Forthright-Upgrade — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$587

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

58.9%

Resolved

1,198

Trades

2,146

lifetime

Volume

$16.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 10-26 23:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 161 days

Categories

Sports

91% 50% -$528

Other

6% 44% -$95

Crypto

2% 64% +$46

Politics

1% 21% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+115	$15	3¢	$3	-$12	10-21 13:25
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	-36	-$3	4¢	$-1	+$1	07-31 00:55
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	-10	-$1	4¢	$-0	+$0	07-30 15:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
mlb nyy chc 2026 08 01 total 6pt5	4	$268	240	120	+120	Over	+$89	08-02 01:55
mlb oak cin 2026 08 04 total 7pt5	3	$241	300	0	+300	Over	+$59	08-05 00:19
mlb pit mil 2026 08 04 total 7pt5	3	$196	300	0	+300	Under	-$196	08-05 01:17
mlb tor hou 2026 08 04 total 9pt5	3	$195	300	0	+300	Under	-$195	08-05 02:13
mlb wsh phi 2026 08 05 total 7pt5	3	$177	246	0	+246	Over	+$69	08-06 01:11
mlb lad ari 2026 08 07 total 5pt5	3	$177	249	0	+249	Over	+$72	08-08 03:41
mlb pit mil 2026 08 06 total 7pt5	3	$177	259	0	+259	Under	-$177	08-06 19:40
mlb nym cle 2026 08 05 total 7pt5	4	$176	223	0	+223	Over	+$47	08-06 00:20
mlb tor hou 2026 08 05 total 7pt5	3	$176	230	0	+230	Over	+$54	08-05 19:52
mlb sf sd 2026 08 02 total 9pt5	3	$170	240	0	+240	Under	-$170	08-02 21:59
mlb tor chc 2026 06 21 total 5pt5	8	$166	278	0	+278	Under	-$166	08-06 21:26
mlb tex hou 2026 08 02 total 7pt5	3	$164	240	0	+240	Over	+$76	08-02 20:12
mlb det sea 2026 08 05 total 4pt5	3	$147	300	0	+300	Over	+$153	08-06 03:20
mlb laa bal 2026 08 04 total 4pt5	3	$144	300	0	+300	Under	+$156	08-05 00:53
mlb nym cle 2026 08 04 total 8pt5	2	$143	200	0	+200	Under	-$143	08-05 00:09
mlb kc col 2026 08 02 total 9pt5	3	$136	240	0	+240	Under	+$104	08-02 21:25
mlb min sea 2026 08 01 total 7pt5	3	$127	160	0	+160	Under	-$127	08-01 22:13
mlb stl tor 2026 08 02 total 6pt5	5	$125	240	0	+240	Under	+$115	08-02 20:07
mlb min mil 2026 08 07 total 13pt5	2	$118	148	0	+148	Over	+$30	08-08 01:16
mlb det sf 2026 08 07 total 8pt5	2	$117	159	0	+159	Under	-$117	08-08 03:31
mlb hou sd 2026 08 07 total 9pt5	2	$117	198	0	+198	Under	-$17	08-08 04:21
mlb sf tex 2026 08 04 total 9pt5	6	$116	200	0	+200	Under	-$116	08-05 02:57
mlb phi nym 2026 09 19 total 9pt5	5	$110	171	0	+171	Over	+$61	09-19 22:07
Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5	3	$104	200	0	+200	Under	-$38	09-23 21:41
mlb wsh atl 2026 08 01 total 9pt5	2	$102	160	0	+160	Over	+$58	08-02 01:21
mlb min sea 2026 08 02 total 4pt5	3	$101	240	0	+240	Over	+$139	08-02 21:52
mlb phi bal 2026 08 01 total 6pt5	3	$101	240	0	+240	Under	-$101	08-02 01:53
mlb cws stl 2026 09 12 total 10pt5	1	$100	132	0	+132	Over	+$32	09-13 01:17
mlb cws bos 2026 08 06 total 15pt5	3	$98	147	0	+147	Over	+$49	08-07 02:24
mlb tb col 2026 08 04 total 12pt5	4	$95	200	0	+200	Over	-$95	08-05 03:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 23:45:35	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5	Under	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xa58f8d…
10-25 14:49:27	Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x02b5c7…
10-25 14:26:08	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xf305cf…
10-25 14:22:09	Will Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xcd6a99…
10-25 13:54:42	Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x66b5ac…
10-25 13:54:15	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x497891…
10-25 13:36:35	Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xbf7bdc…
10-25 13:35:24	Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x331f01…
10-25 13:34:23	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xfecbb2…
10-24 15:28:33	Coventry City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x4bc09b…
10-24 15:11:45	Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x5522c1…
10-24 14:08:35	Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x8873d8…
10-24 13:56:50	Will Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x370d2e…
10-24 13:24:45	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xa155c9…
10-24 13:16:17	Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	8	27¢	$2	0xfb6223…
10-24 12:21:00	Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xdbf357…
10-24 11:50:45	Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x6deab9…
10-24 08:01:05	Coventry City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x911a9f…
10-24 08:00:39	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x00fe6e…
10-24 07:58:27	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x45cfaf…
10-24 07:57:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	26	22¢	$6	0x7e8340…
10-24 07:57:02	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	SELL	31	45¢	$14	0x0d5748…
10-21 13:25:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x8aea83…
10-21 13:25:06	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	115	13¢	$15	0xf415a1…
10-21 13:25:00	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xf2f83e…
10-21 13:23:09	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x95fd8e…
10-20 13:25:48	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xf70390…
10-20 13:23:42	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x995d13…
10-20 13:11:33	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x0ed61f…
10-20 01:53:17	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5	Under	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0x4da68d…
10-20 00:50:41	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x36b0cf…
10-18 14:30:32	Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	16	51¢	$8	0x98efb1…
