Klutzy-Dough — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

12.7%

Resolved

Trades

145

lifetime

Volume

$17.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$122

Open exposure

$51

1 position

First seen

2026-03-03

last 06-16 22:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Sports

45% 33% $-0

Other

35% 0% $-1

Crypto

12% — —

Politics

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Senegal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No		+52	$51	98¢	$51	$-0	06-13 14:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	6	$1.2K	626	626	+0	No	$-1	03-17 17:53
will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	7	$1.1K	588	588	+0	open	—	03-24 18:42
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	6	$920	486	486	+0	Yes	$-1	03-30 12:44
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$813	418	418	+0	open	—	03-17 01:28
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	7	$773	416	416	+0	open	—	03-19 09:11
Netanyahu out by April 30?	6	$733	382	382	+0	open	—	03-25 15:04
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	7	$730	392	392	+0	open	—	03-22 05:26
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	6	$572	295	295	+0	open	—	04-15 05:07
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$490	251	251	+0	open	—	04-09 07:39
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	5	$467	239	239	+0	open	—	04-10 05:11
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$431	232	232	+0	open	—	03-04 00:39
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$429	221	221	+0	open	—	03-06 19:15
will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	2	$428	222	222	+0	open	—	03-10 13:02
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$421	223	223	+0	open	—	03-10 18:15
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	2	$412	211	211	+0	open	—	03-12 14:34
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$409	211	211	+0	open	—	03-15 17:38
will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	2	$405	214	214	+0	open	—	03-16 00:59
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	2	$402	207	207	+0	open	—	03-14 00:20
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$399	203	203	+0	open	—	03-18 02:22
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$391	201	201	+0	open	—	03-16 13:20
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$383	205	205	+0	open	—	03-20 03:43
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$380	198	198	+0	open	—	03-27 18:40
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	3	$374	200	200	+0	open	—	03-20 15:58
will israel take military action in gaza on march 26 2026	3	$374	195	195	+0	open	—	03-28 23:02
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$369	190	190	+0	open	—	03-29 05:40
will st johns win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$364	186	186	+0	open	—	03-27 10:52
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	3	$363	187	187	+0	open	—	03-29 14:04
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	3	$358	188	188	+0	No	+$2	03-12 04:15
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	4	$358	184	184	+0	open	—	03-20 22:09
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$347	181	181	+0	No	$-2	04-27 02:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 22:08:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	54	95¢	$51	0xd66a73…
06-16 16:06:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	54	96¢	$52	0x3ce2e9…
06-16 15:33:43	Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	65	94¢	$61	0xc8364a…
06-16 09:29:16	Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	65	94¢	$61	0x2bbfbf…
06-15 23:28:49	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$5	0x6b1ebc…
06-15 19:25:55	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0x76e44c…
06-13 14:10:04	Will Senegal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0xac55e7…
06-12 04:22:49	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	No	SELL	40	92¢	$37	0xc394bc…
06-11 20:17:58	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x8b4b8e…
06-06 10:13:15	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	54	96¢	$52	0xfd826c…
06-06 05:10:43	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	BUY	54	96¢	$52	0x6cbfe7…
06-05 16:20:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	SELL	59	97¢	$57	0xf8397d…
06-05 08:18:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	BUY	59	97¢	$57	0xd18c56…
06-05 07:38:48	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0x281aa6…
06-05 00:35:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	55	97¢	$54	0xb899ff…
06-05 00:03:43	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	62	90¢	$55	0xc200b4…
06-04 18:00:33	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	62	91¢	$56	0x52e192…
06-04 10:44:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	59	92¢	$54	0x00eb8e…
06-04 06:35:03	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	59	93¢	$54	0x3b55a3…
06-03 13:26:51	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	67	93¢	$62	0x30e62c…
06-03 05:17:58	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	67	95¢	$63	0x9c42d4…
06-02 21:02:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0xbd7f6b…
06-02 17:01:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x36d93d…
06-02 16:28:43	Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	47	95¢	$45	0xea5d0a…
06-02 12:22:14	Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	47	97¢	$45	0x545a17…
04-27 16:39:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	SELL	65	94¢	$61	0x402600…
04-27 12:30:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	BUY	66	94¢	$62	0x2dd596…
04-27 12:19:12	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	179	92¢	$165	0xfe87bf…
04-27 04:18:32	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	174	96¢	$167	0x11571d…
04-27 04:10:34	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd85a79…
04-27 02:23:12	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	181	95¢	$172	0xcfc4f7…
04-25 05:47:10	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	181	96¢	$174	0x006f4c…
