Wooden-Million — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$672

Unrealized P&L

-$41

Hit rate

85.3%

Resolved

Trades

579

lifetime

Volume

$66.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$115

Open exposure

$731

1 position

First seen

2026-03-01

last 10-28 20:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Politics

78% 80% +$1,586

Other

21% 43% -$850

Crypto

1% 35% -$64

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?	Yes		+2,059	$772	36¢	$731	-$41	10-28 20:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	118	$32.3K	33,382	33,382	+0	Yes	+$918	06-14 22:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	107	$13.5K	16,449	16,449	+0	Yes	+$173	06-14 22:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	17	$3.5K	3,573	3,573	+0	No	-$298	07-06 23:46
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	19	$2.9K	3,580	3,580	+0	Yes	+$168	06-12 15:15
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?	7	$1.6K	886	886	+0	Yes	+$165	06-20 13:57
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?	3	$1.5K	942	942	+0	Yes	+$401	06-22 16:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?	18	$1.4K	1,442	1,442	+0	open	—	10-21 07:40
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?	16	$1.2K	1,476	1,476	+0	No	-$603	06-23 16:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?	11	$913	2,240	181	+2,059	open	—	10-28 20:15
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	10	$789	1,086	1,086	+0	No	-$123	10-16 03:44
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?	5	$763	465	465	+0	No	+$166	06-22 16:06
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	15	$715	630	630	+0	No	-$58	07-21 22:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	5	$667	1,199	1,199	+0	No	-$30	06-25 06:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$544	450	450	+0	Yes	+$356	05-09 05:18
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	8	$333	313	313	+0	No	+$46	05-22 08:40
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	7	$316	684	0	+684	No	-$316	07-21 22:02
another gta vi trailer released by june 30	5	$293	201	201	+0	No	+$52	06-28 14:48
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	17	$290	289	289	+0	Yes	-$17	10-17 07:46
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	7	$285	263	263	+0	No	-$23	05-24 11:07
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	5	$260	293	293	+0	No	-$79	06-29 02:35
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	3	$230	230	230	+0	Yes	-$70	05-22 05:20
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	4	$211	147	147	+0	Yes	-$1	10-28 08:20
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	2	$208	123	123	+0	Yes	+$36	06-29 15:53
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?	6	$190	237	237	+0	Yes	-$48	06-29 19:11
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	5	$161	86	86	+0	No	+$11	10-21 15:39
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?	9	$135	315	315	+0	No	+$1	06-29 19:28
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	1	$130	148	0	+148	No	+$18	10-16 19:16
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	2	$116	100	100	+0	No	+$16	10-13 05:47
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?	3	$113	400	400	+0	No	-$10	06-24 14:00
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	7	$103	100	100	+0	Yes	+$1	10-11 12:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 20:15:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	195	35¢	$68	0x170b9c…
10-28 20:06:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	35¢	$2	0x012156…
10-28 08:20:46	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	77	90¢	$69	0xbcdd09…
10-28 07:49:47	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	92¢	$71	0x8dd517…
10-28 07:40:47	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0xaf19f7…
10-28 06:19:34	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	47¢	$7	0x9eced4…
10-28 06:18:59	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0x1a96c6…
10-28 06:14:43	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	39¢	$9	0x806973…
10-28 03:21:09	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	51¢	$36	0x4ee791…
10-27 16:27:05	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	50¢	$35	0xf0b743…
10-23 18:46:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	55	39¢	$22	0x7a2c60…
10-23 16:01:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	103	39¢	$40	0xfbe4b4…
10-23 13:55:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	21	39¢	$8	0xb5637b…
10-23 13:54:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0xea8870…
10-23 00:17:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x755491…
10-23 00:08:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	241	37¢	$89	0xaed82d…
10-21 15:39:03	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x513003…
10-21 15:39:02	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x84a5c3…
10-21 15:03:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	808	38¢	$307	0xbd1ac7…
10-21 15:00:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	28	38¢	$11	0xc26bce…
10-21 15:00:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	956	38¢	$363	0xaa4705…
10-21 07:40:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,358	50¢	$679	0x3f4eb4…
10-20 18:23:17	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x4c1bcb…
10-20 18:11:38	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x001561…
10-20 18:06:24	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	55	88¢	$48	0x7a3427…
10-20 02:47:18	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	56¢	$49	0x3d4b99…
10-20 02:41:57	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x5c4a8b…
10-20 02:32:41	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x6107d0…
10-20 02:24:59	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x11b280…
