Difficult-Guinea — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$253

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 07-08 20:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

46% 60% +$20

Other

31% — —

Crypto

20% — —

Sports

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	2	$45	49	49	+0	Yes	+$17	05-08 07:24
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	7	$36	927	0	+927	open	—	05-10 11:19
will trump praise allah again by april 15	2	$15	14	14	+0	open	—	04-11 14:30
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?	2	$14	11	11	+0	Yes	+$8	05-11 17:14
Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in April?	2	$13	12	12	+0	open	—	04-18 14:56
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	1	$9	0	150	-150	open	—	05-28 09:05
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$7	30	0	+30	open	—	04-12 12:37
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?	1	$6	31	0	+31	open	—	06-01 18:56
btc updown 5m 1774521900	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	03-26 10:50
btc updown 5m 1776541200	4	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	04-18 19:45
btc updown 5m 1774515600	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-26 09:05
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics	2	$5	9	9	+0	open	—	05-02 07:47
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$4	9	9	+0	open	—	04-21 19:49
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	1	$4	0	7	-7	open	—	05-29 08:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$4	14	14	+0	open	—	05-04 06:31
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?	1	$4	33	0	+33	open	—	05-29 20:05
btc updown 5m 1776541500	3	$3	3	1	+2	open	—	04-18 19:49
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$3	7	7	+0	open	—	04-12 15:31
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	1	$3	15	0	+15	open	—	04-21 19:49
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	2	$3	188	0	+188	open	—	04-20 13:59
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?	1	$3	14	0	+14	open	—	05-20 07:21
btc updown 5m 1776708900	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-20 18:20
btc updown 5m 1776766500	2	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	04-21 10:17
btc updown 5m 1774428600	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	03-25 08:56
Will Trump say "Ruckus" this week?	2	$3	15	0	+15	No	$-3	05-08 08:13
btc updown 5m 1774427100	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-25 08:30
Will Trump say "Cocaine" this week?	2	$2	6	6	+0	No	+$0	05-08 17:56
btc updown 5m 1774521600	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-26 10:45
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$2	29	29	+0	open	—	04-17 13:46
btc updown 5m 1774429200	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	03-25 09:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 20:03:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x09f335…
06-28 08:57:14	will trump say six seven this week 20260622142828750	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x54ccaa…
06-01 18:56:52	Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	19¢	$6	0x79ccb5…
05-29 20:05:50	Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?	Yes	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0x1e2f2c…
05-29 08:28:29	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	62¢	$4	0xfd2e06…
05-28 09:05:23	Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	6¢	$9	0x832f9c…
05-28 09:05:08	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0x3752f8…
05-20 07:21:30	Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xb65e51…
05-11 18:10:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x26d9d3…
05-11 17:14:45	Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x07e1c4…
05-11 07:21:37	Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?	Yes	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0x9c2eeb…
05-10 11:19:15	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	476	2¢	$10	0x2fc89d…
05-08 17:57:29	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	313	1¢	$2	0x81799e…
05-08 17:56:52	Will Trump say "Cocaine" this week?	Yes	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x16c592…
05-08 12:49:52	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x700a2d…
05-08 08:22:00	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0xc3f734…
05-08 08:13:28	Will Trump say "Ruckus" this week?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xb7b15c…
05-08 08:13:28	Will Trump say "Ruckus" this week?	Yes	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0xa73e1e…
05-08 08:05:58	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	87	17¢	$15	0x981cf4…
05-08 08:01:00	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xb3874e…
05-08 08:00:17	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x817f56…
05-08 07:52:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x51f623…
05-08 07:33:53	Will Trump say "Cocaine" this week?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf1ff0d…
05-08 07:24:19	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	Yes	SELL	49	63¢	$31	0x92fa7a…
05-04 06:31:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x0ca4a6…
05-03 09:40:22	Will Trump say "Train" this week?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x5ef41d…
05-02 07:50:26	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	Yes	BUY	49	29¢	$14	0x623320…
05-02 07:47:50	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	SELL	9	29¢	$3	0xdd0898…
05-02 07:45:46	Will Trump say "Failing New York Times" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x5bf23c…
04-21 19:49:48	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x978185…
04-21 19:49:22	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0xe7c999…
04-21 11:32:08	Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x0c0875…
