Realized P&L
+$15.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.15K
Hit rate
93.2%
Resolved
88
Trades
1,275
lifetime
Volume
$608.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$477
Open exposure
$6.47K
3 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-29 03:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 56 days
Categories
Other
53%
82%
+$6,529
Politics
33%
88%
+$8,144
Sports
8%
46%
+$309
Crypto
4%
85%
+$879
Pop-Culture
1%
0%
-$15
Tech
0%
100%
+$39
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-29).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | Yes | +5,454 | $2,073 | 66¢ | $3.6K | +$1,554 | 07-15 14:41 | |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | +2,000 | $1,866 | 97¢ | $1.9K | +$77 | 07-10 03:25 | |
| Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | +43,032 | $1,382 | 2¢ | $904 | -$478 | 07-29 03:22 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15 | 1 | $49.9K | 50,000 | 0 | +50,000 | No | +$100 | 07-14 18:10 |
| trump out as president by march 31 | 70 | $48.0K | 48,563 | 0 | +48,563 | No | +$600 | 03-24 05:58 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | 145 | $47.6K | 50,015 | 0 | +50,015 | Yes | +$2,411 | 04-05 07:12 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | 47 | $45.2K | 46,971 | 0 | +46,971 | No | +$1,741 | 07-14 16:13 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 11 | $31.4K | 32,500 | 0 | +32,500 | No | +$1,125 | 02-24 16:29 |
| netanyahu out by march 31 854 | 62 | $28.7K | 29,899 | 0 | +29,899 | No | +$1,151 | 03-18 05:21 |
| Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? | 32 | $27.7K | 27,849 | 0 | +27,849 | No | +$159 | 05-14 04:32 |
| us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153 | 10 | $23.2K | 25,000 | 0 | +25,000 | No | +$1,750 | 07-14 04:33 |
| no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting | 4 | $21.2K | 17,500 | 5,000 | +12,500 | Yes | +$898 | 01-16 05:00 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | 25 | $19.5K | 0 | 27,060 | -27,060 | Yes | -$7,593 | 04-11 16:02 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | 7 | $19.3K | 20,000 | 0 | +20,000 | No | +$740 | 07-14 21:42 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | 6 | $16.6K | 6,964 | 10,000 | -3,036 | No | +$4 | 03-17 04:05 |
| Trump out as President by May 31? | 1 | $14.9K | 15,000 | 0 | +15,000 | No | +$75 | 05-14 04:17 |
| trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374 | 2 | $14.9K | 15,000 | 0 | +15,000 | No | +$105 | 07-14 15:54 |
| Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | 9 | $14.8K | 15,000 | 0 | +15,000 | No | +$245 | 05-16 06:34 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | 1 | $14.1K | 15,000 | 0 | +15,000 | No | +$900 | 05-13 22:26 |
| will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026 | 19 | $12.4K | 12,688 | 0 | +12,688 | No | +$336 | 07-14 04:32 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | 14 | $12.3K | 9,618 | 26,031 | -16,413 | No | +$8,681 | 05-30 15:01 |
| new stranger things episode released by january 31 294 | 4 | $12.3K | 12,500 | 0 | +12,500 | No | +$198 | 01-13 21:01 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | 48 | $9.5K | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | Yes | +$480 | 02-11 05:33 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 1 | $8.9K | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | No | +$1,100 | 05-28 04:28 |
| strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320 | 33 | $8.7K | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | No | +$1,300 | 07-15 15:55 |
| EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | 22 | $5.6K | 3,442 | 3,442 | +0 | No | +$713 | 03-18 15:50 |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | 11 | $5.2K | 5,378 | 0 | +5,378 | No | +$140 | 04-04 20:10 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 3 | $5.0K | 4,000 | 4,000 | +0 | No | +$220 | 03-13 04:27 |
| will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562 | 1 | $5.0K | 5,000 | 0 | +5,000 | No | +$20 | 07-14 15:54 |
| us strike on colombia by january 31 | 10 | $4.9K | 2,030 | 3,000 | -970 | No | +$83 | 01-28 03:06 |
| us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154 | 1 | $4.4K | 5,000 | 0 | +5,000 | No | +$600 | 07-10 03:14 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 45 | $4.2K | 4,985 | 0 | +4,985 | No | +$748 | 04-02 05:00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | 5 | $3.8K | 5,000 | 0 | +5,000 | No | +$1,200 | 05-28 14:13 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||