Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.62K

Unrealized P&L

-$222

Hit rate

47.6%

Resolved

970

Trades

2,305

lifetime

Volume

$131.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$57

Open exposure

$1.70K

30 positions

First seen

2026-07-17

last 10-27 16:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 84 days

Categories

Other

78% 36% -$4,215

Politics

11% 36% +$912

Sports

10% 46% -$2,495

Crypto

1% 67% +$175

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 135 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+1,228	$519	36¢	$436	-$83	10-12 14:52
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+255	$234	92¢	$235	+$2	10-27 07:12
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	+505	$266	40¢	$204	-$62	10-24 19:49
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	+821	$199	24¢	$201	+$2	10-26 23:51
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+669	$198	30¢	$197	-$1	10-22 15:07
Will Vitality Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	+200	$82	62¢	$123	+$41	10-26 03:26
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	+123	$102	76¢	$93	-$9	10-25 13:44
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+210	$73	32¢	$68	-$5	10-27 11:38
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	+142	$38	26¢	$36	-$2	10-26 17:24
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	+26	$23	94¢	$24	+$1	10-10 00:14
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+21	$19	92¢	$20	+$0	10-19 13:24
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	+17	$12	65¢	$11	-$1	10-26 23:07
Discord IPO before 2027?	No	+9	$7	94¢	$8	+$2	10-05 04:53
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	+8	$7	98¢	$8	+$1	08-25 18:07
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	Yes	+30	$37	18¢	$5	-$31	10-26 15:08
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	+175	$46	3¢	$5	-$41	10-26 11:47
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	+164	$6	3¢	$4	-$2	10-27 15:43
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+26	$15	12¢	$3	-$11	08-22 17:31
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	+7	$4	40¢	$3	-$1	10-24 15:10
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	+2	$2	98¢	$2	+$0	08-24 07:54
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	+3	$2	84¢	$2	+$0	10-03 00:56
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	+250	$3	1¢	$1	-$2	10-26 04:57
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	+1	$1	95¢	$1	$0	10-03 00:57
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	+2	$0	28¢	$1	+$1	09-03 13:36
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?	No	+4	$1	14¢	$0	$0	08-27 09:22
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	+1	-$1	26¢	$0	+$1	10-03 02:16
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	+8	-$7	3¢	$0	+$8	08-22 17:52
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?	Yes	+5	$2	2¢	$0	-$2	09-01 08:34
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+2	$28	4¢	$0	-$28	08-22 17:30
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+0	$0	90¢	$0	+$0	10-03 01:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	137	$7.6K	6,700	6,696	+4	Yes	-$17	10-24 08:44
Wuhan Tennis Open: Ann Li vs Qinwen Zheng	15	$3.9K	7,833	0	+7,833	cancelled	-$19	10-12 05:13
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	33	$3.8K	4,930	2,866	+2,064	Yes	-$30	10-27 16:26
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	79	$3.2K	7,681	4,910	+2,771	No	-$567	10-26 22:16
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik	7	$3.0K	4,248	0	+4,248	Alexander Zverev	+$1,216	10-13 09:44
epl mac bou 2026 08 23 total 3pt5	2	$2.6K	5,769	0	+5,769	Under	-$2,596	08-23 03:15
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	42	$2.5K	3,571	1,920	+1,651	Yes	-$244	09-15 18:17
China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic	11	$2.4K	3,351	0	+3,351	Novak Djokovic	-$2,438	10-04 05:54
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	7	$2.3K	2,528	576	+1,952	No	+$224	07-24 04:17
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	18	$2.3K	1,809	1,809	+0	Yes	+$18	07-24 06:22
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	30	$2.1K	3,113	846	+2,267	Yes	+$645	10-26 22:49
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	82	$2.1K	5,091	3,145	+1,946	No	-$246	10-25 23:08
Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Andrey Rublev	2	$2.0K	3,560	0	+3,560	Tommy Paul	+$1,602	10-27 08:25
China Open: Sara Bejlek vs Naomi Osaka	10	$1.8K	2,481	0	+2,481	Naomi Osaka	+$645	10-04 05:53
lal elc rea 2026 09 15 corners total 9pt5	10	$1.8K	3,085	0	+3,085	Under	-$1,758	09-15 18:02
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5	3	$1.5K	2,783	0	+2,783	Over	-$1,537	10-19 19:27
Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5	2	$1.4K	3,245	0	+3,245	Under	-$1,428	10-23 22:15
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5	1	$1.4K	2,868	0	+2,868	Under	-$1,405	10-24 10:23
dota2 ironwi boombo 2026 08 20 game1	7	$1.3K	1,363	1,363	+0	Iron Wing	+$15	08-21 02:25
Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2026?	10	$1.3K	739	739	+0	open	—	10-03 01:59
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	1	$1.2K	1,323	0	+1,323	Team Yandex	+$145	10-08 08:18
atp alcaraz minaur 2026 09 27	10	$1.2K	1,766	0	+1,766	cancelled	-$271	09-27 12:49
