Realized P&L (24h)
-$1
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (24h)
1
Trades (24h)
30
82 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$191
$751 lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$188
19 positions
First seen
2026-07-16
last 11-15 15:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
63% 25% +$1
Politics
27% 100% +$1
Tech
10% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fourth Jensen Huang affair reported by November 20? No +47 $31 86¢ $41 +$10 11-13 19:16
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by November 30? Yes +50 $42 76¢ $38 -$4 11-15 13:39
FAA outage attributed to AI? No +20 $16 98¢ $20 +$3 11-13 23:57
Next Mythos Model (5.3+) released by February 28, 2027? Yes +20 $13 76¢ $15 +$2 11-14 20:07
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by November 30? No +50 $8 24¢ $12 +$4 11-15 12:57
Will China’s CPI increase by ≤0.4% over the 12 month period ending in November 2026? No +20 $12 56¢ $11 $0 11-15 15:49
Will China’s CPI increase by ≤0.4% over the 12 month period ending in November 2026? Yes +20 $9 44¢ $9 $0 11-15 15:07
Sean Duffy announced out as Secretary of Transportation by December 31? No +8 $6 83¢ $7 +$0 11-14 13:28
Fourth Jensen Huang affair reported by November 20? Yes +50 $17 14¢ $7 -$10 11-13 19:11
Jensen Huang rejoins NVIDIA before divorce? No +9 $6 72¢ $7 +$0 11-15 01:06
Will South African inflation be between 4.7% and 5.0% in 2026? No +11 $6 54¢ $6 -$1 11-15 16:35
Will South African inflation be between 4.7% and 5.0% in 2026? Yes +11 $4 46¢ $5 +$1 11-15 16:35
Next Mythos Model (5.3+) released by February 28, 2027? No +20 $6 24¢ $5 -$1 11-14 20:13
Jensen Huang rejoins NVIDIA before divorce? Yes +9 $5 28¢ $2 -$2 11-15 02:27
Sean Duffy announced out as Secretary of Transportation by December 31? Yes +8 $1 17¢ $1 $0 11-14 13:28
Will OpenRouter process less than 210T tokens the week of November 16? Yes +3 $1 28¢ $1 +$0 11-15 12:02
Will the next Gemini model family be named Gemini Krypton? Yes +2 $1 45¢ $1 +$0 11-15 04:02
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.5% and 0.6% over the 12 month period ending in November 2026? No +1 $1 58¢ $1 $0 11-14 18:32
FAA outage attributed to AI? Yes +20 $5 2¢ $0 -$5 11-13 23:56