Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 14?
No won
Total volume
$475
$13,931 in 24h
Trades
22
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 01:10
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $7 | $7 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | — | $284 | $284 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 15 | $5 | $178 | $173 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $7 | $7 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 6 | — | $148 | $148 |
| Below median | 3 | — | $78 | $78 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $5 | $220 | $215 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | — | $16 | $16 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Witty-Disregard 0x0a0c…a853 | Yes | +5,000 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-14 01:10 |
| Sophisticated-Scrutiny 0x0e06…42f0 | No | +221 | $220 | $220 | 1 | 05-13 00:12 |
| Dimpled-Hut 0xd751…b233 | No | +54 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 05-13 00:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe0c…ebae | No | +54 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 05-13 12:58 |
| Grubby-Stallion 0xf0ed…6ae8 | No | +51 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 05-13 22:43 |
| Obvious-Artery 0xf329…7342 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-13 22:01 |
| Strong-Monument 0x97c5…48c4 | No | +21 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-13 23:14 |
| Substantial-Mycoplasma 0x6ea4…9cf1 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-13 04:59 |
| Huge-Cria 0x2fea…e651 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-13 05:21 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-13 00:06 |
| Sneaky-Dynamite 0x08af…d208 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 05:41 |
| Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 05:06 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 22:39 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 22:39 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 01:10:10 | Witty-Disregard 0x0a0c…a853 | Yes | BUY | 2,500 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x04da88… |
| 05-14 00:41:09 | Witty-Disregard 0x0a0c…a853 | Yes | BUY | 2,500 | 0¢ | $2 | 0xcae05f… |
| 05-14 00:22:16 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0478f7… |
| 05-13 23:14:56 | Strong-Monument 0x97c5…48c4 | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0xe102e7… |
| 05-13 22:43:34 | Grubby-Stallion 0xf0ed…6ae8 | No | BUY | 51 | 100¢ | $51 | 0x8afd19… |
| 05-13 22:39:45 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xec5618… |
| 05-13 22:39:40 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x066efe… |
| 05-13 22:19:15 | Lonely-Promotion 0xd676…a859 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xec4a90… |
| 05-13 22:01:45 | Obvious-Artery 0xf329…7342 | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0xab9c81… |
| 05-13 21:08:59 | Euphoric-Snake 0xc9f9…487c | Yes | SELL | 78 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0ac3ab… |
| 05-13 21:08:40 | Spotted-Boatyard 0x16c9…91d2 | Yes | SELL | 169 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x441927… |
| 05-13 12:58:26 | (anonymous) 0xbe0c…ebae | No | BUY | 54 | 100¢ | $54 | 0x9abc4a… |
| 05-13 05:41:26 | Sneaky-Dynamite 0x08af…d208 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xea2e77… |
| 05-13 05:21:30 | Huge-Cria 0x2fea…e651 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x3824f6… |
| 05-13 05:06:13 | Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x8ab965… |
| 05-13 04:59:33 | Substantial-Mycoplasma 0x6ea4…9cf1 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xfe2d2f… |
| 05-13 00:37:22 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5cb364… |
| 05-13 00:31:32 | Dimpled-Hut 0xd751…b233 | No | BUY | 54 | 100¢ | $54 | 0xf94020… |
| 05-13 00:12:24 | Sophisticated-Scrutiny 0x0e06…42f0 | No | BUY | 221 | 100¢ | $220 | 0x8d1fea… |
| 05-13 00:06:34 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x1b1749… |
| 05-13 00:05:38 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x19e5a1… |
| 05-13 00:05:38 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0cd5ed… |