Electric-Frame — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$154

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

3.5%

Resolved

Trades

150

lifetime

Volume

$2.73K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 07-02 10:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

55% 11% $-127

Politics

35% 0% $-27

Tech

5% — —

Sports

4% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	14	$344	220	220	+0	No	$-11	05-07 11:37
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$200	200	200	+0	open	—	04-29 11:41
Iran leadership change by April 30?	3	$192	200	200	+0	open	—	03-09 13:22
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	2	$177	300	300	+0	open	—	03-09 12:40
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	2	$170	95	95	+0	Up	$-1	05-06 12:52
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	6	$154	150	150	+0	Down	$-2	05-07 11:28
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	13	$100	94	94	+0	Yes	$-0	05-07 11:38
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	2	$89	50	50	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 13:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$78	200	200	+0	open	—	05-07 11:53
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	2	$78	100	100	+0	Down	$-4	05-07 06:47
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	6	$77	40	40	+0	open	—	05-07 10:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	10	$65	0	141	-141	Yes	$-16	04-25 15:28
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$64	200	200	+0	open	—	03-09 12:13
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	7	$58	60	60	+0	open	—	05-07 11:38
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 7?	2	$50	50	50	+0	Up	$-4	05-07 07:15
EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 7?	2	$50	50	50	+0	Down	$-2	05-07 06:59
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 7?	2	$49	50	50	+0	Down	$-1	05-07 07:10
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 7?	2	$49	50	50	+0	Up	$-3	05-07 07:04
Meta (META) Up or Down on May 7?	2	$48	50	50	+0	Up	$-0	05-07 07:10
will mrbeasts next video get between 49 and 52 million views on day 3	3	$48	100	100	+0	open	—	03-09 12:14
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?	2	$48	50	50	+0	open	—	05-04 10:09
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on May 7?	2	$46	50	50	+0	Down	$-4	05-07 07:14
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 7?	2	$44	50	50	+0	Up	$-6	05-07 07:15
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	6	$44	90	90	+0	open	—	05-07 12:06
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 7?	2	$43	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-07 11:34
will the fed cutpausepause in the next three decisions decjanmar	2	$40	0	80	-80	open	—	03-09 11:04
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	4	$39	40	40	+0	open	—	05-07 11:33
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	2	$36	50	50	+0	open	—	07-02 10:17
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?	2	$33	20	20	+0	open	—	05-04 09:04
Will the Labour Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	2	$29	20	20	+0	Yes	$-1	05-07 12:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 14:59:28	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0x410b59…
07-02 14:35:38	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0xc21b31…
07-02 13:55:05	will the announcers say bayern during the spain vs austria fifa world cup match 20260701163439794	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xc2a3ec…
07-02 10:19:11	will lionel messi score 8 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x73ae04…
07-02 10:18:53	Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	9	23¢	$2	0xae0da8…
07-02 10:18:41	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x2e32c9…
07-02 10:17:56	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0xd9c8b7…
07-02 10:16:44	Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x0c1ad2…
07-02 10:13:25	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x6c2659…
07-02 10:11:22	will cboe futures exchange self certify sports event contracts by december 31 2026 20260630144618251	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xe2917f…
07-02 09:45:59	Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x5a5f4d…
07-02 09:00:44	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0xf19e1f…
07-02 08:55:44	will lionel messi score 8 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xd6d01d…
07-02 08:38:53	Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x8d33af…
07-02 08:34:38	Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x326578…
07-02 08:30:22	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the portugal vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260701163644167	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xb4a449…
07-02 08:27:52	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the portugal vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260701163644167	Yes	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0xd75fe0…
07-02 08:27:50	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the portugal vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260701163644167	Yes	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0x1157e8…
07-02 07:55:53	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x5e1364…
07-02 07:51:37	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x076309…
05-07 12:45:06	Will the Labour Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0xaf2dc3…
05-07 12:39:30	Will the Labour Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xbe542d…
05-07 12:33:51	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x63bed0…
05-07 12:06:57	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xe6b27c…
05-07 12:00:50	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xa305f7…
05-07 11:53:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	18¢	$37	0x21c7ed…
