Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$287

Unrealized P&L

-$17

Hit rate

53.0%

Resolved

110

Trades

160

lifetime

Volume

$2.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$12

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-02

last 09-08 19:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Politics

69% 13% +$173

Other

30% 12% -$414

Tech

1% 0% -$20

Sports

1% 0% -$20

Crypto

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		+80	$24	12¢	$10	-$14	07-24 22:10
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?	Yes		+98	$5	2¢	$2	-$3	09-08 19:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
houthi military action against israel by april 15 2026	5	$712	541	541	+0	Yes	+$342	04-04 22:12
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?	3	$244	167	167	+0	Yes	+$88	04-04 22:12
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$233	133	133	+0	Yes	+$33	04-06 11:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	5	$194	2,233	2,233	+0	No	-$26	04-13 15:50
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$176	106	106	+0	Yes	+$36	04-06 11:14
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	3	$130	580	182	+398	No	-$50	04-17 01:29
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	5	$74	551	551	+0	Yes	-$46	04-11 13:33
will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	4	$73	1,163	58	+1,104	No	-$57	04-15 14:02
Another EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30?	2	$65	489	0	+489	No	-$65	04-12 09:24
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	3	$57	180	83	+97	No	-$33	04-17 14:12
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	3	$40	125	125	+0	No	+$10	04-08 14:22
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?	1	$30	71	0	+71	open	—	09-08 19:41
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	1	$30	545	0	+545	No	-$30	04-07 19:09
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?	3	$28	553	250	+303	No	-$12	04-10 14:49
Will there be between 50 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	2	$28	208	208	+0	No	+$8	04-08 14:22
will trump say kharg or island during monday news conference	2	$28	18	18	+0	No	+$8	04-06 19:35
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	1	$25	188	0	+188	No	-$25	04-12 02:02
Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026?	2	$25	196	0	+196	No	-$25	04-13 01:14
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	2	$25	208	0	+208	No	-$25	04-10 16:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$24	80	0	+80	open	—	07-24 22:10
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	1	$20	238	0	+238	No	-$20	04-10 14:48
Trump out as President by April 30?	4	$20	1,182	0	+1,182	No	-$20	04-07 03:05
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?	1	$20	167	0	+167	No	-$20	04-10 14:49
will houthi military action against saudi arabia occur by april 15 2026	3	$20	410	0	+410	No	-$20	04-13 01:14
will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	1	$20	133	0	+133	No	-$20	04-06 16:35
will the next mythos class model debut as 1 text arena 20260901081919669	1	$17	35	0	+35	Yes	+$18	09-01 16:57
sea com int 2026 04 12 int	1	$15	94	0	+94	Yes	+$79	04-12 19:40
Iran leadership change by May 31?	1	$15	94	0	+94	No	-$15	04-06 19:34
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$15	469	0	+469	Yes	-$15	04-06 16:14
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?	1	$15	214	0	+214	No	-$15	06-29 21:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-08 19:41:19	Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?	Yes	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0x24572f…
09-08 19:39:27	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?	Yes	BUY	98	5¢	$5	0x7366fe…
09-01 16:57:00	will the next mythos class model debut as 1 text arena 20260901081919669	Yes	BUY	35	49¢	$17	0x0e8741…
09-01 16:54:33	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xde261f…
07-24 22:10:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	80	30¢	$24	0x8f01ba…
07-23 10:24:13	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	64	8¢	$5	0x6356a1…
07-23 10:24:00	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x5f5b9f…
07-23 10:23:42	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	227	2¢	$5	0xcfe8c1…
07-23 10:23:37	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xbd6c19…
07-23 10:23:21	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	154	6¢	$10	0x9a20b7…
06-29 21:55:04	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	214	7¢	$15	0xc63acc…
06-08 11:47:51	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	158	3¢	$5	0x11f793…
04-17 14:12:26	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	97	31¢	$30	0x5731a8…
04-17 01:29:42	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	398	13¢	$50	0x23865b…
04-15 19:21:00	Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	144	3¢	$5	0x95ab4c…
04-15 19:19:32	Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?	Yes	BUY	143	4¢	$5	0x3491cb…
04-15 19:19:24	Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 75% and 80%?	Yes	BUY	48	10¢	$5	0x43887e…
04-15 14:02:26	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	358	3¢	$10	0xa84917…
04-14 16:25:59	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	2¢	$2	0xa30415…
04-14 16:25:51	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	2¢	$2	0x081540…
04-14 16:25:35	Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x8245e7…
04-14 16:25:27	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0xf1b3f9…
04-14 16:25:23	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	1¢	$1	0x3e6591…
04-14 16:23:53	Will Ricardo Belmont finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	173	3¢	$5	0x5d7f4b…
04-14 16:23:45	Will Jorge Nieto finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xcff9bd…
04-13 23:02:25	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	720	7¢	$50	0x722546…
04-13 15:50:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	581	2¢	$13	0x9126a4…
04-13 01:52:45	saudi arabia military action against yemen by april 30	Yes	BUY	82	18¢	$15	0xa1d6af…
04-13 01:51:45	Will Iran strike Dimona by April 30?	Yes	BUY	58	9¢	$5	0x91d5b8…
04-13 01:15:35	us forces seize another oil tanker by april 15	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xccdffb…
04-13 01:15:25	houthis successfully target shipping by april 15	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x898ea8…
04-13 01:14:47	Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x156cba…
04-13 01:14:39	will houthi military action against saudi arabia occur by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	174	3¢	$5	0x749df8…
04-13 00:35:43	will stateside zara larsson pinkpantheress zara larsson be the 1 song on us spotify this week 449	Yes	BUY	106	3¢	$3	0xb50702…