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	1	$1.1K	1,171	0	+1,171	FURIA	+$117	10-27 15:58
AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5	2	$995	1,687	0	+1,687	Under	+$692	10-18 12:25
China Open: Coco Gauff vs Elise Mertens	3	$982	1,243	0	+1,243	Elise Mertens	-$982	10-07 04:45
Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)	3	$935	2,231	0	+2,231	Parma Calcio 1913	-$935	10-24 16:48
China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng	2	$927	1,220	0	+1,220	Qinwen Zheng	+$293	10-07 04:04
China Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Nikola Bartunkova	2	$888	2,267	0	+2,267	Mirra Andreeva	-$436	10-10 04:27
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5	2	$885	1,923	0	+1,923	Under	-$885	10-21 01:18
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5	3	$882	938	0	+938	Over	+$56	10-25 19:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 16:26:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0x6e8a72…
10-27 16:26:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	844	94¢	$789	0xa89867…
10-27 16:24:56	Exact Score: US Sassuolo Calcio 2 - 3 SS Lazio?	Yes	BUY	49	4¢	$2	0x0c5b1e…
10-27 16:21:09	Exact Score: US Sassuolo Calcio 1 - 2 SS Lazio?	Yes	BUY	28	10¢	$3	0x0c2f94…
10-27 16:16:08	Exact Score: US Sassuolo Calcio 1 - 2 SS Lazio?	Yes	BUY	92	10¢	$9	0xd7d2b3…
10-27 16:14:35	Exact Score: US Sassuolo Calcio 1 - 2 SS Lazio?	Yes	BUY	105	10¢	$11	0xe32d3d…
10-27 16:04:35	Exact Score: US Sassuolo Calcio 1 - 2 SS Lazio?	Yes	BUY	93	10¢	$9	0x6ce861…
10-27 16:02:12	Exact Score: US Sassuolo Calcio 1 - 2 SS Lazio?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6be19b…
10-27 15:58:41	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FURIA	BUY	1,171	90¢	$1,054	0xedae40…
10-27 15:55:24	US Sassuolo Calcio vs. SS Lazio: O/U 12.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	69	22¢	$15	0xe7acaf…
10-27 15:55:23	US Sassuolo Calcio vs. SS Lazio: O/U 12.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0xa3bc9f…
10-27 15:51:14	Exact Score: Torino FC 3 - 2 Como 1907?	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x4598a7…
10-27 15:49:42	Exact Score: US Sassuolo Calcio 1 - 2 SS Lazio?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x24b88c…
10-27 15:45:32	Exact Score: AS Roma 3 - 0 Cagliari Calcio?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x59b243…
10-27 15:43:09	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x6dbf08…
10-27 15:37:57	Exact Score: US Sassuolo Calcio 1 - 2 SS Lazio?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb5c585…
10-27 15:36:50	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LEGION (BO1) - PARI Universe Group B	LEGION	BUY	282	41¢	$116	0x2bee10…
10-27 15:36:08	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LEGION (BO1) - PARI Universe Group B	LEGION	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0x407c15…
10-27 15:35:57	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LEGION (BO1) - PARI Universe Group B	LEGION	BUY	76	40¢	$31	0x3a2871…
10-27 15:35:15	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LEGION (BO1) - PARI Universe Group B	LEGION	BUY	78	40¢	$31	0xe7ea19…
10-27 15:27:45	Exact Score: US Sassuolo Calcio 3 - 1 SS Lazio?	Yes	BUY	82	3¢	$2	0x402e2f…
10-27 15:24:12	Exact Score: US Sassuolo Calcio 1 - 2 SS Lazio?	Yes	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0x2cb531…
10-27 15:10:02	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LEGION (BO1) - PARI Universe Group B	BetBoom Team	BUY	285	59¢	$168	0xa9f99f…
10-27 15:09:47	Exact Score: US Sassuolo Calcio 0 - 0 SS Lazio?	Yes	BUY	37	6¢	$2	0x3e9b4f…
10-27 15:09:18	Exact Score: US Sassuolo Calcio 1 - 2 SS Lazio?	Yes	BUY	93	10¢	$9	0xb10c3f…
10-27 14:55:51	Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs fnatic (+1.5)	fnatic	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x990efd…
10-27 12:16:24	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x87d0d5…
10-27 11:38:53	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x4e7835…
10-27 11:00:39	Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	Inner Circle Esports	BUY	21	75¢	$16	0xb4233d…
10-27 10:20:54	Sichuan Blue Whales vs. Nanjing Monkey King: O/U 183.5	Under	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2047cc…
10-27 10:12:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0xae0295…
10-27 09:59:33	Exact Score: US Sassuolo Calcio 1 - 1 SS Lazio?	Yes	BUY	233	12¢	$28	0xa3b899…
10-27 08:52:47	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	180	35¢	$63	0xf30b13…
10-27 08:25:05	Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Andrey Rublev	Tommy Paul	BUY	1,916	55¢	$1,054	0x9da0dc…
10-27 08:25:03	Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Andrey Rublev	Tommy Paul	BUY	1,644	55¢	$904	0x64cf97…
10-27 07:23:05	Exact Score: Torino FC 3 - 1 Como 1907?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x8c6b39…
10-27 07:21:05	Exact Score: US Sassuolo Calcio 2 - 1 SS Lazio?	Yes	BUY	549	7¢	$38	0xd0970a…
10-27 07:20:53	Exact Score: US Sassuolo Calcio 3 - 2 SS Lazio?	Yes	BUY	510	3¢	$15	0x445bcc…
10-27 07:12:33	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	53	92¢	$49	0x32cc78…
10-27 06:44:50	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x10c1da…
