(anonymous) 0x341e2e…478ad8 Create alert
bot new 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$6
Unrealized P&L
+$35
Hit rate
67.0%
Resolved
13
Trades
253
lifetime
Volume
$341
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$121
30 positions
First seen
2026-11-11
last 11-15 06:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
64% 0% -$5
Politics
23% 50% -$2
Tech
14% 40% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +25 $6 36¢ $9 +$3 11-14 20:41
Syrian troops enter Yemen by December 31, 2026? No +15 $6 60¢ $9 +$3 11-12 12:58
Will Jensen Huang publicly testify before Congress by December 31, 2026? No +15 $4 50¢ $7 +$4 11-15 03:15
Will the D66–VVD–CDA Dutch coalition break in 2026? Yes +10 -$3 66¢ $7 +$10 11-14 13:11
Will Gemini Hydrogen debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 50% or higher? No +30 $5 18¢ $6 +$1 11-12 22:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027? No +10 $5 52¢ $5 +$1 11-12 18:26
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +10 $4 51¢ $5 +$1 11-13 17:47
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +8 $2 57¢ $5 +$3 11-14 18:29
Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate at the March meeting? No +10 $3 43¢ $4 +$1 11-14 23:13
Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of Israel? Yes +10 $2 42¢ $4 +$2 11-12 23:36
Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by November 30, 2026? Yes +10 $4 40¢ $4 +$0 11-12 14:44
New NVIDIA CEO named by December 31, 2026? Yes +17 $4 24¢ $4 +$0 11-13 11:21
Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government? No +5 $3 76¢ $4 +$1 11-14 14:15
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C? No +10 $4 38¢ $4 $0 11-14 18:54
Jensen Huang divorce by March 31, 2027? No +5 $3 74¢ $4 +$1 11-12 19:49
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of December 2026? Yes +5 $3 68¢ $3 +$1 11-12 07:47
Will Jensen Huang be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +5 $4 66¢ $3 $0 11-13 13:09
Will Israel be top 5 in the World Happiness Report 2027? No +5 $3 61¢ $3 +$0 11-15 04:55
Jensen Huang admits to another affair with a woman by December 31? Yes +15 $4 21¢ $3 -$1 11-14 03:25
Will Iran target Jordan by November 30, 2026? No +5 $2 61¢ $3 +$1 11-13 18:30
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? No +5 $0 56¢ $3 +$3 11-15 00:10
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by November 30, 2026? No +5 $3 56¢ $3 +$0 11-15 06:32
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027? No +5 $3 56¢ $3 $0 11-13 00:12
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of January 2027? No +5 $2 55¢ $3 +$0 11-12 10:18
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? Yes +10 $2 26¢ $2 +$0 11-13 19:42
Kimberly Powell announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026? Yes +10 $2 24¢ $2 $0 11-14 17:12
Will Google have the best AI model on December 15, 2026? No +10 $1 23¢ $2 +$1 11-14 13:49
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +5 $2 46¢ $2 +$0 11-12 09:29
Israel x Iran ceasefire ends before Netanyahu out? No +5 $2 46¢ $2 +$0 11-12 16:16
Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by December 7, 2026? No +15 $2 15¢ $2 +$0 11-13 03:07