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Realized P&L (90d)
+$14
Unrealized P&L
+$15
Hit rate
56.1%
Resolved (90d)
55
Trades (90d)
79
142 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$888
$1.67K lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$128
5 positions
First seen
2026-07-26
last 10-29 23:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 35 days
Categories
Other
51% 44% -$140
Sports
32% 56% -$79
Politics
13% 31% -$5
Crypto
4% 50% +$71
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +109 $50 82¢ $89 +$39 09-16 20:59
Sweden snap election called in 2026? No +25 $21 70¢ $18 -$3 10-01 21:58
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +32 $6 50¢ $16 +$9 08-11 00:51
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +95 $33 3¢ $3 -$30 07-28 19:25
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +20 $2 14¢ $3 +$1 08-09 15:21