Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8.76K

Unrealized P&L

-$199

Hit rate

51.6%

Resolved

4,570

Trades

16,619

lifetime

Volume

$199.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$4.50K

30 positions

First seen

2026-07-26

last 10-27 04:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Other

63% 70% -$7,696

Politics

36% 48% -$1,162

Sports

1% 61% +$75

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% 50% -$2

Crypto

0% 67% +$25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 2311 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+675	$457	74¢	$496	+$39	10-27 04:58
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+621	$398	66¢	$413	+$16	10-13 17:59
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	+329	$238	98¢	$322	+$85	10-23 17:20
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	No	+348	$309	88¢	$304	-$4	10-15 16:27
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	+427	$282	64¢	$275	-$7	10-27 05:30
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	No	+305	$270	86¢	$260	-$9	10-15 16:28
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	+525	$304	48¢	$255	-$50	10-25 22:05
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+635	$303	36¢	$232	-$71	10-25 01:08
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	+303	$198	66¢	$200	+$3	10-24 21:35
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+510	$239	39¢	$199	-$40	10-21 18:44
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	No	+386	$122	40¢	$156	+$35	10-26 06:49
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	+240	$162	57¢	$138	-$24	10-27 05:04
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	Yes	+429	$168	32¢	$135	-$32	10-25 09:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	+107	$73	91¢	$97	+$24	10-27 05:46
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	+156	$103	62¢	$96	-$7	10-24 17:31
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	+146	$126	62¢	$90	-$36	10-26 21:56
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?	No	+90	$80	98¢	$88	+$8	10-09 07:24
next white house press secretary announced by november 30 2026	No	+110	$35	67¢	$74	+$39	10-20 15:05
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	+133	$90	56¢	$74	-$16	09-29 21:38
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	No	+361	$185	18¢	$67	-$118	09-18 22:47
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	+416	$162	16¢	$67	-$95	10-19 16:06
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	+83	$30	74¢	$62	+$32	09-09 17:59
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+210	$57	28¢	$58	+$1	10-27 04:57
next white house press secretary announced by december 31 2026	No	+140	$9	40¢	$55	+$46	10-26 16:02
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	+76	$62	72¢	$55	-$7	10-26 06:45
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?	No	+58	$54	90¢	$52	-$2	10-15 23:36
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	No	+60	$53	86¢	$52	-$1	10-20 13:37
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	+101	$38	44¢	$45	+$7	09-27 18:58
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+220	$53	20¢	$44	-$9	10-27 05:29
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	+78	$46	53¢	$42	-$5	10-21 19:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	69	$7.1K	5,413	5,413	+0	open	—	10-15 16:18
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	49	$5.1K	4,109	4,109	+0	open	—	10-24 20:32
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	43	$3.3K	3,002	2,847	+156	open	—	10-24 17:31
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	36	$3.1K	2,560	2,259	+301	Yes	+$72	09-28 01:30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	36	$2.7K	1,583	1,583	+0	open	—	10-26 21:06
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	21	$2.5K	3,424	2,789	+635	open	—	10-25 01:08
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	6	$2.3K	1,918	1,918	+0	Yes	-$16	10-10 05:19
us x iran ceasefire continues through september 25 20260917	28	$2.1K	1,634	1,634	+0	Yes	+$16	09-25 19:30
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	106	$2.0K	2,808	2,655	+153	Yes	-$241	09-14 21:50
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	5	$1.8K	1,192	1,192	+0	open	—	10-11 14:28
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?	22	$1.7K	1,843	1,823	+20	Yes	-$48	09-18 21:14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	21	$1.6K	1,565	856	+709	Yes	-$864	09-22 18:12
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	36	$1.6K	1,368	410	+958	No	-$813	09-18 18:20
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	18	$1.6K	1,991	293	+1,698	No	+$462	10-25 22:39
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	6	$1.5K	2,131	750	+1,381	No	+$97	10-09 09:01
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	12	$1.5K	1,008	1,008	+0	Yes	+$321	10-16 18:11
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 30?	19	$1.5K	967	896	+71	No	-$85	07-30 11:37
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	22	$1.4K	1,021	518	+503	No	+$47	09-29 18:13
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	26	$1.4K	1,844	1,708	+136	Yes	-$280	09-07 21:31
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?	11	$1.4K	950	913	+37	open	—	10-08 21:42
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	5	$1.3K	652	652	+0	Yes	+$13	09-21 01:33
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	20	$1.3K	930	874	+56	No	+$138	09-27 21:16
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?	5	$1.3K	756	756	+0	open	—	10-09 08:55
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	7	$1.2K	1,175	500	+675	open	—	10-27 04:58
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	20	$1.2K	1,333	1,261	+72	Yes	-$50	09-22 15:35
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	18	$1.2K	1,366	1,310	+55	open	—	10-24 19:13
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	3	$1.2K	879	662	+217	open	—	10-21 20:09
Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 28?	9	$1.0K	625	625	+0	Yes	+$185	07-28 16:05
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	14	$996	1,221	1,221	+0	No	-$182	09-11 15:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	29	$979	811	755	+56	No	+$128	09-19 23:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 05:46:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xd0bfe4…
10-27 05:46:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0xe74fda…
10-27 05:30:14	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0x3eaffb…
10-27 05:29:54	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	4	65¢	$2	0xe1f33c…
10-27 05:29:54	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	56	21¢	$12	0xa053d1…
10-27 05:15:44	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	19	19¢	$4	0x96b645…
10-27 05:04:20	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb5836b…
10-27 05:04:20	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7a4646…
10-27 05:04:18	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf41c34…
10-27 05:04:18	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	SELL	45	55¢	$25	0xdb1663…
10-27 05:04:18	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x198978…
10-27 04:58:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	230	74¢	$170	0x41df8f…
10-27 04:57:26	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xa75120…
10-27 04:57:03	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	63	27¢	$17	0x9bbd22…
