-$1	03-28 08:14
uef tur rom 2026 03 26 tur	3	$5	3	3	+0	Yes	+$1	03-26 18:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$5	5	5	+0	No	+$3	04-08 05:47
epl not bur 2026 04 19 not	3	$4	4	4	+0	Yes	+$2	04-19 14:37
atp alcaraz etcheve 2026 04 09	2	$4	2	2	+0	Carlos Alcaraz	+$0	04-09 16:07
Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	3	$4	40	10	+30	No	+$2	05-25 12:11
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 speed skating mens 1500m kjeld nuis ned	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	02-19 16:41
will ethereum reach 2200 in march 2026	3	$4	9	7	+2	Yes	+$2	03-07 15:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-26 11:00:59	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x17a1e8…
07-16 16:20:08	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	42¢	$1	0x59c432…
07-07 20:38:16	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x595172…
07-05 14:26:50	Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd7466b…
07-05 14:24:23	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x9ef559…
07-05 14:24:14	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x550158…
07-05 14:02:56	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb2a435…
07-05 14:02:19	Will Jonas Vingegaard win the 2026 Tour De France?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x9ea87a…
07-05 14:01:10	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x886933…
06-12 07:16:36	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x06893e…
06-07 12:44:07	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0x57eb44…
06-01 09:21:54	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa42c4d…
05-25 12:11:37	Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x3ea6a5…
05-25 12:04:23	Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x22d82e…
05-25 09:45:03	Roland Garros ATP: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Jiri Lehecka	Jiri Lehecka	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xcbaf06…
05-25 09:34:56	Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Qinwen Zheng	Qinwen Zheng	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xbcdc6c…
05-25 09:24:14	Roland Garros WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Jil Teichmann	Liudmila Samsonova	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x649807…
05-22 22:44:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x9e527f…
05-22 14:27:24	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x5efb5d…
05-21 20:02:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x5c2aae…
05-21 17:33:00	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x4b8a25…
05-21 16:36:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xc47833…
05-21 14:00:59	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0xa7d37a…
05-21 13:39:15	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x01f63d…
05-21 11:46:51	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x5abafd…
05-16 15:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe055c1…
05-15 15:54:08	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x827fa7…
05-15 05:18:44	Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	55¢	$0	0x240c31…
05-14 14:46:10	Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x96ce8a…
05-12 19:55:05	Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x88ab9c…
05-12 19:52:30	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x4982e7…
05-11 09:55:10	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xa76dc0…
05-09 17:18:28	Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x166905…
05-09 17:17:15	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0xc32d1a…
05-09 17:11:25	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x682a44…
05-09 16:43:21	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x4b1682…
05-09 16:32:43	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xb82820…
05-09 16:30:40	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x62dccd…
05-09 16:29:58	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x52e5bd…
05-09 16:29:25	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xadcba0…
05-09 16:28:55	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x80f270…
05-09 16:28:39	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xb09581…
05-09 16:27:24	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x2f8961…
05-09 16:26:53	Will Solana reach $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x4a6191…
05-09 16:26:25	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x7f44a3…
05-03 16:27:38	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0xa7948c…
05-03 16:26:14	Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	SELL	2	24¢	$1	0xde68a2…
05-03 15:47:50	Will Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd33c34…
05-03 15:27:48	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd60e3f…
05-03 15:20:14	Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xdf848f…
05-03 15:13:30	Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)	Zverev	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x1fa7c1…
05-03 15:00:12	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-03?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x5900ef…
05-03 13:53:38	Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc0ae05…
05-03 13:52:28	Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x430e25…
05-03 13:51:46	Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc2c844…
05-02 18:01:02	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x39abbf…
05-02 17:19:44	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x984c31…
05-02 17:16:32	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb5b400…
05-02 16:59:48	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x4c90d2…
05-02 16:35:40	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xacb631…
05-02 16:34:08	Magic vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xf14830…
05-02 16:33:56	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x27f334…
05-02 16:33:32	76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x1856bb…
05-02 16:32:10	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xcc52f3…
05-02 16:30:20	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x6f426d…
05-02 16:29:40	Will Como 1907 vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x836c0a…
05-02 16:28:24	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd4cb8a…
05-02 16:27:48	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x14e737…
05-02 16:27:06	Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyuk	Mirra Andreeva	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x84ce59…
05-01 17:11:04	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x085e8f…
05-01 17:09:30	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x0681ae…
05-01 17:08:20	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	No	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0xf47b37…
05-01 17:08:12	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x735c98…
05-01 15:40:26	Cagliari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Jesper de Jong	Jesper de Jong	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xe8dad2…
05-01 15:35:26	Mauthausen: David Jorda Sanchis vs Roman Safiullin	Roman Safiullin	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x150133…
05-01 14:53:34	Ostrava: Dalibor Svrcina vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	Dalibor Svrcina	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6c835c…
05-01 13:58:34	Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils	Jannik Sinner	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x30c7c4…
05-01 13:58:24	Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Fils (+1.5)	Sinner	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb8c294…
05-01 13:56:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa5927f…
04-26 18:54:26	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa28bf2…
04-26 18:35:36	Madrid Open: Vit Kopriva vs Arthur Rinderknech	Arthur Rinderknech	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x21f5db…
04-26 18:34:14	Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina	Elena Rybakina	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9f0e65…
04-26 18:33:34	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Spurs	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xfdf7d5…
04-26 18:31:56	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x350c43…
04-26 18:29:52	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Cavaliers	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x139de2…
04-26 17:07:16	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x4acb76…
04-26 17:05:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xab402c…
04-26 16:47:48	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xe58939…
04-26 16:45:08	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4e617b…
04-26 16:40:02	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x87ad86…
04-26 16:29:32	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	86¢	$2	0x665f59…
04-26 16:25:42	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x9a5b0e…
04-26 16:18:28	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x6cf511…
04-26 16:14:36	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe5cca3…
04-26 16:12:28	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0x09fe3e…
04-26 16:10:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1fdb65…
04-26 15:59:44	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x5c79c0…
04-26 15:55:26	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xdb0c04…
04-26 13:55:40	Madrid Open: Jessica Pegula vs Marta Kostyuk	Jessica Pegula	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x760e39…
04-26 13:05:08	Madrid Open: Elise Mertens vs Karolina Pliskova	Elise Mertens	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa318d6…