Realized P&L
-$1.21K
Unrealized P&L
-$231
Hit rate
71.6%
Resolved
854
Trades
3,097
lifetime
Volume
$169.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$55
Open exposure
$2.55K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-25
last 11-02 18:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 118 days
Categories
Other
43% 50% -$1,441
Sports
28% 54% -$194
Politics
14% 43% +$170
Crypto
14% 91% +$164
Tech
1% 40% +$95
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +936 $856 65¢ $606 -$250 10-08 14:05
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes +500 $402 88¢ $438 +$35 09-13 14:05
Will Israel strike 14 countries in 2026? No -90 -$90 100¢ $-90 +$0 07-15 18:39
Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026? No -90 -$89 100¢ $-90 -$1 07-15 18:39
Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026? No -90 -$90 100¢ $-90 $0 07-15 18:39
Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026? No -90 -$89 100¢ $-90 $0 07-15 18:39
Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026? No -90 -$90 100¢ $-90 $0 07-15 18:39
Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026? No -90 -$89 100¢ $-90 $0 07-15 18:39
Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026? No -90 -$89 99¢ $-89 $0 07-15 18:39
Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026? No -90 -$88 99¢ $-89 -$1 07-15 18:39
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? No -90 -$88 99¢ $-89 -$1 07-15 18:39
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? No -90 -$87 98¢ $-88 -$2 07-15 18:39
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? No -90 -$60 87¢ $-78 -$19 07-15 18:39
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -50 -$49 100¢ $-50 $0 07-16 17:29
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -50 -$50 100¢ $-50 $0 07-16 15:07
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -50 -$44 99¢ $-49 -$5 07-17 10:29
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? No -50 -$47 95¢ $-47 -$1 07-15 13:55
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No -37 -$36 97¢ $-36 +$0 10-06 15:21
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +899 $37 3¢ $31 -$6 10-08 14:13
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? No -90 -$46 28¢ $-25 +$21 07-15 18:39
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -25 -$25 100¢ $-25 $0 07-15 14:43
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -25 -$25 100¢ $-25 $0 07-15 16:15
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -25 -$25 100¢ $-25 $0 07-15 14:43
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No — -25 -$25 100¢ $-25 $0 07-15 14:44
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -25 -$25 100¢ $-25 $0 07-15 14:44
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -25 -$25 100¢ $-25 $0 07-15 14:43
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -25 -$25 100¢ $-25 $0 07-15 14:44
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -25 -$25 100¢ $-25 $0 07-15 14:44
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -25 -$25 100¢ $-25 $0 07-15 14:43
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -25 -$25 100¢ $-25 $0 07-15 14:43