Aching-Cello — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.34K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.2%

Resolved

737

Trades

3,464

lifetime

Volume

$50.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 07-20 16:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 160 days

Categories

Other

63% 64% +$1,924

Politics

26% 58% -$485

Crypto

10% 66% +$41

Tech

1% 50% -$34

Pop-Culture

0% 50% -$83

Sports

0% 44% -$20

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-20).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	16	$2.9K	2,345	2,345	+0	Yes	+$554	05-23 01:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	16	$1.8K	1,005	1,005	+0	No	+$32	05-29 09:28
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	23	$1.7K	1,087	1,123	-36	No	+$88	06-01 06:54
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	48	$1.2K	862	862	+0	No	+$52	03-25 18:36
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	19	$1.1K	1,745	1,145	+600	Yes	-$63	06-01 11:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	18	$1.1K	810	792	+19	No	+$94	04-18 14:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	3	$928	501	501	+0	No	+$26	06-24 20:23
will crude oil cl hit low 90 by march 20	20	$924	504	504	+0	No	+$63	03-20 18:18
sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	23	$822	443	443	+0	No	+$47	03-19 20:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	12	$753	550	541	+9	Yes	+$126	04-12 13:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	11	$725	570	570	+0	No	+$71	05-27 09:09
will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	5	$712	504	504	+0	No	+$225	07-20 16:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	4	$695	480	480	+0	Yes	+$34	05-20 17:14
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	43	$606	380	380	+0	Yes	-$41	03-30 07:02
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in April?	10	$606	362	358	+4	No	+$78	04-24 12:39
iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	7	$587	365	365	+0	No	+$79	06-30 05:22
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	9	$580	601	601	+0	No	+$315	05-12 14:14
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	22	$567	540	540	+0	Yes	+$16	06-17 02:45
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	37	$544	435	435	+0	No	+$146	04-23 05:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	5	$527	300	299	+1	Yes	-$10	04-09 21:50
Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	6	$525	887	0	+887	No	-$525	06-03 19:24
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	16	$503	275	275	+0	No	+$34	03-27 20:15
will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	27	$475	392	392	+0	Yes	-$47	03-23 20:33
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in May?	6	$444	252	252	+0	No	+$40	05-12 14:02
Kash Patel out by April 30?	19	$410	254	254	+0	No	+$53	04-29 18:57
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	9	$410	249	249	+0	No	+$4	04-07 21:08
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	11	$402	278	275	+2	No	+$88	05-02 07:53
will mrbeast hit 475 million subscribers by march 31 387 656 755 785	39	$381	234	266	-32	No	-$22	03-13 23:11
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	18	$343	385	297	+88	Yes	-$35	04-09 15:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	8	$334	181	181	+0	No	+$19	04-26 05:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 16:04:12	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	SELL	504	93¢	$469	0x852e77…
07-15 14:11:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xdb291d…
07-13 04:31:49	Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfd8861…
07-08 08:32:35	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x83e472…
07-02 21:05:55	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x031ce9…
07-02 16:10:37	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	BUY	8	57¢	$4	0x389028…
07-02 15:19:13	over 45m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x744445…
07-02 15:06:16	Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xbd4b3a…
07-02 01:38:07	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 first half total 1pt5	Under	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa7c874…
07-02 00:48:58	will spencer pratt concede by july 2 20260608151037171	No	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0xacad56…
07-02 00:47:02	will spencer pratt concede by july 2 20260608151037171	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x39bbd5…
07-02 00:46:50	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 first half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xdc8f04…
07-01 23:51:40	will spencer pratt concede by july 2 20260608151037171	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xdb5033…
07-01 23:02:17	will spencer pratt concede by july 2 20260608151037171	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x17fd94…
07-01 22:51:49	will spencer pratt concede by july 2 20260608151037171	No	SELL	44	98¢	$43	0x130539…
07-01 22:50:25	will spencer pratt concede by july 2 20260608151037171	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x1310f8…
07-01 20:25:43	Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xedb026…
07-01 20:19:01	Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0xb77354…
07-01 20:08:16	Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x803701…
07-01 20:01:05	Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x77975d…
07-01 20:00:47	Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0xec371d…
07-01 20:00:47	Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	54	6¢	$3	0xc0a86c…
07-01 19:43:58	Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xf5f124…
07-01 18:06:46	Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	100	25¢	$25	0xc9f534…
07-01 18:05:28	Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	100	24¢	$24	0x00508a…
07-01 18:00:07	Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0xc836b0…
07-01 17:53:50	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x2cf478…
07-01 17:48:17	Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0xeea3e6…
07-01 17:14:16	Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xe31915…
07-01 17:14:01	Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x74e56d…
07-01 03:21:43	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x16742e…
07-01 03:18:20	will ewy reach 203 by june 29 2026	No	SELL	34	50¢	$17	0xff351f…