04-24 10:20:08	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	55	97¢	$53	0xd16c68…
04-22 17:51:02	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	55	97¢	$54	0x55f5da…
04-15 05:07:12	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	52	97¢	$50	0xfa11c4…
04-14 22:06:58	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$51	0xdc77f4…
04-11 12:42:39	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	58	96¢	$56	0x36fcaa…
04-11 05:47:17	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	58	96¢	$56	0x384705…
04-11 00:54:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0xf26b17…
04-10 19:52:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x5ae4c8…
04-10 19:49:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x285065…
04-10 17:35:53	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	49	95¢	$46	0x93a105…
04-10 09:14:21	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	49	95¢	$46	0x426c9e…
04-10 05:11:43	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0xbc44a3…
04-09 21:04:29	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0x2c3454…
04-09 07:39:21	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	51	97¢	$50	0x99d585…
04-09 00:08:29	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x3b6d64…
04-08 23:38:09	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	44	96¢	$42	0x49b187…
04-08 18:37:19	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	44	96¢	$42	0x15ca41…
03-30 12:44:00	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	46	96¢	$44	0x6e77f6…
03-30 08:34:46	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0xd57af7…
03-30 07:44:16	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	184	97¢	$179	0xf8f836…
03-30 00:43:06	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	184	98¢	$180	0x9abb68…
03-29 14:04:24	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	No	SELL	187	97¢	$182	0xb4c67f…
03-29 07:02:02	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	No	BUY	87	97¢	$84	0xae7575…
03-29 06:38:16	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x918f27…
03-29 05:40:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	190	97¢	$184	0xb4a9ac…
03-29 00:08:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	190	97¢	$184	0x4bef2c…
03-28 23:02:04	will israel take military action in gaza on march 26 2026	No	SELL	195	95¢	$186	0xc31764…
03-28 19:45:46	will israel take military action in gaza on march 26 2026	No	BUY	144	96¢	$139	0x2b3097…
03-28 15:41:21	will israel take military action in gaza on march 26 2026	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x98fe1c…
03-28 05:16:41	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	186	98¢	$182	0xa0c530…
03-27 19:56:55	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	86	98¢	$84	0x5a25fb…
03-27 19:38:41	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xe2094c…
03-27 18:40:11	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	198	97¢	$192	0x7b6039…
03-27 11:45:41	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	198	95¢	$188	0x01aab5…
03-27 10:52:45	will st johns win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	186	98¢	$183	0x2f9ddd…
03-27 02:18:21	will st johns win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	186	98¢	$182	0xd9852e…
03-25 15:04:51	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	193	96¢	$185	0x46136f…
03-25 06:13:33	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	193	96¢	$186	0x815134…
03-24 18:42:27	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	183	97¢	$177	0xc1ef61…
03-24 09:26:03	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	183	96¢	$176	0x2a703a…
03-22 21:56:49	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	190	96¢	$181	0x83dcc0…
03-22 13:05:39	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	132	96¢	$126	0xa4e8de…
03-22 12:57:33	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	33	96¢	$31	0xbddad6…
03-22 12:57:21	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x089edb…
03-22 05:26:11	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	190	94¢	$179	0x4930a3…
03-21 23:53:41	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	190	96¢	$182	0x41a420…
03-21 14:00:03	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	191	98¢	$187	0x321a99…
03-21 06:52:05	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	191	97¢	$186	0x472cda…
03-20 22:09:59	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	SELL	184	97¢	$179	0x0b1090…
03-20 16:41:27	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x4ba385…
03-20 16:40:09	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	BUY	150	98¢	$146	0x70f3a8…
03-20 16:39:55	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0xfe15c3…
03-20 15:58:21	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	200	93¢	$187	0x9de13b…
03-20 11:38:43	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	89	94¢	$83	0x19bbf8…
03-20 11:31:45	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	111	94¢	$104	0xe83e04…
03-20 03:43:45	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	205	93¢	$191	0x0cb268…
03-19 18:17:25	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	56	94¢	$53	0x006352…
03-19 18:15:23	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x46c803…
03-19 18:11:49	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	128	94¢	$120	0xf2617f…
03-19 17:27:37	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	202	91¢	$185	0x08462b…
03-19 12:27:11	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xcc79c7…
03-19 12:26:31	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	161	91¢	$146	0xacda17…
03-19 12:21:39	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x9eba2a…
03-19 12:13:05	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x8a22bf…
03-19 09:11:39	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	199	91¢	$181	0x781c37…
03-19 01:10:01	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	49	92¢	$45	0xbab3c2…
03-19 00:37:55	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	47	92¢	$44	0x7406a7…
03-19 00:22:37	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	31	92¢	$28	0xf0e436…