04-21 10:17:22	btc updown 5m 1776766500	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xb8a51d…
04-21 10:16:30	btc updown 5m 1776766500	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6c85f0…
04-20 18:27:52	btc updown 5m 1776709500	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xce6a73…
04-20 18:21:06	btc updown 5m 1776709200	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x33c536…
04-20 18:20:40	btc updown 5m 1776708900	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9241dd…
04-20 18:18:40	btc updown 5m 1776708900	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x225ecb…
04-20 13:59:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x89799e…
04-20 12:56:50	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	Yes	BUY	125	2¢	$2	0x6883c5…
04-19 11:10:36	trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xae04c3…
04-18 19:50:52	trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe35aac…
04-18 19:49:24	btc updown 5m 1776541500	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x30f962…
04-18 19:48:28	btc updown 5m 1776541500	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x4679ca…
04-18 19:46:50	btc updown 5m 1776541500	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xafd290…
04-18 19:45:34	btc updown 5m 1776541200	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb5a127…
04-18 19:42:36	btc updown 5m 1776541200	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xeb1f62…
04-18 19:42:00	btc updown 5m 1776541200	Down	SELL	3	47¢	$2	0x549986…
04-18 19:41:00	btc updown 5m 1776541200	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xb1d8fe…
04-18 19:39:44	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xfd8b85…
04-18 14:56:40	Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in April?	Yes	SELL	12	72¢	$9	0xfae8bb…
04-18 09:25:40	btc updown 5m 1776504300	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x1b7b30…
04-17 19:08:36	btc updown 5m 1776452700	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xef5378…
04-17 18:57:12	btc updown 5m 1776452100	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x377b72…
04-17 18:55:30	will solana reach 100 april 13 19	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x299f76…
04-17 18:53:56	Trump posts himself as Jesus again in April?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x0d4ade…
04-17 18:29:18	btc updown 5m 1776450300	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x8d8cdf…
04-17 17:57:42	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xce94c2…
04-17 16:45:18	Will Trump say "N Word" in April?	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0x205e76…
04-17 13:46:20	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	4¢	$1	0x7faf2e…
04-15 16:56:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xa002fa…
04-14 10:17:41	btc updown 5m 1776161700	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd5f272…
04-14 07:57:45	Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in April?	Yes	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0xdc5d5c…
04-13 08:36:15	Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x3ecb34…
04-13 08:35:57	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb35be6…
04-13 08:23:29	Will Trump say "N Word" in April?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x04751d…
04-12 15:32:21	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xe1a7e7…
04-12 15:31:55	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0xe43d2c…
04-12 12:39:57	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xb7ea2f…
04-12 12:39:35	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf18800…
04-12 12:37:43	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x4e6d81…
04-12 10:12:23	btc updown 5m 1775988600	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x6b67c7…
04-12 10:10:47	btc updown 5m 1775988600	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x898877…
04-12 09:46:15	will trump say potato this week april 12	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xbf4d27…
04-11 15:25:21	will trump say six seven this week april 12	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc45db2…
04-11 14:30:15	will trump praise allah again by april 15	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x60e805…
04-09 16:46:05	will trump praise allah again by april 15	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa17531…
03-27 08:21:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc0d352…
03-26 15:40:03	btc updown 5m 1774539300	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x09cb5b…
03-26 12:58:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x2557d2…
03-26 10:50:55	btc updown 5m 1774522200	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x8f01da…
03-26 10:50:21	btc updown 5m 1774521900	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x9c5fd0…
03-26 10:46:25	btc updown 5m 1774521900	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x0a5b90…
03-26 10:45:59	btc updown 5m 1774521600	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x648462…
03-26 10:43:21	btc updown 5m 1774521600	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x9e082f…
03-26 09:05:23	btc updown 5m 1774515600	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xda7671…
03-26 09:00:49	btc updown 5m 1774515600	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xcd3ada…
03-25 09:00:43	btc updown 5m 1774429200	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xdc2db7…
03-25 08:56:03	btc updown 5m 1774428600	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x899b21…
03-25 08:51:07	btc updown 5m 1774428600	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa2d71c…
03-25 08:30:35	btc updown 5m 1774427100	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x65c6b6…
03-25 08:27:31	btc updown 5m 1774427100	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xd0c4a8…