10-18 13:25:12	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x2f0d1f…
10-18 13:21:47	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xe709fa…
10-18 13:20:26	Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x3a168e…
10-17 15:38:03	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	21	86¢	$18	0x8cda68…
10-17 15:30:08	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	42	53¢	$22	0x5c3387…
10-17 15:18:29	Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x08bac7…
10-17 14:56:11	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x2f63aa…
10-17 14:48:26	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xdafd4f…
10-17 14:47:50	Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x71bb65…
10-17 14:45:02	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xf5a861…
10-17 14:39:47	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x57a5d6…
10-17 14:37:00	Will Manchester City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xd4a60c…
10-17 10:40:11	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x82f262…
10-17 10:39:09	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x899737…
10-16 02:57:46	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	13	91¢	$12	0x90770e…
10-16 02:57:28	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xc2863a…
10-16 01:47:13	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x97edb6…
10-16 01:28:09	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x83335a…
10-15 01:31:29	mlb mil lad 2026 10 14 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x7f3596…
10-15 01:23:31	mlb mil lad 2026 10 14 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	12	48¢	$6	0x259f2b…
10-15 01:22:53	mlb mil lad 2026 10 14 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	12	48¢	$6	0x49237d…
10-15 00:12:13	mlb mil lad 2026 10 14	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xe6d267…
10-14 23:45:36	mlb mil lad 2026 10 14 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xd95b22…
10-14 08:13:01	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x17272b…
10-14 02:46:20	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x323e03…
10-14 00:59:31	mlb cle tb 2026 10 13 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xe40726…
10-14 00:57:58	mlb cle tb 2026 10 13 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x4f6bbe…
10-12 12:23:05	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xc4b284…
10-11 14:36:25	Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	SELL	24	14¢	$3	0x99846b…
10-11 14:13:13	Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	SELL	24	51¢	$12	0x845bad…
10-11 14:05:54	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x40456b…
10-11 13:33:46	Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xa26dde…
10-11 13:08:33	Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x1603aa…
10-11 13:08:18	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xa2cd99…
10-11 06:45:42	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x42312d…
10-11 06:45:23	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x7045c7…
10-11 06:44:36	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xd1849d…
10-11 00:35:37	Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x40b2b5…
10-11 00:30:19	Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x32a6b6…
10-10 15:01:01	Will Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x285ddf…
10-10 07:48:30	Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x111d6e…
10-10 07:47:33	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xc36f99…
10-09 01:00:48	Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x88b7d1…
10-08 03:19:50	Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0x5c3318…
10-08 02:41:31	Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x6ec3b1…
10-08 01:55:44	Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xa3f021…
10-08 01:41:19	Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5	Under	SELL	8	55¢	$5	0x47596f…
10-08 01:24:35	Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xac004d…
10-08 01:17:16	Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf62dc4…
10-08 01:03:52	Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	1	60¢	$0	0xcb3a75…
10-08 00:58:16	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	6	91¢	$6	0xd13d8e…
10-08 00:54:23	Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1fbc83…
10-08 00:50:59	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x8a033a…
10-08 00:49:35	Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	8	60¢	$4	0x21a142…
10-08 00:49:22	Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x549ddd…
10-08 00:48:02	Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xaff3f8…
10-08 00:26:38	Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x0f91fb…
10-08 00:20:31	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x22331a…
10-07 21:34:15	Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5	Over	BUY	121	66¢	$80	0xad85a0…
10-07 02:06:11	Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xf22496…
10-07 01:36:53	Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x440190…
10-07 00:54:24	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x53c2dc…
10-06 02:52:31	New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays	New York Yankees	SELL	22	4¢	$1	0x50d6cd…
10-06 02:17:19	New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x35e205…
10-06 02:02:50	New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays	New York Yankees	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0x506c79…
10-06 01:58:31	New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5	Over	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0x5d7e7a…
10-06 01:44:50	New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xcc8ba1…
10-06 01:24:50	New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x902303…