05-07 11:53:15	Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x638534…
05-07 11:48:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	21¢	$41	0x00c887…
05-07 11:38:24	UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	No	SELL	14	72¢	$10	0xcca871…
05-07 11:38:13	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x55fa6a…
05-07 11:37:59	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0xbf7a49…
05-07 11:37:51	UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x3ecea3…
05-07 11:37:26	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x4fc99b…
05-07 11:35:34	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xe5150e…
05-07 11:34:05	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 7?	Yes	SELL	50	44¢	$22	0x73b5df…
05-07 11:33:53	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x8236e9…
05-07 11:32:48	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x720154…
05-07 11:31:50	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x9cb80c…
05-07 11:28:36	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0xbbf5e8…
05-07 11:28:27	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xa14ae5…
05-07 11:28:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	50	56¢	$28	0x102116…
05-07 11:22:04	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xf0a347…
05-07 11:21:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0xd0e2ae…
05-07 11:19:58	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xafea13…
05-07 11:11:11	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x6e9230…
05-07 11:07:20	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x553c78…
05-07 11:03:33	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x6d21c2…
05-07 11:01:53	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x15817a…
05-07 10:55:45	UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	No	SELL	15	73¢	$11	0x422abd…
05-07 10:50:29	UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	No	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0x2a5fbb…
05-07 10:49:33	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xf41c13…
05-07 10:47:23	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x03d7bd…
05-07 10:43:18	UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	No	SELL	5	73¢	$3	0x58ccbb…
05-07 10:42:43	UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$3	0x054e6f…
05-07 10:31:00	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0xce8ec9…
05-07 10:29:20	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xb5d1f7…
05-07 09:53:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x8e621f…
05-07 09:50:11	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xb310ca…
05-07 08:32:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	50	61¢	$30	0xf30359…
05-07 08:25:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0xc0e2a1…
05-07 08:20:09	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x9d0b5d…
05-07 08:19:41	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xbb1751…
05-07 08:11:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0xc8866d…
05-07 08:07:21	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xeffbf1…
05-07 08:05:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0xc3cb5b…
05-07 08:02:48	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x659873…
05-07 07:44:53	Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0xc00e79…
05-07 07:39:24	Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x8df2eb…
05-07 07:15:38	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	50	46¢	$23	0x0bb7d4…
05-07 07:15:19	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	50	38¢	$19	0xadfa47…
05-07 07:14:19	Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0x83aa41…
05-07 07:12:05	Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x369dea…
05-07 07:11:30	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x584089…
05-07 07:11:07	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0xa770ad…
05-07 07:10:35	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	50	48¢	$24	0x33b88e…
05-07 07:10:23	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	50	48¢	$24	0x4bbed1…
05-07 07:09:55	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xfe2b25…
05-07 07:09:04	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x189913…
05-07 07:04:23	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	50	46¢	$23	0x2c9304…
05-07 07:01:19	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xec559a…
05-07 06:59:22	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	50	48¢	$24	0xb10054…
05-07 06:56:46	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xe0fee6…
05-07 06:47:26	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	100	37¢	$37	0xdccf74…
05-07 06:46:35	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xc7dcff…
05-07 06:46:14	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x89ca3f…
05-07 06:45:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0xf459d3…
05-07 06:44:43	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x48d4f0…
05-07 06:44:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x09fae5…
05-07 06:44:01	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x56434d…
05-07 06:43:47	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x8115b2…
05-07 06:37:40	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0x92e8e8…
05-07 06:35:37	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x75785f…
05-07 06:32:25	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x2b9daf…
05-07 06:18:53	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc54aa6…
05-07 06:17:34	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	BUY	18	52¢	$9	0xd81a2d…
05-06 13:09:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0xcdf47d…
05-06 13:09:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xf01bcb…
05-06 13:06:46	UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0xe42f74…
05-06 13:05:52	UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x055059…
05-06 12:53:00	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x5df433…