Determined-Signature — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$218

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

28.6%

Resolved

Trades

136

lifetime

Volume

$1.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-02

last 08-25 11:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Sports

58% 0% -$6

Other

40% 99% -$237

Crypto

1% 100% +$26

Politics

1% — —

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		-505	-$11	1¢	$-3	+$8	04-30 15:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Thunder vs. Spurs	2	$556	1,100	0	+1,100	Spurs	-$6	05-28 02:42
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	5	$550	296	296	+0	No	$0	04-14 03:22
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	35	$238	850	0	+850	Yes	-$238	06-16 23:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 10:00 UTC	2	$24	50	0	+50	Down	+$26	03-02 09:56
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	7	$11	0	505	-505	open	—	04-30 15:35
Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on July 18?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-17 08:15
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 14?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-13 06:02
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on May 21?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-20 10:05
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C or higher on May 14?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-13 06:05
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on May 26?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-25 09:38
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 14?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-13 06:07
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 26?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	08-25 11:22
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C or below on May 22?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-21 08:36
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 2?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-02 07:06
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C or below on May 23?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-22 09:58
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C or higher on May 21?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-20 10:00
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 14?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-14 07:08
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 59°F or below on May 14?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-13 06:01
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C or higher on August 27?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	08-25 11:21
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C or below on May 14?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-13 06:11
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 55°F or below on May 21?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-20 10:04
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C or below on May 23?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-22 09:51
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on July 25?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-24 10:19
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on May 25?	1	$9	9	0	+9	Yes	+$0	05-25 09:41
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on May 23?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-22 09:56
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on June 9?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-08 03:58
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 25?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-24 10:20
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or below on July 3?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-02 07:04
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-19 08:47
Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?	1	$8	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-19 09:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-25 11:22:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8e0dc9…
08-25 11:21:28	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf1326f…
08-25 11:20:04	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C or below on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0b0076…
07-24 10:20:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9affba…
07-24 10:19:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on July 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3dad2b…
07-24 10:17:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 40°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x52f577…
07-17 08:15:18	Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on July 18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5b8011…
07-17 08:14:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xead875…
07-17 08:12:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 17?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xded834…
07-14 07:09:38	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C or below on July 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3578b2…
07-14 07:08:16	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xaf6be8…
07-14 07:06:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x463e9c…
07-02 07:06:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 2?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbb248a…
07-02 07:04:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or below on July 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3714d5…
07-02 07:03:56	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 2?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8ed898…
06-16 23:59:07	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x004e52…
06-16 23:58:50	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	28	28¢	$8	0x097831…
06-16 23:58:22	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x86c1a4…
06-16 23:58:14	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0x7b5e41…
06-16 23:57:49	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x5abe14…
06-16 23:57:49	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0x09fdf5…
06-16 23:57:20	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0xe9f512…
06-16 23:56:59	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	28	28¢	$8	0x6044a6…
06-16 23:56:29	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xc361f5…
06-16 23:55:34	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x5eac1c…
06-16 23:55:07	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x9cc50a…
06-16 23:55:01	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xe3c99f…
06-16 23:54:41	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x7ef7bb…
06-16 23:53:47	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x9eb8dd…
06-16 23:53:19	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0xfcd5b7…
06-16 23:53:17	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	13	28¢	$4	0xac868a…
06-16 23:52:58	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	34	28¢	$9	0x57071d…
06-16 23:52:37	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x81345d…
06-16 23:52:19	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x86c916…
06-16 23:51:55	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x2a7f9b…
06-16 23:51:38	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0x32400a…
06-16 23:51:29	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x5dcfa4…
06-16 23:51:20	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x33ed9a…
06-16 23:51:14	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x838a31…
06-16 23:50:50	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	28	28¢	$8	0x49a906…
06-16 23:50:43	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	32	28¢	$9	0xbcbccf…
06-16 23:50:43	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x4f9150…
06-16 23:50:17	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0xf7377f…
06-16 23:49:25	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0xcd00b5…
06-16 23:49:22	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x623f0c…
06-16 23:49:19	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	31	28¢	$9	0x70d8e0…
06-16 23:48:56	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x2d2a9a…
06-16 23:48:32	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	28	28¢	$8	0x7f3b2a…
06-16 23:47:52	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x15085d…
06-16 23:47:46	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	422	28¢	$118	0xd3cd69…
06-08 06:09:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x88e314…
06-08 06:07:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 9?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc2ca80…
06-08 04:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on June 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x96badb…
06-08 03:59:13	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 81°F or below on June 9?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa6a9a0…
06-08 03:58:19	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on June 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x69b101…
05-28 02:42:26	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	550	60¢	$330	0x9ea477…
05-28 01:08:19	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	550	41¢	$226	0x3b72da…
05-25 09:41:59	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xab0ba7…
05-25 09:40:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x93857c…
05-25 09:39:46	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf9c5af…
05-25 09:38:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on May 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x442354…
05-25 09:37:37	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on May 25?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8f5a26…
05-25 09:36:29	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on May 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa988aa…
05-22 09:58:30	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xae51e9…
05-22 09:56:59	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on May 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf8256d…
05-22 09:55:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x935e0c…
05-22 09:53:57	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcc9858…
05-22 09:52:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8c2ddb…
05-22 09:51:23	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x24bddf…
05-21 08:38:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on May 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x931bb0…
05-21 08:37:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6aa61d…
05-21 08:36:04	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C or below on May 22?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbb0540…
05-21 08:34:50	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 61°F or below on May 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xc1a30f…
05-21 08:33:51	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on May 22?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x70e201…
05-21 08:33:00	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 77°F or below on May 22?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0f2f8c…
05-20 10:05:51	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on May 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2f97e6…
05-20 10:04:43	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 55°F or below on May 21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdf8781…
05-20 10:00:40	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C or higher on May 21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5218d2…
05-19 09:38:58	Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa9db8f…
05-19 09:37:22	Will "Funny AF with Kevin Hart" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4df05a…
05-19 09:34:11	Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x9352e5…
05-19 09:33:08	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xed331b…
05-19 08:47:16	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x982a82…
05-14 08:54:47	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on May 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8079fa…
05-14 08:53:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on May 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2ba4f5…
05-14 08:52:26	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd102e8…
05-13 06:11:25	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C or below on May 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1000eb…
05-13 06:09:31	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on May 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x73a39f…
05-13 06:07:51	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc47ba3…
05-13 06:06:41	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x629b80…
05-13 06:05:38	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C or higher on May 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x56eeca…
05-13 06:04:37	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 52-53°F on May 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x149caf…
05-13 06:03:36	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C on May 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9fd660…
05-13 06:02:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd1f7bf…
05-13 06:01:17	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 59°F or below on May 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb5a5f5…
05-11 08:07:22	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 69°F or below on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8b476c…
05-11 07:59:14	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc29911…
05-11 07:58:11	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 7°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf14826…
05-11 07:57:12	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5fca18…
05-11 07:56:05	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfd44b4…