10-27 04:56:57	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	147	27¢	$40	0x435d2f…
10-27 04:48:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x5000ed…
10-27 04:35:15	Will Democrats win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire Senate seats?	No	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xe13dd8…
10-27 01:36:54	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xcd4642…
10-27 01:09:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xf9201f…
10-27 01:09:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	12	88¢	$11	0xec1302…
10-27 01:09:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xd27adb…
10-27 01:09:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x1bf3e0…
10-27 00:59:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xb21835…
10-26 22:25:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xf96d78…
10-26 21:59:30	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	107	46¢	$49	0x806734…
10-26 21:56:17	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	SELL	24	61¢	$14	0x58ec9d…
10-26 21:56:06	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x6a2c4d…
10-26 21:55:27	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	142	48¢	$68	0xaf532f…
10-26 21:06:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	21	81¢	$17	0x14b845…
10-26 21:06:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0xd8202d…
10-26 20:54:12	Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?	No	BUY	42	80¢	$34	0xabd14d…
10-26 20:41:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0xbab2b7…
10-26 20:24:06	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	157	72¢	$113	0x1f909c…
10-26 20:22:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	62	80¢	$49	0x75c785…
10-26 20:16:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0xd25cba…
10-26 19:51:32	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	17	19¢	$3	0x6da4d2…
10-26 19:37:33	Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?	No	BUY	45	57¢	$25	0xa0f2e1…
10-26 19:33:35	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xdf7aad…
10-26 19:19:15	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0x0d0131…
10-26 18:16:56	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xf506e8…
10-26 18:16:56	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	138	26¢	$35	0x67d36b…
10-26 18:00:06	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	288	73¢	$211	0x9d4b25…
10-26 16:43:50	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	BUY	40	56¢	$22	0xccd330…
10-26 16:14:18	Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	111	15¢	$17	0x6cdfb1…
10-26 16:03:32	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	3¢	$1	0xc90bd9…
10-26 16:02:57	Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	140	43¢	$60	0x75931b…
10-26 14:32:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	8	81¢	$6	0x0e275a…
10-26 14:31:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	8	81¢	$6	0xf6eea6…
10-26 13:31:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$0	0xa169c6…
10-26 13:20:59	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x9cbfd0…
10-26 12:58:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x12e59e…
10-26 12:43:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x64504d…
10-26 12:41:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xd60a96…
10-26 11:48:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xb4448c…
10-26 11:30:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	12	81¢	$10	0xb3583a…
10-26 11:23:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xf4b0a9…
10-26 10:52:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x7cbf3d…
10-26 09:53:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0x32ce07…
10-26 09:26:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x3ec7ee…
10-26 08:59:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x73d703…
10-26 08:34:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$0	0x093a49…
10-26 07:51:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xe62c8b…
10-26 07:05:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xde074f…
10-26 06:49:09	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	12	42¢	$5	0x128ea6…
10-26 06:45:30	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x9fde08…
10-26 06:13:24	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	0	42¢	$0	0xd60a42…
10-26 06:10:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	No	SELL	119	58¢	$69	0xc464c0…
10-25 23:34:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	89	81¢	$72	0x76e8da…
10-25 23:18:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0x6d7618…
10-25 23:16:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x2cf1ce…
10-25 22:39:15	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	Yes	BUY	46	25¢	$11	0xb379fe…
10-25 22:05:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	SELL	12	56¢	$7	0x3806a7…
10-25 22:03:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	No	SELL	17	65¢	$11	0xf2bd20…
10-25 21:58:05	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xc82e03…
10-25 21:57:53	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x1f832c…
10-25 21:53:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	114	45¢	$51	0x1783c7…
10-25 21:53:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	No	BUY	136	63¢	$85	0x99bd70…
10-25 21:53:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	203	56¢	$114	0xcb7db6…
10-25 21:11:03	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xb3bbca…
10-25 21:11:02	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x2ec693…
10-25 21:02:23	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	231	34¢	$80	0x3dd71f…
10-25 20:49:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	165	64¢	$106	0x415061…
10-25 20:46:15	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	No	BUY	26	73¢	$19	0xf50ae1…
10-25 20:30:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	165	69¢	$114	0xa737b7…
10-25 20:29:50	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	No	BUY	16	71¢	$11	0xbface8…
10-25 20:15:14	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	30	28¢	$8	0xfc3eee…
10-25 20:14:06	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	133	31¢	$41	0x275fce…
10-25 20:09:27	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	39	28¢	$11	0xf85ccf…
10-25 20:09:27	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	24	28¢	$7	0x2c5615…
10-25 20:08:35	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	No	BUY	79	72¢	$57	0x288128…
10-25 19:59:45	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	No	SELL	121	64¢	$78	0x3b40ed…
10-25 19:40:21	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	Yes	SELL	163	29¢	$47	0x650abb…
10-25 12:19:42	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x53ea5c…
10-25 10:11:57	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x104ccf…
10-25 10:07:44	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x4b0e7b…
10-25 09:12:36	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	Yes	SELL	54	32¢	$17	0x2c80cb…
10-25 09:12:12	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	Yes	BUY	316	33¢	$104	0xaaaa9c…
10-25 08:25:53	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x34398c…
10-25 08:25:35	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x14d92f…
10-25 08:25:23	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x829b9c…