10-27 04:11:08	Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x882b21…
10-27 03:25:51	Exact Score: Torino FC 1 - 5 Como 1907?	Yes	BUY	84	1¢	$1	0x6c50a4…
10-26 23:51:51	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	346	29¢	$100	0xb49a0d…
10-26 23:51:51	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	41	29¢	$12	0x465cf2…
10-26 23:48:57	Spread: Jazz (-1.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	490	53¢	$260	0x7dca79…
10-26 23:24:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	251	6¢	$16	0xf0d813…
10-26 23:24:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	251	7¢	$17	0x3021d8…
10-26 23:23:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	215	7¢	$14	0xcce4c3…
10-26 23:23:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	107	7¢	$7	0x8c3144…
10-26 23:22:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	105	7¢	$7	0x652da4…
10-26 23:11:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	248	7¢	$17	0x474e73…
10-26 23:07:41	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0xf7a0af…
10-26 22:49:56	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	215	71¢	$152	0xabb427…
10-26 22:44:47	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5	Over	BUY	673	50¢	$337	0x7c36b9…
10-26 22:41:35	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5	Over	BUY	605	50¢	$302	0x56817d…
10-26 22:41:26	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5	Over	BUY	201	49¢	$98	0xd88729…
10-26 22:19:05	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	111	28¢	$31	0x684a7e…
10-26 22:16:18	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	1,085	17¢	$183	0x5b6539…
10-26 22:16:15	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	31	75¢	$23	0x88efb9…
10-26 22:14:57	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	975	17¢	$170	0x11ba60…
10-26 22:14:18	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x60c4bb…
10-26 22:01:42	Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)	Nuggets	BUY	176	67¢	$118	0x6de8e4…
10-26 22:01:35	Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)	Nuggets	BUY	58	66¢	$38	0xd09b2c…
10-26 21:48:47	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	44	7¢	$3	0xbb53d2…
10-26 21:48:18	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	199	1¢	$2	0xacbd56…
10-26 21:42:12	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xadb96c…
10-26 21:42:12	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	118	1¢	$1	0x13210b…
10-26 21:39:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	93¢	$9	0xb4f60f…
10-26 21:25:48	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x75aecf…
10-26 21:25:47	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0xb06a55…
10-26 19:06:17	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	85	80¢	$68	0xddc8d0…
10-26 17:24:03	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	BUY	88	28¢	$25	0xe390d9…
10-26 17:24:03	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	BUY	46	28¢	$13	0xccfd65…
10-26 17:21:27	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	134	8¢	$11	0x162e4f…
10-26 17:17:12	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xc3f099…
10-26 17:12:42	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	18	26¢	$5	0x9e8ab2…
10-26 17:12:35	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0x2098fb…
10-26 17:09:33	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	70	26¢	$18	0xaad4ec…
10-26 17:03:45	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	56	27¢	$15	0xd991db…
10-26 17:02:32	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	17	26¢	$5	0xe12895…
10-26 16:38:29	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	9	28¢	$3	0xce527d…
10-26 16:37:15	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x76ed47…
10-26 16:37:08	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	32	29¢	$9	0x5abf2d…
10-26 16:35:32	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	19	28¢	$5	0xb00500…
10-26 16:34:14	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	73	28¢	$20	0xbe9ac4…
10-26 16:31:27	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x8be964…
10-26 16:29:36	Exact Score: Sevilla FC 3 - 0 CA Osasuna?	Yes	BUY	54	5¢	$3	0xb97083…
10-26 16:28:32	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$49	0xfcad27…
10-26 16:25:03	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	85	69¢	$58	0xb585f0…
10-26 16:23:45	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	14	32¢	$5	0x518b83…
10-26 16:21:27	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	43	33¢	$14	0x7961f6…
10-26 16:21:26	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	124	33¢	$41	0x3a31d6…
10-26 16:16:42	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x3c3bd7…
10-26 16:12:20	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	16	33¢	$5	0x2a9d03…
10-26 16:06:20	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	43	41¢	$18	0xd7126c…
10-26 16:02:00	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	17	57¢	$9	0x2b1d38…
10-26 16:01:15	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	708	35¢	$250	0x9868d0…
10-26 15:08:59	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	Yes	SELL	30	23¢	$7	0x11a6af…
10-26 11:53:42	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xfe59b3…
10-26 11:53:33	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	345	69¢	$237	0x165e24…