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Realized P&L
-$159
Unrealized P&L
+$29
Hit rate
50.6%
Resolved
84
Trades
142
lifetime
Volume
$1.67K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$161
7 positions
First seen
2026-07-26
last 10-29 23:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 36 days
Categories
Other
51% 44% -$140
Sports
32% 53% -$85
Politics
13% 31% -$5
Crypto
4% 50% +$71
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +109 $50 92¢ $101 +$51 09-16 20:59
Sweden snap election called in 2026? No +25 $21 80¢ $20 -$1 10-01 21:58
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? No +13 $13 98¢ $13 +$0 09-17 13:02
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +32 $6 40¢ $12 +$6 08-11 00:51
Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.00% before 2027? No +8 $7 96¢ $8 +$0 10-02 17:17
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +20 $2 30¢ $6 +$4 08-09 15:21
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +95 $33 1¢ $1 -$32 07-28 19:25