04-12 21:41:19	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	Yes	BUY	228	4¢	$10	0x693ea6…
04-12 20:54:07	Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by April 30?	Yes	BUY	272	2¢	$5	0x559136…
04-12 20:40:09	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	58	14¢	$8	0xe0d2b6…
04-12 20:02:53	will fidesz kdnp win at least 60 seats	Yes	BUY	128	4¢	$5	0x44fdc4…
04-12 19:58:53	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	84	6¢	$5	0xfca230…
04-12 19:44:13	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 6 9	Yes	BUY	455	1¢	$5	0xd735cb…
04-12 19:40:39	sea com int 2026 04 12 int	Yes	BUY	94	16¢	$15	0x744617…
04-12 09:36:05	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 60m?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x34d49e…
04-12 09:24:49	Another EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30?	Yes	BUY	433	14¢	$60	0xd6034b…
04-12 03:04:35	Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x1ac996…
04-12 03:04:11	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x8eaee5…
04-12 02:07:15	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be less than 4 on april 12 2026	Yes	BUY	214	2¢	$5	0xcc392d…
04-12 02:03:07	Another EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x51dca1…
04-12 02:02:19	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	Yes	BUY	188	13¢	$25	0xd2e0ac…
04-12 02:01:49	trump announces tariff for iran military cooperation by april 17	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xf872e5…
04-12 01:58:17	Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	86	6¢	$5	0x5c880c…
04-12 01:58:11	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	82	6¢	$5	0xd4c4ca…
04-12 01:58:07	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xe727ad…
04-12 01:55:25	Military action against Iran ends by April 19, 2026?	No	BUY	370	3¢	$10	0xf4bc34…
04-11 21:31:29	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	232	2¢	$5	0x98738e…
04-11 21:31:21	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	169	3¢	$5	0xcd7bef…
04-11 20:26:41	military action against iran ends by april 15 2026 937	No	BUY	109	5¢	$5	0x347483…
04-11 20:26:23	military action against iran ends by april 30 2026 239	No	BUY	357	1¢	$5	0x348f89…
04-11 20:26:17	military action against iran ends by april 15 2026 937	No	BUY	109	5¢	$5	0xff62ca…
04-11 13:45:01	will coincidence or coincidental be said during the first episode of the joe rogan experience of the week april 13	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x2434fa…
04-11 13:33:55	Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	No	SELL	488	2¢	$11	0xa65ed0…
04-11 00:22:19	US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	207	2¢	$5	0xf4c31a…
04-11 00:22:13	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	No	BUY	177	3¢	$5	0x322f94…
04-10 16:32:05	Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	No	BUY	140	18¢	$25	0x90ae47…
04-10 16:23:45	US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	Yes	BUY	103	5¢	$5	0x385061…
04-10 16:22:49	Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0x4384ba…
04-10 16:22:25	will the first eaglet hatch on april 10 2026 369 995	Yes	BUY	57	9¢	$5	0xf2ade0…
04-10 15:35:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,652	4¢	$71	0x3f8182…
04-10 14:53:23	Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	No	BUY	349	7¢	$25	0x1094f8…
04-10 14:49:23	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?	Yes	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0xcde6dd…
04-10 14:49:19	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?	Yes	BUY	303	3¢	$10	0x011ad1…
04-10 14:48:51	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	Yes	BUY	238	8¢	$20	0x149fdc…
04-10 14:45:59	Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	No	SELL	62	6¢	$3	0xe0ee63…
04-10 02:40:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,019	4¢	$45	0x77ad2a…
04-10 02:33:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	375	4¢	$15	0xfbc42a…
04-09 20:26:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	839	6¢	$50	0xf8592c…
04-09 20:15:41	will houthi military action against saudi arabia occur by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x363113…
04-09 03:13:53	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	No	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xc14417…
04-09 02:51:57	US x Iran meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	67	7¢	$5	0x5b9835…
04-09 02:27:39	bitcoin above 68k on april 9	No	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x284923…
04-08 14:23:09	Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	113	13¢	$15	0x521efc…
04-08 14:22:47	Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	SELL	123	3¢	$4	0x53d9a8…
04-08 14:22:41	Will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x3266bc…
04-08 14:22:25	Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	SELL	62	32¢	$20	0x9db649…
04-08 14:22:21	Will there be between 50 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	SELL	208	9¢	$18	0x55eb57…
04-08 11:06:33	Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	No	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xac036c…
04-08 09:55:59	U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by April 30?	Yes	BUY	113	4¢	$5	0x44e446…
04-08 09:55:19	will houthi military action against saudi arabia occur by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	111	5¢	$5	0x646272…
04-08 09:54:47	military action against iran ends by june 30 2026	No	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xa2e54c…
04-08 09:53:47	Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by April 30?	Yes	BUY	278	2¢	$5	0xe7bf22…
04-08 09:53:37	Will gas hit (High) $4.15 by April 30?	No	BUY	205	1¢	$3	0x3641d9…
04-08 09:52:41	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	625	1¢	$5	0x38addc…
04-08 09:52:25	will trump praise allah again by april 15	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x55ec3c…
04-08 09:51:51	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	Yes	BUY	156	3¢	$5	0x5695af…
04-08 02:09:59	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xe428ab…
04-08 01:55:29	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xe80e37…
04-08 01:54:51	will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	64	8¢	$5	0x2a36ef…
04-08 01:39:43	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?	Yes	SELL	250	3¢	$8	0x10020f…
04-08 01:36:49	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	83	15¢	$12	0x6a8eb9…
04-07 19:09:05	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	BUY	545	6¢	$30	0x69d99c…
04-07 03:10:15	will elon musk pay tsa salaries	Yes	BUY	429	1¢	$3	0xd83f45…