Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$108

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.8%

Resolved

Trades

128

lifetime

Volume

$3.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-31

last 10-26 22:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Politics

80% 38% +$3

Other

12% 50% -$70

Crypto

8% 58% -$41

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	14	$1.1K	1,708	1,708	+0	Yes	-$22	09-07 18:00
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	15	$619	1,250	1,250	+0	No	+$4	09-07 20:23
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	8	$282	487	487	+0	No	+$58	08-12 01:44
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	11	$158	4,080	4,080	+0	open	—	10-26 22:57
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	6	$124	7,994	7,994	+0	open	—	10-26 22:56
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	6	$113	2,239	2,239	+0	open	—	09-03 00:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	2	$94	292	292	+0	open	—	10-26 22:56
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$92	139	139	+0	Yes	+$2	10-26 16:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 23:45 UTC	3	$78	91	48	+43	Down	-$42	08-01 23:48
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	2	$58	225	225	+0	open	—	09-07 17:02
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	6	$56	4,212	4,212	+0	open	—	10-26 22:57
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	2	$56	111	111	+0	Mbappé	-$4	10-26 16:57
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	2	$55	179	179	+0	open	—	10-26 16:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 14:00 UTC	2	$43	26	26	+0	Up	+$7	08-08 14:04
Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	2	$42	94	94	+0	No	+$2	08-09 16:35
Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?	1	$40	135	0	+135	Rodri	-$40	10-26 11:44
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	4	$37	461	461	+0	No	+$1	08-08 13:51
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	3	$36	115	115	+0	open	—	08-30 23:33
Will Lionel Messi finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$30	223	0	+223	No	-$30	10-26 11:42
Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	2	$28	187	187	+0	No	-$12	08-30 23:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 23:30 UTC	2	$25	42	0	+42	Up	+$17	08-01 23:33
putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	4	$24	570	570	+0	No	-$6	08-29 02:46
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	2	$21	111	111	+0	No	+$1	08-11 21:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 23:00 UTC	5	$20	28	28	+0	Up	+$0	08-01 23:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 23:25 UTC	1	$20	25	0	+25	Down	+$5	08-01 23:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 23:40 UTC	1	$20	28	0	+28	Up	-$20	08-01 23:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 23:35 UTC	1	$20	28	0	+28	Up	+$8	08-01 23:36
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 23:20 UTC	1	$19	39	0	+39	Down	+$19	08-01 23:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 14:10 UTC	1	$19	87	0	+87	Up	-$19	08-08 14:10
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	3	$15	1,991	0	+1,991	No	-$15	08-13 21:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 22:57:35	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2,966	1¢	$15	0xdd357d…
10-26 22:57:17	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1,335	1¢	$17	0x1af188…
10-26 22:56:54	Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5,556	1¢	$39	0xc4a532…
10-26 22:56:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	292	15¢	$44	0x93c87c…
10-26 16:58:08	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	SELL	179	14¢	$25	0x3c796b…
10-26 16:57:54	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	SELL	111	23¢	$26	0x12525b…
10-26 16:57:30	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	139	34¢	$47	0x0b499f…
10-26 11:44:44	Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?	Messi	BUY	135	30¢	$40	0xb6244a…
10-26 11:42:39	Will Lionel Messi finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	223	13¢	$30	0x1c0547…
10-26 11:41:53	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0x89aeae…
10-26 11:35:59	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2,966	1¢	$20	0xa2e463…
10-26 11:35:38	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1,335	1¢	$20	0x1a2b3d…
10-26 11:35:11	Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	5,556	1¢	$50	0x640ce4…
10-26 11:34:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	292	17¢	$50	0x5b63a1…
10-26 11:31:36	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	179	17¢	$30	0xf372b6…
10-26 11:29:59	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	139	32¢	$45	0x98f4b1…
09-07 20:23:42	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	388	25¢	$98	0x70d14b…
09-07 18:00:42	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	614	30¢	$184	0x631db7…
09-07 17:02:37	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	SELL	225	12¢	$27	0x834d97…
09-07 17:02:18	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	183	30¢	$55	0xbed4fc…
09-07 15:28:43	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	225	14¢	$31	0x6cdca8…
09-07 15:25:48	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	388	26¢	$100	0x1b86ba…
09-07 15:25:42	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	798	31¢	$250	0xa4c15d…
09-07 14:09:15	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	376	25¢	$94	0x1b0418…
09-07 13:55:25	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	376	25¢	$94	0xa60d19…
09-07 13:39:57	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	186	30¢	$57	0xf3ce35…
09-07 13:19:00	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	186	31¢	$58	0x99cdb2…
09-04 22:19:16	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	157	25¢	$40	0x842363…
09-03 16:40:19	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	33	24¢	$8	0x3428fa…
09-03 16:39:36	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$3	0x650951…
09-03 16:39:30	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1,245	0¢	$5	0xbac9b0…
