Positive-Monsoon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$205

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 07-03 03:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Tech

59% — —

Other

23% 100% +$1

Crypto

11% 80% $-2

Sports

4% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	2	$110	145	+145	open	—	03-07 13:06
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$11	12	+12	Yes	+$1	03-07 04:35
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	03-07 04:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$6	6	+6	Up	+$0	05-08 07:42
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	03-07 04:36
Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	4	$4	5	+5	open	—	07-01 02:10
Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	4	$4	5	+5	open	—	07-03 03:52
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	3	$3	3	+3	open	—	07-03 03:50
Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	3	$3	3	+3	open	—	07-03 03:51
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	3	$3	31	+31	Down	$-2	05-08 07:24
Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	3	$3	3	+3	open	—	07-03 03:51
Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	3	$3	3	+3	open	—	07-03 03:50
Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	2	$2	2	+2	open	—	07-03 03:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$2	3	+3	Down	$-2	05-07 07:18
will spain reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120763	2	$2	2	+2	open	—	06-29 02:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	2	$2	3	+3	Up	+$1	05-08 07:48
will france reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120767	2	$2	2	+2	open	—	06-29 02:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	2	$2	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-07 07:57
Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	2	$2	2	+2	open	—	07-01 02:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	2	$2	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-08 07:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$2	2	+2	Down	+$0	05-08 07:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	1	$1	1	+1	Up	+$0	05-08 07:29
will usa reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134479	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	06-29 03:00
lol jdg wb 2026 03 07	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	03-07 04:35
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	06-11 02:39
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	05-06 07:56
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	06-02 07:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	05-08 07:14
will germany reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120751	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	06-29 02:59
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	06-11 02:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 03:52:32	Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x66b3e1…
07-03 03:52:28	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x14a481…
07-03 03:51:16	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xbfbfe2…
07-03 03:51:10	Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x81cd5a…
07-03 03:51:02	Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0ad22b…
07-03 03:50:56	Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x58eb0c…
07-03 03:50:50	Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa9d60e…
07-02 02:13:44	Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa11eb8…
07-02 02:13:40	Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x4126c4…
07-02 02:13:34	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xe0e0d3…
07-02 02:13:28	Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf0c334…
07-01 02:10:04	Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xdc758a…
07-01 02:09:22	Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x8de042…
07-01 02:08:19	Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x6eec90…
07-01 02:07:44	Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xee01b6…
07-01 02:07:38	Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9d3259…
07-01 02:07:32	Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x78017a…
07-01 02:07:26	Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe1aa5c…
06-30 02:21:05	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x521a51…
06-30 02:20:59	Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xb1b974…
06-30 02:20:53	Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x671fa6…
06-30 02:20:47	Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xca8e54…
06-30 02:20:40	Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xefd7d1…
06-30 02:20:34	Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9f5740…
06-30 02:20:26	Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x75e81e…
06-29 03:00:44	will usa reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134479	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x4ede08…
06-29 02:59:44	will spain reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120763	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x8e3a4f…
06-29 02:59:37	will germany reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120751	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xf0aa99…
06-29 02:59:31	will england reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120779	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x0dddb7…
06-29 02:59:25	will france reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120767	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xcc587e…
06-29 02:59:17	will argentina reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120771	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9d4cb1…
06-18 05:53:46	Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xb54879…
06-17 05:26:25	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfea06b…
06-17 05:26:01	will spain reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120763	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x762445…
06-17 05:25:52	will france reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120767	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xa8143d…
06-11 02:42:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xdf984a…
06-11 02:41:48	russia x ukraine ceasefire by june 30 2026 631	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x41de72…
06-11 02:41:25	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x710292…
06-11 02:41:04	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xac18ed…
06-11 02:39:18	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x6108bf…
06-11 02:38:55	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x179643…
06-03 08:35:25	Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe2c15d…
06-02 07:33:18	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0fd00d…
05-08 07:48:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x068566…
05-08 07:46:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x241bc1…
05-08 07:42:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xda43c2…
05-08 07:42:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x728384…
05-08 07:29:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe5e03d…
05-08 07:24:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x2418e9…
05-08 07:24:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8daaac…
05-08 07:21:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xc22d2a…
05-08 07:18:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xaa19a5…
05-08 07:17:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x1d596e…
05-08 07:14:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x60b52f…
05-08 07:07:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xccc2a6…
05-08 07:07:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x171042…
05-07 07:57:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x1abe85…
05-07 07:57:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x2fffac…
05-07 07:49:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x83379c…
05-07 07:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x9f3278…
05-06 07:58:30	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x7ebda2…
05-06 07:57:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x79fe35…
05-06 07:56:52	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x428ad8…
03-07 13:06:51	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x1fc6d8…
03-07 05:01:07	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xe31775…
03-07 04:36:23	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x90fb14…
03-07 04:36:07	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7c9e80…
03-07 04:35:43	lol jdg wb 2026 03 07	Weibo Gaming	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8a4860…
03-07 04:35:29	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x5e9091…