Realized P&L
-$963
Unrealized P&L
-$501
Hit rate
71.3%
Resolved
868
Trades
3,135
lifetime
Volume
$171.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$55
Open exposure
$3.55K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-25
last 11-05 23:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 120 days
Categories
Other
43% 51% -$1,198
Sports
28% 54% -$194
Politics
14% 43% +$170
Crypto
13% 91% +$164
Tech
1% 40% +$95
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Liverpool reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16? Yes +725 $621 83¢ $602 -$19 10-30 13:17
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes +500 $402 88¢ $440 +$38 09-13 14:05
Will Lazio qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? Yes +713 $209 50¢ $357 +$148 11-02 10:10
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +936 $856 18¢ $172 -$684 10-08 14:05
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +200 $185 83¢ $166 -$19 11-03 15:33
Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026? Yes +200 $126 73¢ $146 +$20 11-05 16:17
Will Paris Saint-Germain finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase? No +100 $92 94¢ $94 +$2 11-05 11:45
Will Israel strike 14 countries in 2026? No -90 -$90 100¢ $-90 +$0 07-15 18:39
Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026? No -90 -$90 100¢ $-90 $0 07-15 18:39
Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026? No -90 -$89 100¢ $-90 -$1 07-15 18:39
Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026? No -90 -$89 100¢ $-90 $0 07-15 18:39
Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026? No -90 -$90 100¢ $-90 $0 07-15 18:39
Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026? No -90 -$89 100¢ $-90 $0 07-15 18:39
Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026? No -90 -$89 99¢ $-89 $0 07-15 18:39
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? No -90 -$88 99¢ $-89 -$1 07-15 18:39
Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026? No -90 -$88 99¢ $-89 -$1 07-15 18:39
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? No -90 -$87 97¢ $-87 $0 07-15 18:39
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? Yes +81 $67 99¢ $80 +$13 10-10 13:46
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? No -90 -$60 89¢ $-80 -$20 07-15 18:39
Will Venezia be relegated from the 2026-27 Serie A? Yes +125 $55 60¢ $75 +$20 10-26 04:49
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -50 -$49 100¢ $-50 $0 07-16 17:29
Will voter turnout be 84% or higher in the 2026 New Zealand general election? No -50 -$48 100¢ $-50 -$2 07-17 10:18
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -50 -$44 99¢ $-50 -$6 07-17 10:29
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -50 -$50 99¢ $-50 +$0 07-16 15:07
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? No -50 -$47 96¢ $-48 -$1 07-15 13:55
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? No -50 -$48 91¢ $-46 +$2 07-15 13:55
Will voter turnout be between 80% and 82% in the 2026 New Zealand general election? No -50 -$45 82¢ $-41 +$3 07-17 10:18
Will voter turnout be less than 76% in the 2026 New Zealand general election? No -50 -$44 81¢ $-40 +$3 07-17 10:18
Will voter turnout be between 76% and 78% in the 2026 New Zealand general election? No -50 -$42 74¢ $-37 +$5 07-17 10:18
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No -37 -$36 98¢ $-37 -$1 10-06 15:21