Realized P&L
-$963
Unrealized P&L
-$299
Hit rate
71.3%
Resolved
868
Trades
3,125
lifetime
Volume
$171.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$55
Open exposure
$2.72K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-25
last 11-04 19:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 120 days
Categories
Other
43% 51% -$1,198
Sports
28% 54% -$194
Politics
14% 43% +$170
Crypto
14% 91% +$164
Tech
1% 40% +$95
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +936 $856 60¢ $557 -$299 10-08 14:05
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes +500 $402 88¢ $440 +$38 09-13 14:05
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +200 $185 90¢ $181 -$4 11-03 15:33
Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026? No -90 -$90 100¢ $-90 $0 07-15 18:39
Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026? No -90 -$90 100¢ $-90 $0 07-15 18:39
Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026? No -90 -$89 100¢ $-90 $0 07-15 18:39
Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026? No -90 -$89 100¢ $-90 -$1 07-15 18:39
Will Israel strike 14 countries in 2026? No -90 -$90 100¢ $-90 +$0 07-15 18:39
Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026? No -90 -$89 100¢ $-90 $0 07-15 18:39
Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026? No -90 -$89 99¢ $-89 $0 07-15 18:39
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? No -90 -$88 99¢ $-89 -$1 07-15 18:39
Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026? No -90 -$88 99¢ $-89 -$1 07-15 18:39
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? No -90 -$87 97¢ $-87 $0 07-15 18:39
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? No -90 -$60 88¢ $-79 -$20 07-15 18:39
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? Yes — +81 $67 98¢ $79 +$12 10-10 13:46
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -50 -$49 100¢ $-50 $0 07-16 17:29
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -50 -$44 99¢ $-50 -$6 07-17 10:29
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -50 -$50 99¢ $-49 +$0 07-16 15:07
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? No -50 -$47 95¢ $-48 -$1 07-15 13:55
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No -37 -$36 98¢ $-37 -$1 10-06 15:21
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -50 -$17 64¢ $-32 -$15 07-16 00:19
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -25 -$25 100¢ $-25 $0 07-15 14:43
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -25 -$25 100¢ $-25 $0 07-15 14:43
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -25 -$25 100¢ $-25 $0 07-15 16:15
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -25 -$25 100¢ $-25 $0 07-15 14:43
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -25 -$25 100¢ $-25 $0 07-15 14:44
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No — -25 -$25 100¢ $-25 $0 07-15 14:44
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -25 -$25 100¢ $-25 $0 07-15 14:44
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -25 -$25 100¢ $-25 $0 07-15 14:43
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -25 -$25 100¢ $-25 $0 07-15 14:44