Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

35.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$101

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

6 positions

First seen

2026-07-01

last 10-29 23:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

71% 50% +$3

Politics

26% — —

Sports

3% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+4	$3	82¢	$3	+$0	10-29 23:29
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+10	$2	19¢	$2	$0	10-18 11:02
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	+18	$2	8¢	$1	-$1	07-18 19:36
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	+2	$1	66¢	$1	+$0	10-29 23:29
will russia enter khatnie by december 31 2026	Yes	+3	$1	23¢	$1	$0	07-18 17:29
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+6	$1	5¢	$0	-$1	07-18 20:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will russia enter malokaterynivka by december 31 2026	8	$21	149	149	+0	Yes	-$1	09-17 20:35
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?	2	$10	46	0	+46	open	—	10-26 23:20
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	3	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	09-17 20:42
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	2	$8	17	17	+0	open	—	10-12 20:22
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?	2	$6	9	0	+9	Yes	+$3	08-06 21:48
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	2	$6	14	14	+0	open	—	09-17 20:43
will xagusd dip to 54 in october 2026	2	$4	4	4	+0	Yes	+$2	10-15 04:54
Iran Nuke before 2027?	2	$4	34	34	+0	open	—	08-04 02:22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	10-29 23:29
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	1	$2	10	0	+10	open	—	10-18 11:02
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	2	$2	18	0	+18	open	—	07-18 19:36
will russia enter krasnopillya by september 30	2	$2	16	0	+16	No	-$2	08-05 21:36
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	09-11 22:15
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	10-29 23:51
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$2	4	4	+0	No	$0	07-30 18:59
Iran nuclear test before 2027?	2	$2	20	20	+0	open	—	08-04 02:22
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$2	50	50	+0	open	—	09-11 22:15
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by December 31, 2026?	1	$1	8	0	+8	open	—	09-10 23:21
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	10-26 03:38
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30, 2027?	1	$1	8	0	+8	open	—	10-26 23:21
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	10-26 03:38
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30, 2027?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	10-26 23:20
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	10-29 23:29
will russia enter krasnoiarske by december 31 671	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	07-16 23:42
will russia enter serhiivka by december 31	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	07-18 16:40
mlb det nyy 2026 07 01	1	$1	2	0	+2	Detroit Tigers	+$1	07-01 06:58
will russia enter pokrovskoe by december 31 2026	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	07-18 17:29
mlb min nyy 2026 07 04	1	$1	2	0	+2	Minnesota Twins	+$1	07-04 07:21
will russia enter havrylivka by september 30 2026	1	$1	7	0	+7	No	-$1	08-05 21:36
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	07-18 20:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 23:51:19	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0x40d0b2…
10-29 23:34:18	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x6e8bcb…
10-29 23:29:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xbf36a2…
10-29 23:29:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa70a36…
10-29 02:29:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x9eb575…
10-26 23:21:02	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x6d91ce…
10-26 23:20:50	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xfb94cf…
10-26 23:20:18	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0x566ac0…
10-26 03:38:59	Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x7aab22…
10-26 03:38:41	Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x97791d…
10-26 03:36:12	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xd0710c…
10-18 11:02:54	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xc49863…
10-15 04:54:59	will xagusd dip to 54 in october 2026	Yes	SELL	4	60¢	$3	0x14b24a…
10-12 20:22:15	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	Yes	SELL	17	15¢	$3	0x0e20f3…
10-02 06:09:27	will xagusd dip to 54 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x81138a…
09-28 20:44:09	will xauusd dip to 3900 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x910471…
09-17 20:43:16	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	20¢	$3	0xaab411…
09-17 20:42:25	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0xadd95f…
09-17 20:35:40	Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	149	7¢	$10	0x98e94a…
09-11 22:16:18	Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xc551af…
09-11 22:15:51	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0xeea02a…
09-11 22:15:04	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x708a09…
09-11 00:00:10	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd99ea6…
09-10 23:21:30	Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x660d00…
09-09 18:07:10	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xed00e5…
09-07 21:45:18	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x74d177…
08-08 06:15:24	will russia enter malokaterynivka by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xaf7f3c…
08-06 21:58:33	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa8cd55…
08-06 21:48:26	Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?	Yes	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xb2873b…
08-06 08:57:39	will russia enter malokaterynivka by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa25356…
08-06 08:57:38	will russia enter malokaterynivka by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x2f5c60…
08-05 21:36:50	will russia enter krasnopillya by september 30	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x58b5f5…
08-05 21:36:23	will russia enter havrylivka by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf865b2…
08-04 02:22:44	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	SELL	34	5¢	$2	0xea5f5c…
08-04 02:22:23	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x6b3950…
07-30 18:59:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x54696d…
07-24 21:35:37	Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x0ef0da…
07-22 09:35:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xcea43f…
07-22 05:21:07	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	34	6¢	$2	0xbd300a…
07-18 20:18:13	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe2ddb1…
07-18 19:36:12	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa5b15a…
07-18 18:32:15	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x865e90…
07-18 17:52:54	will russia enter krasnopillya by september 30	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x75b8f8…
07-18 17:52:34	will russia enter malokaterynivka by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf65cc8…
07-18 17:29:57	will russia enter khatnie by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x03a540…
07-18 17:29:39	will russia enter pokrovskoe by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x71faf8…
07-18 16:40:37	will russia enter serhiivka by december 31	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x8f69d4…
07-18 11:29:06	will russia enter malokaterynivka by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	69	6¢	$4	0x0389dc…
07-16 23:42:28	will russia enter malokaterynivka by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x3f7d6c…
07-16 23:42:14	will russia enter krasnoiarske by december 31 671	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1c1830…
07-15 04:32:38	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe37dc6…
07-09 22:25:53	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x309ab4…
07-09 21:00:05	mlb phi det 2026 07 11	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x0b2148…
07-04 07:21:37	mlb min nyy 2026 07 04	Minnesota Twins	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x685f10…
07-01 06:58:25	mlb det nyy 2026 07 01	Detroit Tigers	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x654781…