10-20 02:21:42	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x4b8b85…
10-19 21:33:39	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	36¢	$12	0x17f4f6…
10-19 21:33:37	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	86	36¢	$31	0xe27a43…
10-19 15:46:17	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	43¢	$12	0xc7fe14…
10-19 15:46:17	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x2d7298…
10-19 15:41:02	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xbb8eec…
10-19 15:37:51	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	43¢	$22	0xc607fe…
10-17 07:46:54	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	42¢	$4	0x1a4b51…
10-17 07:31:33	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0xae6f32…
10-16 19:16:20	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	148	88¢	$130	0x72cbb4…
10-16 19:12:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x8614cd…
10-16 19:12:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	356	48¢	$171	0xa8bcdc…
10-16 18:55:53	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xeed4a8…
10-16 18:55:43	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	34¢	$3	0x70b3e8…
10-16 18:55:07	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	35¢	$6	0x0944a6…
10-16 18:54:56	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	35¢	$6	0x3c1495…
10-16 18:54:05	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	35¢	$11	0xe44f3e…
10-16 18:53:17	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0x6d2bcc…
10-16 18:48:37	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x0e861e…
10-16 18:42:55	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	45¢	$50	0x7955e9…
10-16 18:42:53	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0xd5f8f9…
10-16 18:42:07	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xde3f86…
10-16 18:41:37	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x4143b3…
10-16 18:41:07	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	45¢	$9	0x39d77d…
10-16 18:27:34	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	43¢	$39	0x74a2a8…
10-16 18:27:28	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xf3f8f0…
10-16 17:54:47	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	54¢	$47	0xb0f23c…
10-16 17:54:21	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	54¢	$18	0xaf3492…
10-16 17:54:15	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xd428a3…
10-16 17:43:21	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x6421c4…
10-16 17:32:39	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	112	48¢	$54	0x159679…
10-16 14:58:55	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x830361…
10-16 14:54:22	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	46¢	$6	0x60cce7…
10-16 08:36:37	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	SELL	22	60¢	$13	0x03351a…
10-16 08:34:07	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x186709…
10-16 03:45:03	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0xa1695d…
10-16 03:44:42	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	11¢	$2	0x6e3d44…
10-16 03:44:33	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0x22d009…
10-16 03:44:30	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	98	14¢	$14	0x46a40a…
10-16 03:44:27	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xa44df5…
10-16 03:43:57	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0xec2252…
10-16 03:37:16	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	14¢	$10	0x248a7f…
10-16 01:59:42	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	92	24¢	$22	0x52c6fc…
10-16 01:58:55	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	24¢	$4	0x1953b6…
10-16 01:57:12	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0xe01e1b…
10-16 01:36:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x3f94a6…
10-16 01:27:16	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xa91528…
10-16 01:27:16	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2aef2f…
10-16 01:03:58	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x7ce169…
10-16 01:01:13	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	321	24¢	$77	0x9db0fe…
10-15 22:50:28	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	520	40¢	$208	0xc6dde7…
10-15 20:32:42	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	12	71¢	$8	0x60068f…
10-15 20:05:20	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x8d6298…
10-15 13:08:10	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,086	42¢	$456	0xfb4e61…
10-13 12:26:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x006078…
10-13 12:26:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	24	49¢	$12	0xf03114…
10-13 05:47:24	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	66¢	$66	0x0445c8…
10-13 01:53:33	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x890b2e…
10-12 13:04:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0xbcf54a…
10-12 10:41:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0xd781ff…
10-11 12:42:45	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	52¢	$17	0xd8cece…
10-11 12:41:49	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0xe7e28d…
10-11 12:41:34	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	52¢	$9	0x9cb938…
10-11 09:30:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x74ff5b…
10-11 09:30:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	173	46¢	$80	0xa3b801…
10-11 05:05:45	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x56d4cc…
10-11 05:03:59	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x695f9f…
10-11 04:37:26	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	51¢	$24	0xd0bde3…
10-11 04:21:53	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x25545c…
10-10 09:12:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	53	46¢	$24	0x67dbdf…
10-09 21:39:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xd87f13…