09-03 00:49:06	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	73	23¢	$17	0x7f0239…
09-03 00:48:40	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	150	23¢	$35	0xf88b9c…
09-03 00:47:51	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1,948	3¢	$55	0x218f84…
08-30 23:37:12	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	72	29¢	$21	0x21926b…
08-30 23:36:57	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	115	22¢	$25	0xad3375…
08-30 23:33:30	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	115	16¢	$18	0x48b38b…
08-30 23:33:25	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	989	2¢	$22	0xbf9da7…
08-30 23:33:09	Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	187	4¢	$8	0x7c17c0…
08-29 02:46:36	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	48	19¢	$9	0xa92a63…
08-29 02:46:12	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	570	2¢	$9	0x83e39d…
08-29 02:45:34	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	33	19¢	$6	0x4b997f…
08-29 02:45:00	Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1,287	0¢	$6	0xeeca74…
08-27 00:12:12	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	86	16¢	$14	0xe7d763…
08-27 00:11:27	Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2,439	1¢	$15	0x85ca8a…
08-26 15:47:07	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	29	15¢	$4	0xcc9ee1…
08-26 15:46:03	Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	202	2¢	$4	0x777291…
08-21 14:31:52	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	790	1¢	$6	0x57de79…
08-21 14:30:51	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	291	2¢	$6	0x6a1d35…
08-13 21:11:07	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	1,055	0¢	$4	0x2f65ae…
08-13 21:10:34	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$4	0x0971e5…
08-13 13:57:28	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	870	1¢	$10	0x13c576…
08-13 13:56:22	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	66	1¢	$1	0xedf1de…
08-13 13:55:19	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	533	2¢	$12	0x0a6ed6…
08-12 01:45:09	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	300	33¢	$99	0x40d21d…
08-12 01:44:06	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	SELL	212	47¢	$100	0x66540a…
08-12 01:32:45	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0xfc3f39…
08-12 01:31:37	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	123	33¢	$40	0xf66757…
08-12 01:29:40	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	200	32¢	$64	0xfad2a8…
08-12 01:28:48	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0x2fbf61…
08-12 01:24:46	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0x19b8a4…
08-12 01:22:19	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	21	25¢	$5	0x808360…
08-12 01:22:13	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	246	25¢	$61	0x0f67a3…
08-12 01:15:45	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x12ec37…
08-12 01:14:18	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	267	15¢	$40	0x0495c8…
08-12 01:13:36	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	152	32¢	$48	0x801519…
08-11 21:44:03	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	532	2¢	$13	0xb57c1c…
08-11 21:43:42	Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1,250	1¢	$10	0xcd6ec7…
08-11 21:43:22	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1,043	2¢	$25	0xcabfb5…
08-11 21:42:45	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	197	3¢	$5	0x5a2898…
08-11 21:42:27	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0x1b1438…
08-11 21:41:39	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	111	10¢	$11	0xae7f3a…
08-11 21:29:58	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1,522	2¢	$35	0x97492a…
08-11 21:29:18	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	142	25¢	$35	0x67c9ac…
08-11 21:27:57	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0x9500cb…
08-09 16:35:36	Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	94	23¢	$22	0x10adf5…
08-09 16:35:30	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	111	23¢	$25	0xa9bc1f…
08-09 16:35:12	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1,223	2¢	$26	0x3e3db3…
08-09 16:34:54	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	187	31¢	$58	0xe959b4…
08-08 14:24:03	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0xd370b2…
08-08 14:19:54	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	227	2¢	$5	0x1b9746…
08-08 14:19:39	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	227	2¢	$5	0x39165f…
08-08 14:19:07	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	238	2¢	$5	0x13bfe1…
08-08 14:18:58	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	227	2¢	$5	0x92157d…
08-08 14:17:36	Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	564	1¢	$5	0x6aecc3…
08-08 14:17:19	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	370	3¢	$10	0xfd976e…
08-08 14:16:24	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	156	32¢	$50	0x3c0a8d…
08-08 14:10:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	87	22¢	$19	0x2d8470…
08-08 14:05:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x1dd5fb…
08-08 14:04:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 14:00 UTC	Up	SELL	26	95¢	$25	0x345e70…
08-08 14:03:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	26	69¢	$18	0xd37b72…
08-08 13:51:25	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	461	4¢	$19	0xcdd278…
08-04 17:19:51	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	86	2¢	$2	0xe0c9fb…
08-04 17:18:51	Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	202	5¢	$10	0x02ff70…
08-04 17:18:42	Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	94	21¢	$20	0x79ca37…
08-04 17:18:39	Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	187	11¢	$20	0xe10a72…
08-04 17:12:54	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x7dddd5…
08-04 17:12:45	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	312	3¢	$10	0x8bc223…
08-03 22:13:02	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	77	4¢	$3	0x3642f4…
08-01 23:51:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 23:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x8470de…