07-01 02:55:28	will ewy reach 203 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x95aa3b…
07-01 01:47:16	Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x33e133…
06-30 20:29:38	will samuel alito announce his retirement by june 30 2027 20260630164636932 777 232	No	SELL	200	36¢	$72	0xb4bb3d…
06-30 20:27:01	will samuel alito announce his retirement by june 30 2027 20260630164636932 777 232	No	BUY	200	42¢	$84	0x221c00…
06-30 20:20:37	will spencer pratt concede by july 2 20260608151037171	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x5aa062…
06-30 19:22:01	will spencer pratt concede by july 2 20260608151037171	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0xe29732…
06-30 19:21:53	will spencer pratt concede by july 2 20260608151037171	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x407264…
06-30 18:34:07	Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf62604…
06-30 06:08:01	ethereum up or down on june 30 2026	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xe38be0…
06-30 05:22:56	iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	No	SELL	94	93¢	$87	0xc9fe61…
06-30 05:15:07	iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x174d95…
06-30 01:55:43	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	299	49¢	$147	0x78cda8…
06-30 00:40:14	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x825eb2…
06-29 18:17:47	will bitcoin reach 61k on june 29	No	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0xdd289d…
06-29 18:12:08	will bitcoin reach 61k on june 29	No	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xce2f6f…
06-29 16:27:01	iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	No	SELL	70	93¢	$65	0xe89edc…
06-29 06:12:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	18	67¢	$12	0xc535bf…
06-29 06:10:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x6b1e58…
06-29 05:58:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0xaf1207…
06-29 05:33:13	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	98	46¢	$45	0xe93825…
06-29 05:05:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x55dda3…
06-29 04:51:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	95	67¢	$64	0x3f6be8…
06-29 04:45:44	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xbfa905…
06-28 23:14:56	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x273fa3…
06-28 21:01:25	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xa93de3…
06-28 20:39:35	iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xaf6cc2…
06-28 20:35:31	iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	No	SELL	175	90¢	$158	0x2094d7…
06-28 07:43:32	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x82af5a…
06-28 02:52:23	iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	No	BUY	330	70¢	$231	0xf64888…
06-28 02:49:44	iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	No	BUY	35	66¢	$23	0xd2221d…
06-28 02:41:22	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x17cd88…
06-27 23:21:53	Argentina leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1b1ca2…
06-27 23:12:43	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd07ffd…
06-27 16:21:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	75	66¢	$50	0x9b1c14…
06-27 16:19:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	70	66¢	$46	0x0bd244…
06-27 14:52:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xeb216c…
06-26 23:48:40	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30 20260612142709367	No	SELL	2	93¢	$1	0xaffcef…
06-26 02:30:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x622ac6…
06-26 02:26:52	Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?	No	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0x2f8e72…
06-26 01:59:38	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30 20260612142709367	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x792f7c…
06-26 01:43:58	Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xfdfbc9…
06-25 20:48:16	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	16	87¢	$14	0xf75d71…
06-25 18:41:08	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x0df77e…
06-24 20:23:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	501	95¢	$477	0xa2a900…
06-24 16:43:04	dota2 yes vp 2026 06 24	Virtus.pro	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0x4c5f4a…
06-24 16:38:16	dota2 yes vp 2026 06 24	Virtus.pro	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x1a343e…
06-24 00:17:01	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 btts	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd65658…
06-23 23:06:05	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	BUY	16	67¢	$11	0x71e7d5…
06-23 18:37:41	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xbe45cd…
06-23 05:18:50	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	SELL	230	51¢	$117	0xb85101…
06-22 21:32:56	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	230	46¢	$106	0xdca2c1…
06-21 10:33:13	will israel be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522915	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0xbb7408…
06-21 02:11:38	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	49	52¢	$25	0x23f735…
06-20 23:20:40	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	33	42¢	$14	0xe68c16…
06-20 22:38:52	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	58¢	$9	0x302f85…
06-20 21:56:47	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xb0165f…
06-20 20:39:22	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	90¢	$2	0x12ff99…
06-20 19:42:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x989573…
06-20 19:39:41	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	395	4¢	$15	0x7de968…
06-20 16:16:55	dota2 z10 sb5 2026 06 20	summer bear	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x2ae0f3…
06-20 14:55:02	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	39	82¢	$32	0xd40284…
06-20 14:54:53	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0xd64a34…
06-20 14:48:56	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	73	29¢	$21	0xe1a937…
06-20 14:31:25	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0xabae8d…
06-20 14:03:04	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd0b870…
06-20 11:49:23	will trump praise allah again by june 30 20260610152457610	Yes	SELL	34	21¢	$7	0x44a199…
06-20 10:11:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	500	90¢	$450	0xc7a0f5…
06-20 08:13:14	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xfcdc5c…