Early-Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$130

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

93.3%

Resolved

Trades

933

lifetime

Volume

$154.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$166

Open exposure

$190

1 position

First seen

2026-02-11

last 06-03 15:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 80% $-130

Other

14% — —

Politics

4% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		-193	$-190	99¢	$-190	$-1	05-29 13:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	39	$6.7K	3,500	3,500	+0	open	—	03-17 10:37
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$3.5K	1,821	1,821	+0	open	—	05-06 12:43
bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 11am et	6	$3.2K	1,664	1,606	+58	open	—	03-17 15:59
bitcoin up or down march 1 10am et	6	$3.2K	1,629	1,629	+0	open	—	03-01 16:15
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	5	$3.0K	1,579	1,579	+0	open	—	05-24 01:52
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	13	$3.0K	1,604	1,604	+0	open	—	02-28 17:46
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	5	$2.8K	1,350	1,542	-193	open	—	05-29 13:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	6	$2.8K	1,477	1,477	+0	open	—	05-06 12:45
btc updown 15m 1774268100	6	$2.7K	1,409	1,406	+3	open	—	03-23 12:28
bitcoin up or down april 5 2026 11am et	4	$2.6K	1,337	1,335	+2	open	—	04-05 15:50
bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 11am et	5	$2.4K	1,241	1,238	+3	open	—	04-07 15:59
btc updown 15m 1776182400	4	$2.4K	1,230	1,228	+2	open	—	04-14 16:14
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$2.4K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	03-31 11:38
btc updown 15m 1775564100	5	$2.2K	1,121	1,120	+2	open	—	04-07 12:29
bitcoin up or down april 6 2026 11am et	5	$2.2K	1,107	1,107	+1	open	—	04-06 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11AM ET	2	$2.2K	1,102	1,102	+0	open	—	04-29 16:02
btc updown 15m 1772259300	4	$2.0K	1,434	632	+802	open	—	02-28 06:28
btc updown 15m 1772380800	3	$1.6K	825	825	+0	open	—	03-01 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10AM ET	3	$1.6K	811	811	+0	open	—	04-29 15:14
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	5	$1.6K	800	800	+0	open	—	02-28 06:16
bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 11am et	3	$1.4K	718	717	+1	open	—	04-14 15:57
btc updown 15m 1771345800	4	$1.4K	713	713	+0	open	—	02-17 16:45
bitcoin up or down april 9 2026 11am et	3	$1.4K	708	708	+1	open	—	04-09 15:50
bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 7am et	5	$1.2K	652	649	+4	open	—	04-07 12:16
btc updown 15m 1771344000	2	$1.2K	612	612	+0	open	—	02-17 16:16
bitcoin up or down march 11 11am et	3	$1.2K	612	612	+0	open	—	03-11 15:56
btc updown 15m 1776768300	4	$1.2K	612	611	+1	open	—	04-21 10:58
btc updown 15m 1772928000	4	$1.2K	607	607	+0	open	—	03-08 00:12
btc updown 15m 1773761400	3	$1.2K	1,207	0	+1,207	open	—	03-17 15:42
will the united states win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	5	$1.2K	600	600	+0	open	—	02-17 16:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 15:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x3ceeac…
06-03 15:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x4dccab…
06-03 10:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0x8f1854…
06-03 10:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xdeb01e…
06-03 10:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xb1686d…
06-03 02:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	213	59¢	$126	0x0cfad8…
06-03 02:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0x9f77f3…
06-03 02:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x54b177…
06-03 01:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	51	58¢	$30	0x7c05dc…
06-03 01:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x0e10f4…
06-03 01:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xa004c7…
06-03 01:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	32	89¢	$29	0xd2ac89…
06-03 01:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x4cfa6a…
06-03 01:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	179	99¢	$177	0x8d3941…
06-03 01:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0xd8ed07…
06-03 01:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xb81278…
06-03 01:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	195	99¢	$193	0x57469e…
06-03 01:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xc44daf…
06-03 01:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6e524f…
06-03 01:36:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x5d82e9…
06-03 01:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x28feaa…
06-03 01:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x1859d0…
06-03 01:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0xed1e56…
06-03 01:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	313	99¢	$310	0x97c95d…
06-03 01:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x39a399…
06-03 01:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x01443e…
06-03 01:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x75a5e9…
06-03 01:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe07941…
06-03 01:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	150	99¢	$148	0xb2f544…
06-03 01:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb28597…
06-03 01:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xaa3354…
06-03 01:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x8cb199…
06-03 01:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x7c1616…
06-03 01:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x4f89cb…
06-03 01:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x415277…
06-03 01:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x9c8026…
06-03 01:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x874e22…
06-03 01:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0xc6e846…
06-03 01:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	185	99¢	$183	0x508c99…
06-03 01:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x28d93a…
06-03 01:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xeb1e42…
06-02 23:29:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	200	83¢	$166	0xb9d55e…
06-02 23:08:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0xf94288…
06-02 16:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xc1024f…
06-02 16:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	132	99¢	$131	0xd6070b…
06-02 16:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x66f8fa…
06-02 16:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x3a2bc8…
06-02 16:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xe21e22…
06-02 16:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xaa5122…
06-02 16:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xa2c0e6…
06-02 16:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	133	99¢	$132	0x4d9082…
06-02 16:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x072466…
06-02 16:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xd4e816…
06-02 16:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x46f6dc…
06-02 11:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	66	75¢	$50	0x2ffe83…
06-02 11:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xdf323b…
06-02 10:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xf98e86…
06-02 10:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x9b13db…
06-02 10:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	108	58¢	$62	0xa139a6…
06-02 10:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x548164…
06-02 10:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x595e26…
06-02 10:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x4820d3…
06-02 10:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x8b6682…
06-02 10:36:09	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	90¢	$180	0x654204…
06-02 04:08:14	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x61982e…
06-01 16:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	41	99¢	$40	0xfed777…
06-01 16:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	41	77¢	$31	0xae284f…
06-01 16:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	209	99¢	$207	0x0c0fcf…
06-01 16:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xf96fee…
06-01 16:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x94b3d3…
06-01 16:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0xe5d195…
06-01 16:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xf5f377…
06-01 16:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x07b65f…
06-01 16:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	105	99¢	$104	0xbf58e6…
06-01 16:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xaf50e3…
06-01 16:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x1039a4…
06-01 16:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0ae7fe…
06-01 16:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x907cb2…
06-01 16:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x3614c0…
06-01 16:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x38d65a…
06-01 15:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	206	99¢	$204	0xa6401b…
06-01 15:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0xb3e8c8…
06-01 15:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x9134f9…
06-01 15:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	104	99¢	$103	0xd130a8…
06-01 15:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xca20f8…
06-01 15:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	222	99¢	$220	0xdaaf72…
06-01 15:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xa75ad8…
06-01 15:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x6d97c9…
06-01 15:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	222	99¢	$220	0x49d06d…
06-01 15:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x42b78d…
06-01 15:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x5e5c13…
05-31 15:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x131058…
05-31 15:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x32ccec…
05-31 14:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x0d16af…
05-31 02:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	121	98¢	$118	0x927123…
05-31 02:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x1b195f…
05-31 02:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xc8db28…
05-31 02:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	36	86¢	$31	0x02edb5…
05-31 02:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x768b0c…
05-31 02:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x7a7128…