Realized P&L
-$77
Unrealized P&L
-$65
Hit rate
30.9%
Resolved
7
Trades
278
lifetime
Volume
$12.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$45
Open exposure
$3.49K
18 positions
First seen
2026-07-10
last 10-18 14:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
51% 40% -$45
Politics
46% 0% -$34
Tech
3% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +1,200 $728 97¢ $1.2K +$434 07-22 17:57
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? No +741 $513 78¢ $574 +$60 10-15 22:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +476 $173 88¢ $421 +$249 07-15 05:34
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +539 $404 64¢ $345 -$59 10-09 03:23
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +213 $202 97¢ $206 +$4 10-14 09:01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +247 $212 82¢ $204 -$8 07-15 05:32
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +540 $141 36¢ $194 +$54 09-28 06:29
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? Yes +723 $224 22¢ $163 -$61 10-15 22:41
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +82 $62 76¢ $62 +$0 10-13 11:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +476 $313 12¢ $55 -$258 07-11 22:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +247 $37 18¢ $43 +$6 07-11 14:33
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +1,200 $504 3¢ $38 -$466 07-23 03:11
Modi out by December 31, 2026? Yes +347 $17 3¢ $11 -$7 10-15 15:45
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Yes +94 $10 5¢ $5 -$6 07-26 02:27
jos luis rodrguez zapatero sentenced to prison Yes +83 $7 3¢ $3 -$5 07-24 22:47
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 07-25 12:35
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? Yes +82 $3 3¢ $2 -$1 07-24 19:30
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +6 $4 26¢ $2 -$3 07-25 17:18