Glum-Leverage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

8.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$35

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 07-09 19:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

54% 0% $-3

Politics

26% 50% $-1

Crypto

20% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by June 30, 2026?	3	$8	9	0	+9	Yes	$-1	05-06 19:18
btc updown 5m 1783626000	3	$3	52	2	+50	open	—	07-09 19:44
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-18 09:40
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	07-06 17:36
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in December?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-25 22:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-30 17:51
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	06-18 10:26
Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by May 31, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-18 18:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	$-1	05-08 18:57
will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	07-06 17:38
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-04 15:32
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-26 16:47
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	06-05 08:15
Nothing Ever Happens: May	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-04 15:40
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-24 16:00
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	07-09 19:38
btc updown 5m 1780665900	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	06-05 13:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 June 1-7?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	06-02 20:36
trump declassifies new ufo files by july 31 961	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	07-09 19:38
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-24 17:47
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-26 18:55
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	$-1	04-26 16:50
Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by May 31, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	$-1	05-04 15:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-24 17:50
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-30 12:04
will forsen beat xqcs minecraft speedrun record by april 30	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-24 18:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 19:44:25	btc updown 5m 1783626000	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xade3f1…
07-09 19:42:52	btc updown 5m 1783626000	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xa8bc40…
07-09 19:41:53	btc updown 5m 1783626000	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x738996…
07-09 19:38:40	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 31 961	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x326ce5…
07-09 19:38:20	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe1de37…
07-06 17:38:35	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xfc4dc3…
07-06 17:36:59	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5cc84e…
06-18 10:26:16	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x30bd58…
06-05 13:29:36	btc updown 5m 1780665900	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd6f966…
06-05 08:15:16	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8e3ffe…
06-02 20:36:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 June 1-7?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x397148…
05-26 18:55:48	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x8ac117…
05-18 18:53:32	Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x607d8b…
05-18 09:40:39	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x4f3ed8…
05-08 18:57:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x4a4c7f…
05-06 19:18:33	Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xb3d5df…
05-06 19:18:24	Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1b1931…
05-04 15:46:32	Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x354e3e…
05-04 15:46:26	Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xd1abea…
05-04 15:40:34	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xe7916b…
05-04 15:32:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xee838a…
04-30 17:51:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x56c5c0…
04-30 12:04:26	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x14254d…
04-26 16:50:28	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x3912b4…
04-26 16:47:32	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe7720a…
04-25 22:11:52	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in December?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xef9f37…
04-24 18:40:00	will forsen beat xqcs minecraft speedrun record by april 30	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2e2848…
04-24 17:50:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x677a82…
04-24 17:47:28	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xaa7900…
04-24 16:00:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x211266…