Complex-Businessman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.9%

Resolved

Trades

168

lifetime

Volume

$375

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 06-12 13:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 64% +$1

Politics

25% 70% +$4

Other

13% 100% +$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-12).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$26	16	16	+0	No	+$6	05-15 10:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	4	$22	14	14	+0	Down	+$2	05-19 11:39
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	2	$20	11	11	+0	No	+$0	06-04 02:19
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$16	8	8	+0	No	+$0	05-01 03:34
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	5	$13	61	61	+0	Yes	+$0	05-17 08:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-18 06:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-18 02:38
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	3	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-14 02:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	3	$10	15	8	+6	Up	+$2	05-17 14:13
Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$1	05-17 14:58
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	2	$8	6	6	+0	No	+$0	05-18 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$7	8	0	+8	Down	+$1	05-17 15:29
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$7	16	5	+11	No	-$3	05-15 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	4	$7	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-19 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	3	$6	5	3	+2	Up	+$0	05-17 15:07
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$6	5	5	+0	No	+$4	05-15 09:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$6	8	8	+0	Down	-$4	05-17 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	4	$6	15	2	+12	Down	-$2	05-17 14:06
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	6	$5	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	05-11 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-18 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	+$4	05-19 11:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-17 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	+$2	05-17 15:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-18 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-17 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	4	$5	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-19 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	4	$5	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-19 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	4	$5	9	9	+0	Down	+$1	05-19 05:13
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$5	3	3	+0	No	+$1	05-15 09:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-19 03:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 13:49:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xde85ed…
06-12 13:49:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x1e5df5…
06-04 02:19:39	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x48fa24…
05-19 11:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x3c1029…
05-19 11:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0d5b35…
05-19 11:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc8edfd…
05-19 11:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	9	72¢	$7	0xbdae45…
05-19 11:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xd06425…
05-19 11:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x8600ec…
05-19 11:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xab9e68…
05-19 08:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$2	0xec22e6…
05-19 08:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xfd6b68…
05-19 08:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xf651ae…
05-19 08:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xebd948…
05-19 08:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x8c9881…
05-19 08:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x90b6dc…
05-19 08:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x509e64…
05-19 08:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x10fe68…
05-19 08:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc9dfa4…
05-19 08:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe4c86d…
05-19 08:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xc79efb…
05-19 08:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8cb3f5…
05-19 08:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0x0635f4…
05-19 08:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x035b30…
05-19 08:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x46cd03…
05-19 08:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$2	0x7d2b9d…
05-19 08:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x4f808b…
05-19 07:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$2	0x7732fd…
05-19 07:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9db3bc…
05-19 06:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xdaba42…
05-19 06:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xdb2054…
05-19 06:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb5d1e5…
05-19 06:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xf569f1…
05-19 06:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0120b6…
05-19 06:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x02e22f…
05-19 06:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd08892…
05-19 06:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0x863750…
05-19 06:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x9216fc…
05-19 06:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xfc1449…
05-19 06:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf55aea…
05-19 06:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0x35c7f8…
05-19 06:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x180052…
05-19 05:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0x967c6e…
05-19 05:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe82193…
05-19 05:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	37¢	$2	0xc4b89d…
05-19 05:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x15c168…
05-19 05:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0x6a17a1…
05-19 05:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xac1e7e…
05-19 05:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0xeeb8b9…
05-19 05:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x71a545…
05-19 04:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x2c392a…
05-19 04:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x235668…
05-19 04:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0x0144dc…
05-19 04:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7e1184…
05-19 04:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	47¢	$2	0x6f06ed…
05-19 04:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x522d8e…
05-19 04:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x1787fc…
05-19 04:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x386387…
05-19 03:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb69b13…
05-19 03:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xaaafee…
05-19 03:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x9d3972…
05-19 03:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc99a89…
05-19 03:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	86¢	$3	0xaef229…
05-19 03:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x24fa33…
05-19 03:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xfa6cc6…
05-19 03:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$2	0x662638…
05-19 03:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x94e7e3…
05-19 03:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x418069…
05-19 03:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x97354d…
05-19 03:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x7512ce…
05-19 03:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x6772b0…
05-19 03:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0xe94bd6…
05-19 03:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x806f23…
05-19 03:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0xa8140b…
05-19 03:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	27¢	$0	0x986f0c…
05-19 03:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc3572c…
05-19 02:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x36ce44…
05-19 02:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf30865…
05-19 02:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x34dd00…
05-18 06:54:57	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	No	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0x16bb18…
05-18 06:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xda471f…
05-18 06:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xc16eb9…
05-18 06:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xd6f38e…
05-18 06:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x44902c…
05-18 06:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x13babb…
05-18 06:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x01e756…
05-18 06:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x08c4eb…
05-18 02:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0xfa82c3…
05-18 02:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xcb54cb…
05-18 02:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x00609b…
05-18 02:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xad570b…
05-18 02:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x70fb81…
05-18 02:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x5c5bd8…
05-17 15:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xa73ca7…
05-17 15:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x2d720d…
05-17 15:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x835d1a…
05-17 15:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x32dc67…
05-17 15:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x404b99…
05-17 15:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xe016ff…
05-17 15:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0x80b80b…